AMZN (Amazon.com, Inc. Recommendation

AMZN

Active - 8 Days Remaining

Amazon.com, Inc.

Recommendation Date: 11/04/2025 Update: 11/04/2025 17:34 PM (9 updates)

Trade Plan

$249.50-$256.00

$279.00-$279.00

$244.00

73%

0.920

Evidence

Price at Pick:$254.07

Prior Close:$244.22

MACD Value:4.221720

MACD Signal:0.745818

MACD Histogram:3.475901

Trend:Bullish Momentum

Support Est:$233.27

Resistance Est:$258.60

Current Quote

Price

—

Change

—

Open

—

Volume

—

Rationale

AMZN just strapped a jetpack to AWS with a $38B OpenAI cloud deal. This isn’t a rumor mill flex—it’s a multi-year cash cannon pointed straight into Amazon’s fattest profit engine. The chart? Breaking to new highs, EMAs stacked like pancakes, MACD screaming, RSI sweaty but not blown out. We’re entering 249.5–256 and aiming for 279–286 because when the biggest AI customer inks the biggest cloud players, number go up. The herd will chase this—analysts tweaking models, funds piling into the winner’s circle, and every AI hot take cooking on the timeline. If the momentum stalls, we bail at 244 and live to FOMO another day. But with a catalyst this loud and a trend this clean, odds are we’re punching through resistance while the crowd discovers ‘AI infrastructure’ is just Wall Street for ‘bezos bucks.’ Sit tight, trust the breakout, and let the hyperscale hype farm do its thing.

Amazon just layered a high-visibility, multi-year AI infrastructure catalyst on top of already-strong Q3 momentum. Benzinga reports a massive, multi-year $38B partnership with OpenAI for cloud infrastructure, alongside a Wedbush price target hike. This is a textbook, tradable catalyst: it’s concrete (multi-year spend), directly aligned with Amazon’s AWS growth engine, and widely disseminated across mainstream financial media and investor communities. Additional bullish coverage from The Motley Fool and broader market commentary note how the AI demand path seems to be compounding across hyperscalers. Technically, AMZN is in a confirmed uptrend and pushing 52-week highs. The last trade was 254.07 versus the prior close at 244.22. EMAs are stacked positively (9/21/50-day at 233.27/227.33/225.06), with price well above them, indicating strong trend health. MACD is firmly bullish: the line at 4.22 sits well above the 0.75 signal with a wide positive histogram (+3.48). RSI at ~72 reflects momentum strength typical for sustained breakouts, especially when paired with a fundamental catalyst of this magnitude. Social mentions have risen sharply, a helpful tailwind for near-term continuation as AI-related headlines remain dominant. On the news tape, multiple sources reiterate the AI-driven AWS expansion narrative and note broader equity support when Amazon leads. Our trade plan anticipates a continuation move as investors recalibrate AI-capex winners. Enter 249.5–256.0 to capture liquidity near current levels, targeting 279–286 within nine trading days (a roughly 10–12% advance). This objective aligns with measured extensions after fresh highs and accounts for follow-through from institutional buying and momentum participation. The stop sits at 244, below our entry zone and near the prior close, providing a disciplined invalidation if the breakout fails to hold recent gains. Risks include headline reversals around the exact scope/timing of the OpenAI deployment or broader market risk-off that compresses multiple expansion. But the weight of evidence favors follow-through: the partnership is specific and large; AWS is already showing renewed growth; and the technical posture of AMZN supports a continuation breakout. The confluence of a fundamental step-up in AI infrastructure demand and technical strength increases the probability of a 10% gain within our horizon. In short, we have a liquid mega-cap with a fresh AI catalyst tied to its highest-margin segment, confirmed by multiple sources, showing clean bullish technicals into new highs. That’s precisely the kind of setup that tends to resolve in a swift 10% drift higher as buyers crowd into a leadership name.

Updates

11/04/2025 17:34 PM

Hold

AfterHoursWeakness NearEntryLowerBound SentimentCooloff HeadlineDependence

Position remains active: price has not hit the 279–286 target, stop 244 not breached, and horizon (9 days from 2025-11-04) remains open. After-hours pullback to ~249.43 is slightly below the lower entry bound but momentum stays constructive (bullish MACD, RSI ~67) and news flow on the OpenAI/AWS angle remains positive. Expect early volatility; maintaining the existing plan is appropriate.

Confidence 73%

11/04/2025 16:34 PM

Hold

after_hours_liquidity_thin social_mentions_trending_down sell_the_news_risk gap_fill_risk

No rules triggered. After-hours last at 249.43 is just below the 249.5–256 entry zone, well above key EMAs with strong bullish MACD and RSI ~67. News flow remains supportive; social buzz cooled somewhat. Maintain the plan into the next session; avoid after-hours fills. If filled near the lower end, continue to respect the 244 stop and 279–286 targets within the 9-day horizon.

Confidence 75%

11/04/2025 15:34 PM

Hold

price_below_entry_zone gap_down_from_prior_close social_mentions_softening horizon_intact stop_not_hit

Thesis and trend remain intact: MACD bullish, RSI ~67, EMAs stacked. No stop/target/horizon triggers. Price has dipped slightly below the planned entry zone; if not filled yet, keep patience and maintain original plan rather than chase. If already filled near the range, continue to hold with stop 244 and targets 279–286 within the 9-day horizon.

Confidence 77%

11/04/2025 14:34 PM

Hold

below_entry_zone momentum_pullback social_mentions_trending_down gap_down_vs_prior_close

AMZN remains in a strong uptrend with bullish MACD and healthy RSI. Price is currently just below the planned entry zone (last 249.38 vs. 249.5–256.0). No stop/target/horizon triggers. Maintain discipline: if not filled, wait for a reclaim into the entry band (>249.5) to avoid buying a pullback that could drift toward 244. If already filled within the band, continue to manage against the 244 stop. Targets unchanged at 279–286 within the 9-day horizon. Monitoring: social mentions cooled and the stock is down vs. prior close, but trend and news tone remain supportive.

Confidence 80%

11/04/2025 13:34 PM

Hold

gap_down_vs_prior_close social_buzz_cooling breakout_pullback_risk catalyst_headline_followthrough_uncertain

Price is trading inside the planned entry zone (~249.57 vs 249.5–256). Trend and momentum remain constructive (RSI ~67, strong positive MACD, price well above EMAs). No stop/target/horizon triggers; maintain plan with discipline around the 244 stop while monitoring early-session softness vs prior close.

Confidence 82%