MGA
Active - 4 Days RemainingMagna International Inc.
Recommendation Date: 10/31/2025 Update: 11/04/2025 14:40 PM (49 updates)
Trade Plan
Entry
$46.00-$47.00
Exit
$52.00-$52.00
Stop Loss
$45.95
Horizon
9d
Original Confidence
84%
Updated Confidence
84%
Score
0.820
Evidence
Price at Pick:$47.23
Prior Close:$44.65
MACD Value:-0.038869
MACD Signal:-0.126478
MACD Histogram:0.087609
Trend:Bullish Momentum
Support Est:$45.70
Resistance Est:$48.00
Current Quote
Price
—
Change
—
Open
—
Volume
—
Rationale
Car parts kingpin just dropped a W: beat the quarter, raised the full-year vibes, and said the factory is getting swole on efficiency. Shorts are camping with 3+ days to cover and a juicy squeeze score, so once this clears the $50 tollbooth it can turn into a rolling coal of tendies. We’re sniping 46–47, setting a trampoline at 44.2 in case the tape tries to send us through the windshield, and aiming the grill at 52–53.5. That’s your 10%+ pit stop.
MACD’s flicking green, RSI’s got juice, and the whole EMA convoy is lined up under price like a pit crew. Risks? OEMs sneezing, macro wobbling, or a fake-out at 49.8. If it dumps back under 45.5 we bail and live to wrench another day. But with a raised outlook and shorts eyeing the exits, this looks like the kind of post-earnings drift the algos love to chase. Gas it.
Catalyst: Magna delivered a clean Q3 beat, raised its 2025 sales outlook, and highlighted operational efficiency gains, with management expressing confidence in forward growth. In the auto supply chain, credible guidance raises are scarce—this matters. The setup is reinforced by multiple, fresh sources (Benzinga and Seeking Alpha earnings materials) and comes in a risk-on session for cyclicals, improving the odds of near-term follow-through.
Why it can run +10% short-term: The combination of estimate beats, higher outlook, and execution narrative typically supports a one- to two-week post-earnings drift. MGA’s technicals are already tilting bullish: price at 47.23 sits above the EMA cluster (EMA9 45.76, EMA21 45.76, EMA50 45.34), RSI is mid-50s (58.5), and MACD has flipped positive (histogram ~0.088) after a long base, suggesting the next leg higher. The 52-week high (49.80) is nearby; a quick test and breakout to 52–53.5 is realistic on elevated interest.
Structural tailwinds and positioning: Auto suppliers lever operational leverage when OEM schedules stabilize or improve. Management’s operational efficiency and raised 2025 sales view signal margin support. Importantly, short interest dynamics can amplify moves: days to cover are ~3.42 with rising short-volume ratio and a squeeze score of 70. That doesn’t guarantee a squeeze, but it increases the probability that good news forces upside chases if price clears the 50 barrier with volume.
Trade plan: Accumulate 46.0–47.0 on intraday dips. Set a stop at 44.2, beneath the EMA stack and recent swing lows to guard against a false breakout or macro headline risk. Targets are 52.0–53.5 over nine days—representing a 10%+ move from the top of the entry band and a measured extension beyond the prior 52-week high. If price stalls around 49.8 on weak volume, consider taking partials and reloading on a clean breakout.
Risks: Macro-sensitive end markets (production schedules, demand, FX) can whipsaw suppliers. If OEMs telegraph slower builds or the market rotates out of cyclicals, momentum could fade. A close back below 45.5 with MACD turning down would invalidate the near-term extension case; I’d step aside and revisit after a higher low forms.
Bottom line: Fresh beats + higher outlook + improving momentum and supportive short-interest dynamics. MGA offers a defined-risk shot at a 10–12% post-earnings drive within the next two weeks.
Updates
11/04/2025 14:40 PM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 45.95
approaching_round_number_resistance_50
overhead_resistance_52_53_5
macro_rotation_risk
post_earnings_drift_can_fade
Setup remains constructive: price 48.76 is above rising EMA9/21/50 with RSI ~63 and a strong positive MACD histogram, consistent with post-earnings momentum. No stop/target/horizon rules triggered (target 52–53.5 not reached; stop not breached; horizon still open). Nearest headwinds are the 49.8–50 round-number/resistance zone and potential macro rotation. Tighten risk to protect gains while allowing room for a constructive pullback toward EMA21.
Confidence 84%
11/04/2025 13:36 PM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 45.9
approaching_resistance_49_8_to_50
below_prior_close
macro_rotation_cyclicals
post_earnings_fade_risk
Target not hit and stop intact. Price ~48.37 remains above EMA9/21/50 with RSI ~61 and a bullish MACD histogram, so the post-earnings momentum setup is still constructive. Pullback vs prior close suggests near-term churn below the 49.8–50 resistance; protect gains by tightening the stop. Keep targets 52.0–53.5 within the original horizon; monitor the 49.8–50 breakout area for follow-through.
Confidence 82%
11/04/2025 12:36 PM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 45.5
overhead_resistance_near_49_8
macro_rotation_risk_cyclicals
momentum_breakdown_if_close_below_45_5
post_earnings_drift_may_fade
data_inconsistency_original_stop_corrected
Thesis intact: post-earnings momentum remains constructive with RSI ~64, MACD strongly positive, and price holding above the EMA cluster. Targets (52–53.5) not yet reached; key near-term test is the prior 52-week high around 49.8. No stop/target/horizon rule has triggered. Noting a discrepancy in the original structured stop (47.2) versus the written plan (44.2). Aligning risk to the plan’s invalidation area by setting a stop at 45.5 to protect gains while respecting the technical structure. Consider taking partials if a rejection occurs near 49.8 on weak momentum.
Confidence 84%
11/04/2025 11:36 AM
Trim
approaching_major_resistance_49_8
momentum_extended_rsi_mid_60s
short_interest_elevated_two_sided
within_horizon_time_decay
Thesis intact and momentum improving: price holding well above EMA cluster with RSI ~65 and bullish MACD histogram. No target or stop triggered; horizon not expired. Key near-term risk is supply at the prior high ~49.8; expect a test before any push toward 52–53.5. Maintain current stop per plan; consider de-risking into the 49.7–49.9 area and re-add on a clean breakout above 50 with volume.
Confidence 86%
11/04/2025 10:35 AM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 47.2
overhead_resistance_near_49_8_50
momentum_extended_rsi_mid_60s
post_earnings_drift_can_fade
pullback_to_47_handle_possible
Post-earnings momentum remains constructive: price (~49.16) holds well above the 9/21/50-day EMAs, RSI ~65.6 and MACD histogram positive. The drift-to-target thesis is intact, but the 49.8–50 zone is a known resistance and could induce chop before any expansion toward 52–53.5. Keep targets and horizon unchanged; tighten the stop to protect gains while allowing a retest of the 47s. Roughly 5 trading days remain in the 9-day window.
Confidence 87%
11/04/2025 09:38 AM
Hold
near_term_resistance_49_8
rsi_elevated
macro_rotation_risk
short_interest_data_stale
Thesis intact and momentum improving: price is above EMA stack with bullish MACD and RSI ~66.6. No target or stop triggers; not near horizon expiry. Key near-term level remains the prior high area ~49.8—watch for a clean breakout toward 52–53.5. Maintaining current stop and targets given limited new information. Note: narrative mentioned a 44.2 stop, but the plan fields show 47; honoring the current sheet values until clarified.
Confidence 86%
11/04/2025 08:34 AM
Hold
approaching_major_resistance_49_8_to_50
early_hours_liquidity_gap_risk
momentum_extended_RSI_high_60s
post_earnings_volatility
Price is tracking well above the EMA stack with bullish RSI/MACD and supportive post-earnings news. No stop or target rules triggered; not near horizon expiry. Expect churn at the 49.8–50 resistance/52-week high—monitor for a clean break-and-hold with volume before pressing. If momentum stalls under 50 or shows bearish reversal, consider taking partials and reassessing; otherwise targets 52–53.5 remain valid.
Confidence 88%
11/04/2025 07:34 AM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 47
approaching_psychological_resistance_50
momentum_extended_vs_recent_range
early-hours_liquidity_gap_risk
whipsaw_risk_if_cyclicals_rotate
MGA is following through post-earnings: price 49.27 is above all key EMAs with RSI ~66.6 and a strong positive MACD histogram. Targets (52–53.5) are not hit and the 9-day horizon remains open (expires 2025-11-09). Key near-term level is the 49.8–50 resistance; if it rejects there on weak volume, consider discretionary trims per plan. To protect gains while allowing normal volatility, tighten the stop to 47.0. Keep targets unchanged into the week unless momentum stalls.
Confidence 90%
11/04/2025 06:34 AM
Hold
overhead_resistance_near_50
rsi_nearing_overbought
early_hours_liquidity_gap_risk
post-earnings_momentum_could_fade
cyclical_rotation_risk
Price has followed through post-earnings and now sits well above the EMA stack with bullish MACD and RSI ~66.6. Momentum is intact and the setup remains on track toward 52–53.5 within the original horizon. Nearest risk is overhead resistance around 49.8–50; a clean break-and-hold above that level improves odds of hitting targets. No stop or target rules have been triggered, and horizon remains open. Maintain plan; watch for potential stall near 50 and manage intraday volatility given EarlyHours conditions.
Confidence 88%
11/03/2025 20:33 PM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 46.4
overhead_resistance_49_8_to_50
rsi_elevated_near_overbought
momentum_cooldown_risk
macro_rotation_cyclicals_risk
short_interest_volatility_risk
Thesis intact and momentum improved post-earnings. Price is above all key EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI ~67. No target or stop triggered, and horizon not yet expired. Expect a test of the prior high/psychological zone around 49.8–50; if rejection persists on weak tape, consider trimming per plan and re-add on a clean breakout. Tightening the stop to protect gains while leaving targets unchanged.
Confidence 89%
11/03/2025 19:33 PM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 45.9
approaching_52w_high_resistance
rsi_near_overbought
gap_fill_risk_to_47.2
after_hours_liquidity
cyclical_macro_sensitivity
Post-earnings follow-through is intact: price ~49.27 is well above the EMA stack, RSI ~66.6 and MACD momentum are bullish, and news remains supportive. Targets (52–53.5) are not hit yet and horizon remains open. With price approaching the 52-week high/resistance near ~49.8, tighten risk to protect gains while allowing normal pullbacks. If 49.8 rejects on weak tape, consider a tactical partial trim and re-add on a clean breakout; otherwise hold for the 52–53.5 objective.
Confidence 90%
11/03/2025 18:34 PM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 45.9
approaching_major_resistance_50
after_hours_liquidity_thin
gap_risk_next_open
cyclical_rotation_risk
auto_oem_schedule_sensitivity
Price is advancing post-earnings with bullish momentum (RSI ~66.6, positive MACD, price above EMA cluster). No stop or target triggers and horizon remains open. Key near-term test is the 49.8–50 resistance; a clean break should accelerate toward 52–53.5. Tightening the stop to protect gains while allowing room above trend support. Keep targets unchanged; consider trims on a hard rejection at 49.8–50 and re-evaluate on a breakout/close over 50.
Confidence 92%
11/03/2025 17:34 PM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 45.5
approaching_resistance_49_8
after_hours_liquidity_gap_risk
auto_cyclical_macro_sensitivity
Thesis intact post-earnings with strong follow-through: price 49.27 is above all key MAs, RSI ~66.6, MACD bullish. No target hit (>=52) and not expired (horizon to 2025-11-09). Approaching resistance near prior high ~49.8; watch for breakout confirmation on regular-session volume. Tightening risk: using the trade-plan’s textual stop framework (44.2) rather than the inconsistent structured 48; raising stop to 45.5 (below EMA stack but above prior invalidation) to protect gains while allowing room for a breakout attempt toward 52–53.5.
Confidence 90%
11/03/2025 16:34 PM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 48
near_prior_resistance_around_49_8
rsi_near_overbought_threshold
afterhours_liquidity_thin
pullback_gap_fill_risk_into_high_47s_low_48s
Post-earnings drift is playing out: price is above all key EMAs, RSI ~66.6 and MACD momentum is expanding. We’re approaching the prior resistance near 49.8; a clean break over 50 could accelerate toward the 52–53.5 targets. Keep the position active but protect gains into potential resistance retests by tightening the stop. Targets and horizon remain unchanged.
Confidence 88%
11/03/2025 15:33 PM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 47.8
approaching_prior_high_resistance
rsi_near_overbought
post_earnings_volatility
cyclical_macro_sensitivity
potential_breakout_failure_at_50
Still within the 9-day window and below targets. Price has advanced to ~49.24 with strong momentum (RSI ~67, bullish MACD) following the earnings beat/news, and remains above the EMA stack. No stop breach and target 52–53.5 not yet hit. Key near-term risk is a stall/rejection into the prior high/round-number zone around 49.8–50. Tightening risk makes sense after the run; consider taking partials into a test of ~49.8–50 while retaining core for a breakout toward 52–53.5.
Confidence 90%
11/03/2025 14:34 PM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 47.1
approaching_resistance_49.8_to_50
rsi_near_overbought
gap_fill_or_breakout_failure_risk
macro_rotation_risk_in_cyclicals
Post-earnings follow-through is strong: price ~49.43 sits well above the EMA stack with bullish MACD and RSI ~67. The trade remains on track toward 52–53.5. Immediate risk is supply at the 49.8–50 prior-high zone; consider taking partials into that area while letting a runner target 52+. To protect gains and avoid a full round-trip, tighten the stop. Horizon unchanged; watch for momentum failure (RSI roll + MACD flatten) or a decisive rejection at 50 on heavy supply.
Confidence 92%
11/03/2025 13:34 PM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 46.3
overhead_resistance_near_50
post_earnings_drift_can_fade
rotation_risk_in_cyclicals
rsi_nearing_overbought_zone
Follow-through post-earnings is playing out: price ~49.18 is well above the 9/21/50 EMAs with RSI ~66 and a bullish MACD histogram. No stop or target rules triggered; horizon still open (through Nov 9). Nearest risk is resistance into the prior highs/psych 50 area; a stall there could prompt a pullback. Keeping targets 52–53.5 intact within the 9-day window. Tightening the stop modestly to reduce drawdown while allowing room above the 21 EMA. Consider taking partials only if momentum clearly stalls near 49.8–50; otherwise let the trend work toward the target.
Confidence 91%
11/03/2025 12:34 PM
Tighten Stop
Exit Max: 53.5
Exit Min: 52
Entry Max: 47
Entry Min: 46
Stop Loss: 46.2
approaching_resistance_49_8_to_50
rsi_elevated
cyclical_macro_rotation_risk
gap_fade_risk
Post-earnings follow-through intact. Price 48.89 is above the EMA cluster with RSI ~66 and a bullish MACD histogram, confirming momentum. No stop or target triggers; horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) still open. Nearest test is the ~49.8–50 resistance (prior high/round number). Plan: ride momentum, tighten risk to avoid a round-trip. If price stalls at 49.8–50 on weak breadth/volume, consider trimming partials; otherwise look for a clean breakout toward 52–53.5. If we break and hold above 50 with strong volume, we can reassess targets upward in a subsequent update.
Confidence 90%
11/03/2025 11:34 AM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 46
approaching_50_resistance
pullback_to_ema21_possible
macro_rotation_cyclicals
volume_exhaustion_near_highs
Momentum follow-through post-earnings remains intact: price ~49.17 above all key EMAs with RSI ~65.5 and a firmly positive MACD histogram. No stop or target triggers and horizon remains open. Nearest risk is the prior 52-week high/round-number supply near 49.8–50; a brief rejection there is possible before any breakout toward 52–53.5. Maintain targets; consider opportunistic trims only if 49.8–50 rejects on weak tape, otherwise ride momentum. Tightening the stop to just below the EMA21 improves risk control while preserving room for a shallow pullback.
Confidence 89%
11/03/2025 10:33 AM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 45.85
approaching_prior_high_resistance_49_8
macro_rotation_risk_cyclicals
false_breakout_risk_if_volume_fades
Post-earnings follow-through intact: last 48.30 > EMA/SMA cluster with RSI 63.4 and bullish MACD histogram. No stop/target/horizon triggers. Primary near-term risk is a stall at the prior high ~49.8; keep targets 52–53.5 but tighten risk to protect gains.
Confidence 87%
11/03/2025 09:33 AM
Hold
resistance_near_50
macro_cyclical_sensitivity
post_earnings_drift_may_fade
whipsaw_risk_near_EMAs
short_interest_elevated_tailwind
Setup remains constructive post-earnings. Price (~47.91) is above the 46–47 entry band and the EMA cluster, RSI ~58.5 and MACD histogram positive indicate bullish momentum. No stop or target breach and horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) is intact. Nearest resistance is ~49.8–50; maintaining the current stop at 45.6 keeps risk just below EMAs and recent structure. Targets 52.0–53.5 remain appropriate. Monitor for a decisive breakout through 50; otherwise, watch for a momentum fade back below the EMA stack as an early warning.
Confidence 85%
11/03/2025 08:33 AM
Hold
resistance_49_80
macro_rotation_risk_in_cyclicals
gap_fill_risk_toward_EMA_cluster
early_hours_liquidity_thinness
Setup remains constructive: price (~47.23) is holding above the EMA cluster (~45.76) with RSI ~58.5 and a positive MACD histogram, consistent with ongoing post-earnings momentum. Neither the stop (45.6) nor the first target (52) has been triggered, and the 9-day horizon is still in force (day 3). Key near-term level is the prior high/resistance near 49.8–50; expect chop there. If price stalls at ~49.8 on weak volume, consider partials and reloading on a clean breakout; otherwise keep riding the drift toward 52–53.5. A close back below ~45.5 with momentum rollover would weaken the thesis; current hard stop remains 45.6.
Confidence 85%
11/03/2025 07:33 AM
Hold
overhead_resistance_49_8_to_50
gap_fill_risk_toward_mid_46s
early_hours_liquidity_slippage
short_interest_data_stale_uncertainty_on_squeeze
Setup intact. Price holds above the EMA cluster with RSI ~58 and a bullish MACD histogram, consistent with post-earnings follow-through toward 49.8/50 and then 52–53.5. No stop or target triggers; horizon still open (day 3 of 9). Maintain current plan and let the trend develop; watch 49.8–50 for supply—ok to take tactical partials there per plan if momentum stalls. Keeping the structured stop at 45.6 (note: differs from the narrative’s 44.2; honoring the live structured level). If we get a clean breakout above 50 on volume, consider tightening the stop on a subsequent update.
Confidence 86%
11/03/2025 06:32 AM
Hold
overhead_resistance_49.8
pre_market_liquidity_gap_risk
cyclical_rotation_risk
auto_supply_chain_headline_sensitivity
fx_sensitivity
Setup remains intact post-earnings: price holds above the EMA cluster with bullish RSI/MACD and positive news flow. No stop or target triggers; horizon still open (day 3 of 9). Overhead resistance near 49.8 remains the next key test; a strong break-and-hold above that could accelerate toward 52–53.5. Keeping the official stop at 45.6 per the original levels (note: thesis text mentioned 44.2, but the trade plan field specifies 45.6). No changes to targets or horizon for now; monitor early-hours liquidity and any macro rotation in cyclicals.
Confidence 85%
11/02/2025 20:32 PM
Hold
overhead_resistance_near_49_8_to_50
post_earnings_fade_risk
macro_cyclical_rotation_sensitivity
gap_and_weekend_headline_risk
Position remains on track: post-earnings momentum intact with price above EMA/SMA stack, RSI ~58.5 and positive MACD histogram. No stop, target, or horizon triggers. Next key level is the prior high/psychological zone near 49.8–50; a strong push through there would likely accelerate toward 52–53.5. Be mindful of post-earnings fade risk and cyclical rotation; a decisive reversal back through mid-46s on rising sell volume would warrant caution, but current structure supports holding for targets within the 9-day window.
Confidence 87%
11/02/2025 19:33 PM
Hold
resistance_near_49_8
macro_rotation_risk
pullback_gapfill_risk
short_interest_metrics_stale
Thesis intact post-earnings. Price (47.23) holds above the EMA stack with RSI ~58.5 and positive MACD histogram, indicating bullish momentum. No evidence of a stop breach and targets (52–53.5) not reached; horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Maintain the recorded stop at 45.6; monitor 49.8 resistance for potential stall. Prefer adds only on dips back into 46–47 rather than chasing.
Confidence 86%
11/02/2025 18:32 PM
Hold
resistance_near_49_8
momentum_positive_but_not_confirmed_by_macd_line
price_above_ema_cluster
horizon_time_decay
gap_from_prior_close_large
No stop, target, or horizon breach. Price holds above the EMA stack with RSI ~58 and a positive MACD histogram, keeping the post-earnings momentum thesis intact. Maintain stop at 45.6 (beneath EMA support) and targets at 52–53.5. Key near-term level is ~49.8; a clean breakout would likely accelerate the move toward targets, while a rejection could bring a retest toward mid-46s.
Confidence 84%
11/02/2025 17:32 PM
Hold
overhead_resistance_near_49_8
gap_fill_risk
macro_rotation_risk
short_interest_data_stale
Earnings-beat drift remains constructive: last 47.23 holds well above the EMA stack (9/21/50 ~45.8/45.8/45.3), RSI ~58 and MACD histogram positive. No rules triggered: stop 45.6 not breached, targets 52.0–53.5 not hit, and horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) still open. Expect some chop below the prior high near 49.8; watch for a volume-backed breakout. Maintain plan and be ready to respect the stop; consider tactical trims if momentum stalls near 49.8 as originally noted.
Confidence 87%
11/02/2025 16:32 PM
Hold
approaching_round_number_resistance_50
gap_fill_risk
post_earnings_volatility
macro_cyclical_sensitivity
Position remains active. Price (47.23) is above the EMA cluster (9/21 ~45.76) with RSI ~58.5 and a positive MACD histogram, consistent with post-earnings follow-through. Stop (45.6) not breached; target zone (52.0–53.5) not yet reached; horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) still open. Main near-term risk is supply at the prior 52-week high/round-number area ~49.8–50. If momentum stalls there, consider tactical partials per plan while keeping core for the 52–53.5 objective. Maintain the defined stop at 45.6 to guard against a gap-fill toward the EMA stack.
Confidence 86%
11/02/2025 15:32 PM
Hold
resistance_near_50
gap_fill_risk
macro_rotation_risk
short_interest_data_stale
No target or stop triggered. Last 47.23 remains above the 46–47 entry band and above the EMA stack; RSI ~58 and MACD histogram positive support the post-earnings drift thesis. Key near-term test sits at prior high/round number resistance around 49.8–50; a clean push through improves odds of a run toward 52–53.5. Maintain defined risk at 45.6 and monitor for any momentum fade or a close back below the EMA cluster.
Confidence 85%
11/02/2025 09:39 AM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 45.6
overhead_resistance_near_49_8
cyclicals_macro_sensitivity
post_earnings_follow_through_not_guaranteed
weekend_gap_risk
reliance_on_short_interest_dynamics
Still tracking the post-earnings drift: last at ~47.23 sits above the EMA stack, RSI ~58 and MACD histogram positive, with supportive news tone. No stop or target hit and horizon remains open. Primary near-term risk is a stall at prior resistance ~49.8; maintain upside targets 52–53.5. Tightening the stop modestly to sit just below the 9/21-EMAs to protect gains while allowing normal volatility. A strong daily close above 50 would improve odds of a push into targets.
Confidence 85%
11/02/2025 08:35 AM
Hold
resistance_near_49_8_to_50
weekend_gap_risk
cyclicals_macro_sensitivity
momentum_could_stall_below_prior_high
Setup remains constructive post-earnings: price is above the 46–47 entry band and the EMA cluster, RSI ~58 with positive MACD histogram, and news tone is supportive. No stop or target triggers. Respect the defined stop at 45.5 (per trade plan parameters) and monitor the 49.8–50 resistance; a clean breakout with volume would improve odds of reaching 52–53.5. No changes to levels for now; reassess stops higher only on sustained strength above 50.
Confidence 84%
11/02/2025 06:35 AM
Hold
overhead_resistance_near_49.8_to_50
gap_fill_risk_to_EMA_cluster_45.7
macro_rotation_out_of_cyclicals
post_earnings_volatility
Thesis intact. Post-earnings momentum remains constructive: price holds above the EMA cluster, RSI ~58.5, and MACD histogram positive. No stop/target/horizon triggers hit; last ~47.23 is slightly above the 46–47 entry band and well above the 45.5 stop. Near-term focus is on a retest of 49.8–50 resistance; a clean breakout would likely accelerate toward the 52–53.5 target range. Weekend gap risk remains; if price loses the EMA cluster and 45.5, treat as STOP_HIT. If we get a strong push through 50 with volume, consider tightening the stop on follow-through to lock gains.
Confidence 83%
11/01/2025 20:35 PM
Hold
resistance_near_50
gap_fill_risk
cyclical_rotation_risk
Thesis intact post-earnings: price closed above the EMA cluster with RSI ~58 and positive MACD histogram, supporting near-term upside. No stop (45.5) or target (52–53.5) triggers and horizon remains open (through Nov 9). Expect chop into the 49.8–50 resistance; hold the line as long as price maintains above mid-46s and especially 45.5 on a closing basis.
Confidence 84%
11/01/2025 19:36 PM
Hold
gap_down_risk
overhead_resistance_49_8
cyclicals_rotation_risk
post_earnings_drift_may_fade
Active. Price (47.23) is above the 9/21/50-day EMAs with RSI ~58 and a positive MACD histogram; post-earnings news tone remains supportive. Neither stop (45.5) nor targets (52–53.5) have been touched, and horizon remains open. Primary near-term level to monitor is prior high/overhead resistance around 49.8; take partials if momentum stalls there and re-engage on a clean breakout. Maintain the 45.5 stop below the EMA stack/50-day; consider stepping aside if a daily close <45.5 coincides with MACD rolling over. No adds above 47 unless a high-volume push clears 50.
Confidence 86%
11/01/2025 18:37 PM
Hold
overhead_resistance_near_49.8
weekend_gap_risk
cyclical_rotation_risk
Active. Price (47.23) remains above the EMA cluster with RSI ~58 and a positive MACD histogram; post-earnings tone is supportive. No stop (45.5) or target (52–53.5) triggers yet, and horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Watch 49.8 resistance; consider partials if momentum stalls there. Maintain 45.5 stop to allow normal noise; targets unchanged.
Confidence 87%
11/01/2025 17:35 PM
Hold
post_earnings_gap_risk
overhead_resistance_near_49_8
cyclical_macro_sensitivity
short_interest_volatility
Price (47.23) remains within/just above the planned 46–47 entry zone, stop intact, and targets (52–53.5) not reached. Momentum signals remain constructive (RSI ~58, positive MACD histogram) and post-earnings news tone is supportive. No stop/target/horizon rules triggered. Maintain the setup; watch 49.8 resistance—clean break should accelerate toward targets. Avoid chasing above 47.5; prefer adds only on orderly dips toward 46.5–47 with volume confirming. A close below 45.5 would invalidate the near-term extension case per plan.
Confidence 86%
11/01/2025 16:35 PM
Hold
post_earnings_drift
resistance_49_8
gap_fade_risk
macro_cyclicals_rotation
weekend_headline_risk
Active and on-plan. Last 47.23 remains above the EMA stack with RSI ~58 and a positive MACD histogram, supporting the post-earnings drift thesis. No stop (45.5) or target (52–53.5) has been triggered; horizon still open. Watch the prior resistance near 49.8—if momentum stalls there, consider partials per plan. A close back below 45.5 with momentum rolling over would invalidate the near-term setup.
Confidence 87%
11/01/2025 15:35 PM
Hold
gap_risk
resistance_near_49_8
macro_rotation_risk
post_earnings_drift_may_fade
Post-earnings follow-through remains intact. Last price 47.23 is holding above the 9/21/50 EMAs (~45.7) with RSI ~58 and a positive MACD histogram, consistent with bullish momentum. No stop or target triggers; horizon still open. Maintain the plan: targets 52.0–53.5 and stop at 45.5 remain appropriate. Watch supply near the prior high ~49.8; if momentum/volume fade there, consider partials per plan. Prefer adds only on pullbacks into the 46–47 zone.
Confidence 88%
11/01/2025 14:37 PM
Hold
post-earnings-volatility
near-term-resistance-49.8
cyclical-rotation-risk
Thesis intact post-earnings: price (47.23) is holding above the EMA stack with RSI ~58 and positive MACD histogram, and news flow remains supportive. No stop-loss breach (using 45.5 per plan inputs), targets (52–53.5) not reached, and horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) is early. Maintain plan; avoid chasing above the entry band and look to add only on dips back toward 46–47. Monitor the 49.8 resistance; consider trimming into that level if momentum stalls.
Confidence 87%
11/01/2025 13:36 PM
Hold
resistance_near_49_8
weekend_gap_risk
cyclical_rotation_risk
gap_fill_risk_to_mid_46s
Thesis intact post-earnings: price (47.23) holds above EMA/SMA cluster, RSI ~58 and MACD histogram positive suggest bullish momentum. No stop/target/horizon triggers: stop 45.5 not breached; targets 52–53.5 untouched; horizon to 2025-11-09. Key near-term pivot is the 49.8 prior high; expect resistance there. Maintain defined risk into the weekend; gap below 45.5 would convert to STOP_HIT on open.
Confidence 86%
11/01/2025 12:37 PM
Hold
overhead_resistance_49.8
gap_fill_risk
post_earnings_volatility
cyclical_rotation_risk
No stop/target/horizon triggers. Last 47.23 sits just above the 46–47 entry band with momentum intact: price > EMA cluster, RSI ~58, MACD histogram positive. News flow remains supportive post-earnings. Keep the defined stop at 45.5 and targets 52.0–53.5 with the 9-day horizon from 2025-10-31 (expires 2025-11-09). Near-term, watch the 49.8 area as first resistance; a clean push through improves odds of a run to targets, while rejection could retest 46.5–47 support. Hold into next session and reassess on momentum/volume.
Confidence 85%
11/01/2025 11:35 AM
Hold
post_earnings_volatility
resistance_near_49_8
weekend_gap_risk
momentum_could_fade_below_ema_cluster
Thesis remains intact post-earnings: price (47.23) sits above EMA/SMA cluster, RSI ~58 and MACD histogram positive, and news tone is supportive. No stop-loss breach (45.5), no target hit (52–53.5), and horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) not expired. Maintain the plan; monitor resistance near 49.8 for potential stall. Using 45.5 stop per the explicit plan (ignoring the conflicting 44.2 mention).
Confidence 86%
11/01/2025 10:37 AM
Hold
resistance_near_49.8_50
weekend_gap_risk
short_interest_data_stale
ACTIVE. Price (47.23) remains above the EMA cluster with RSI ~58 and positive MACD histogram, and news flow is supportive post-earnings. No stop/target/horizon triggers; horizon ends 2025-11-09. Key near-term level is the 49.8–50 resistance/pivot; a clean break would validate momentum toward 52–53.5. Maintain stop at 45.5 per plan; a close below that with momentum deterioration would invalidate near-term drift. Prefer adds only on dips toward 46–47 rather than chasing.
Confidence 85%
11/01/2025 09:35 AM
Hold
overhead_resistance_49_8
post_earnings_volatility
cyclical_rotation_risk
gap_risk_next_open
No stop/target/horizon triggers. Price (47.23) holds above EMA cluster with RSI ~58 and bullish MACD histogram; post-earnings news tone remains positive. Maintain the plan: respect 45.5 stop and 52.0–53.5 targets. Watch overhead resistance near 49.8; prefer adds on dips rather than chasing if not fully sized.
Confidence 85%
11/01/2025 08:32 AM
Hold
overhead_resistance_49_8
post_earnings_drift_can_fade
macro_rotation_risk
gap_fill_risk
Post-earnings follow-through intact: price (47.23) is above the EMA cluster (~45.75) with RSI ~58 and a positive MACD histogram, aligning with a bullish momentum read. No stop (45.5) or target (52–53.5) has been hit, and horizon (through Nov 9) remains open. Overhead resistance near the prior high (~49.8) may cause a pause; otherwise, the setup remains constructive. Keeping existing levels per the recorded plan; monitor any fade back toward 45.7–45.5 for momentum loss.
Confidence 85%
11/01/2025 07:32 AM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 45.5
overhead_resistance_49_8
post_earnings_volatility
macro_cyclicals_rotation
gap_follow_through_needed
Post-earnings drift is intact: price closed 47.23, above the 46–47 entry zone and above the EMA stack with RSI ~58 and a positive MACD histogram. No stop or target triggers and the 9-day horizon just began. Key near-term risk is overhead supply near the prior 52-week high (~49.8) before the 52–53.5 target band. Maintain the trade but tighten risk beneath the EMA cluster; a decisive break/close below ~45.5 would weaken the setup.
Confidence 84%
11/01/2025 06:32 AM
Tighten Stop
Stop Loss: 45.2
gap_fill_after_earnings
overhead_resistance_49_8_to_50
cyclical_macro_sensitivity
momentum_breakdown_if_close_below_45_5
weekend_headline_gap_risk
Earnings beat follow-through held: last 47.23 vs prior close 44.65, price above EMA cluster with RSI ~58 and positive MACD histogram. Neither target (52–53.5) nor stop (44.2) was hit, and horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) is intact. We keep the long active but tighten risk after the strong day-1 move. Key watch: potential stall near the 49.8–50 prior high; consider taking partials on a weak-volume test. Weekend gap-fill risk is elevated; a hard stop now at 45.2 sits below the 45.5 invalidation area and below the EMA stack to allow some noise while protecting gains.
Confidence 82%
10/31/2025 20:32 PM
Hold
post_earnings_fade_risk
overhead_resistance_near_49_8
cyclical_rotation_risk
gap_fill_reversal_risk
No stop/target/horizon triggers. Post-earnings follow-through kept price above the EMA cluster with RSI ~58 and a bullish MACD histogram, consistent with the thesis. Positive news tone supports near-term drift; overhead supply likely near ~49.8 remains the first test. Maintain plan into next week; consider partial profit-taking near 49.8 if momentum stalls, otherwise look for a breakout toward 52–53.5. Keep original stop through early post-earnings volatility; tighten only on a confirmed push/hold above ~49.8.
Confidence 80%
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