LLY (Eli Lilly and Company Recommendation

11/04/2025 12:38 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 895

RSI_overbought extended_above_short_term_EMAs overhead_resistance_near_prior_highs momentum_reversion_risk

LLY remains on-track post-earnings with strong momentum (MACD rising, RSI elevated). Price (~905) is well above entry band and below the 952–970 target zone; no target/stop/horizon rules triggered. Given overbought conditions and extension above short MAs, tighten risk to protect gains. Maintain original target band; consider trimming a portion into 935–945 (near prior highs) while riding remainder toward 952–970 if momentum persists.

Confidence 86%

11/04/2025 11:39 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 892

overbought_RSI breakout_failure_risk gap_fill_risk elevated_social_attention_volatility post-earnings_momentum_fade

LLY remains on post-earnings momentum: price ~905 is well above short-term MAs with bullish MACD, though RSI ~74 is stretched. No target or stop levels have been triggered and horizon remains open. To manage risk into overbought conditions and rising attention, tighten the stop to protect gains while keeping the original targets intact. Expect chop/pullbacks; consider opportunistic trims into the 935–940 zone ahead of the official target band if momentum stalls.

Confidence 85%

11/04/2025 10:38 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 890

RSI_overbought momentum_extended profit_taking_near_prior_highs gap_fill_risk macro_rotation_risk elevated_social_buzz_volatility

LLY remains in a strong post-earnings momentum trend: last 911.34 with bullish MACD and RSI ~73. Targets (952–970) not reached and horizon still open (expires 2025-11-09). No adverse news; sentiment is elevated. Given overbought readings and a fast move, tighten risk to protect gains while allowing some wiggle. Note: original write-up mentioned a deeper fail-safe (~820), but the active record stop has been managed higher; continuing with a tighter trailing stop to lock profit. Consider trimming into 940–945 if momentum stalls en route to targets.

Confidence 86%

11/04/2025 09:41 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 875

rsi_overbought_70plus elevated_volatility_from_social_buzz gap_risk_vs_prior_close

Momentum and trend remain strong: price holds well above EMA9/21 with bullish MACD and rising social interest. No target hit and not at horizon. RSI >70 signals overbought/heat, so protect gains. Keep the 952–970 target band and 9-day window into Nov 9. Tightening the stop to lock profit in case of a momentum fade.

Confidence 88%

11/04/2025 08:36 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought_>70 EarlyHours_liquidity_gap_risk Potential_gap_fill_to_880-870 Resistance_near_prior_highs_930-950 Tight_stop_vs_support_may_whipsaw

LLY is trending well post-earnings: price ~896 with bullish MACD and RSI ~73. Targets (952–970) not hit and horizon (through 2025-11-09) remains. No adverse news; social interest up. Overbought conditions raise pullback risk, but trend intact. Maintain plan toward 952–970; consider taking partials into 930–940 to de-risk. Current stop (872) is tight relative to new support near 870; be aware of potential whipsaw on a standard retest. No rule-based exit triggered.

Confidence 89%

11/04/2025 07:37 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 872

RSI_overbought_70plus breakout_retest_risk_around_870 early_hours_liquidity_slippage gap_fill_pullback_risk

LLY is tracking well above the 848–865 entry window at 896.35 with strong momentum (bullish MACD, RSI ~73). No target hit (952–970) and not near horizon expiry (Nov 9). Given the breakout over the ~870 area and elevated RSI, protect gains by tightening the stop to just below the new support. Keeping targets and horizon unchanged. Note: original text referenced a deeper fail-safe (~820) while the structured stop showed 870; using a tightened trailing stop now that price has cleared resistance.

Confidence 88%

11/04/2025 06:36 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 870

RSI_overbought extended_above_EMA gap_fill_risk competitor_event_risk

LLY remains on track: price is 896.35, well above the 848 stop and below the 952–970 target band. Momentum is strong (bullish MACD, RSI >70), and news flow is supportive with rising social interest. No stop/target/horizon rules triggered. Given the breakout above prior resistance (~870) and extended distance from the original stop, tighten risk to protect gains; allow for a normal pullback without round-tripping the win. Consider taking partials into 935–945 if offered while keeping core for the 952–970 target. Use regular-hours stops to avoid premarket illiquidity wicks.

Confidence 90%

11/03/2025 20:35 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 848

RSI_overbought_70plus momentum_cooldown_risk approaching_prior_high_resistance sector_rotation_risk supply_constraint_headline_risk

LLY is following through post-earnings with strong momentum (MACD rising, RSI ~73) and supportive news/buzz. Price remains below the 952–970 target band and far above the stop; horizon not yet reached. Given the overbought reading and rapid extension from short-term averages, tighten risk slightly while keeping the original target band and horizon. Expect digestion/pullbacks; protect gains without choking normal volatility.

Confidence 89%

11/03/2025 19:35 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 842

RSI_overbought_70plus gap_risk_next_open extended_above_EMA9 approaching_prior_highs social_sentiment_spike

Momentum follow-through post-earnings remains strong (RSI >70, bullish MACD) with supportive news flow and rising social interest. No stop or target triggers; horizon intact (through Nov 9). Given elevated RSI and distance from short-term averages, tighten risk to protect gains while keeping the upside band unchanged. If price pushes into 940–945 ahead of targets, consider trimming a portion to manage overbought risk; otherwise ride momentum toward 952–970.

Confidence 88%

11/03/2025 18:36 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 875

RSI_overbought near_52w_high_resistance after_hours_liquidity momentum_extension

LLY continues to follow through on the earnings beat: price 896.35 (AH), MACD rising with positive histogram and RSI ~72.7. News flow and social interest are supportive, and no stop/target/horizon rules have triggered. With the tape extended and resistance likely near the prior highs (~935–940) ahead of our 952–970 target band, we will tighten the stop to protect gains while keeping targets and horizon intact. Consider opportunistic trims into the 940 area per plan, but official targets remain unchanged.

Confidence 86%

11/03/2025 17:36 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 872

RSI_overbought extended_from_short_MAs after_hours_liquidity gap_fill_risk sector_rotation_risk

Still within the 9-day window (day 3) with strong post-earnings follow-through. Price ~896 is well above EMA9/21 and prior resistance near 870; MACD remains bullish and RSI ~73 shows strong momentum but edging into overbought, increasing pullback risk. No stop or target has triggered. To protect gains and account for elevated momentum/after-hours liquidity, raise the stop just above the 870 breakout area. Keep targets intact given the fundamental tailwind and trend strength. Note: original narrative referenced an 820 fail-safe, while the structured plan listed 868; aligning with the structured level and tightening to trail support.

Confidence 88%

11/03/2025 16:36 PM

Hold

rsi_overbought_70plus extended_above_ema after_hours_liquidity breakout_retest_risk_870 plan_stop_inconsistency_noted

ACTIVE. Price (896.35) is well above entry zone (848–865), the stop (868) has not been breached, and the 9-day horizon from 2025-10-31 has not expired. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, RSI ~73), aided by positive news flow and rising social interest. However, RSI >70 and the extension above short-term EMAs increase pullback/retest risk toward the 870 breakout area. Targets (952–970) remain unhit. Note: the narrative mentioned a 820 stop, but the plan’s explicit stop_loss is 868; using the explicit plan level as authoritative. Consider taking partials into strength as price approaches the prior high region (~930–940) on the way to targets to manage overbought risk.

Confidence 87%

11/03/2025 15:35 PM

Hold

rsi_overbought momentum_extension gap_extension target_below_all_time_high_zone

LLY is extending its post-earnings momentum: last 895.44 with bullish MACD and rising EMAs. RSI ~72 signals near-term overbought, so expect chop/pullbacks but no technical breakdown; price remains well above support and below the 952–970 target band. No stop breach and horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) not yet expired. Maintain the trade, avoid chasing adds at these stretched levels; prefer adds only on controlled dips if they occur. Note: the plan text mentioned an 820 fail-safe, while the structured stop shows 868; managing to 868 (more protective). Either way, no breach. Consider harvesting small partials into the low-940s if reached en route to targets to reduce volatility risk.

Confidence 88%

11/03/2025 14:36 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought breakout_retest_risk macro_rotation_risk headline_competition_risk

LLY is following through post-earnings with strong momentum (price ~899.68, bullish MACD, RSI ~73). No stop, target, or horizon triggers have occurred. Maintain the trade as ACTIVE. Keep the operational stop near 868 (just below the ~870 breakout area) to protect gains if the breakout fails. Targets remain 952–970 within the 9‑day window; be prepared to trim on strength into the low-940s per plan. RSI is elevated, so a retest of 870 is possible—avoid chasing adds; hold core and let the trend work.

Confidence 90%

11/03/2025 13:36 PM

Hold

rsi_overbought_70_plus extended_above_short_term_emas approaching_prior_high_resistance macro_rotation_risk competition_glp1_category potential_supply_constraints momentum_could_mean_reversion_short_term

LLY is progressing well post-earnings with price at 891.69, strong bullish momentum (MACD > signal, positive histogram) and RSI ~72 indicating strength but near-term overbought risk. Social mentions are rising and recent headlines remain supportive. We have not reached targets (952–970) and the 9-day window (day 3 of 9) is intact. Keep the defined stop at 868, which sits just below the prior breakout/pivot region (~870), and respect partial profit-taking into strength near the low-940s en route to targets to manage overbought risk. Expect digestion/pullbacks after the run; avoid chasing and let the trend work while protecting gains with the existing stop.

Confidence 88%

11/03/2025 12:36 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 868

rsi_overbought extended_from_ema breakout_retest_risk macro_rotation_risk competition_headlines_risk

LLY remains on track: last ~890.9 is well above entry (848–865) and below the 952–970 target band. No stop or horizon rules triggered. Momentum is strong (bullish MACD), but RSI ~72 signals near-term stretch and potential for a pullback or breakout retest. To protect gains after the 870 breakout, tighten the stop just below that pivot. Keep targets and horizon unchanged; consider opportunistic trims on sharp extensions toward the low-940s while aiming for the 952–970 band.

Confidence 86%

11/03/2025 11:36 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 862

RSI_overbought extended_from_ema breakout_continuation macro_rotation_risk competitive_headline_risk supply_constraint_risk

LLY is following through post-earnings: price ~885 is above the 9/21EMAs, MACD is positive and rising, and RSI ~71 shows strong momentum (slightly overbought). Breakout over the 870 area is holding intraday. No stop or target has been triggered and horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Maintain the target band 952–970; tighten risk to protect gains if the breakout fails. Consider trimming near prior highs (~935–940) on the way to targets to manage volatility.

Confidence 88%

11/03/2025 10:36 AM

Hold

RSI_near_overbought price_extended_above_EMA9 overhead_resistance_near_prior_high_935 stop_above_near_term_support_may_whipsaw market_still_within_horizon_window

Price is advancing post-earnings (last ~876.5 vs prior close ~862.9) with bullish momentum (MACD > signal) and RSI near 70. Neither target (952–970) nor stop (850) has been touched, and the 9-day horizon (thru ~Nov 9) remains. Maintain ACTIVE, keep current levels. Note: original text referenced a 820 stop; managing to the explicit plan stop_loss of 850. If momentum stalls near the prior high (~935), consider partial trims, but core targets unchanged.

Confidence 90%

11/03/2025 09:35 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 850

rsi_elevated_near_overbought momentum_extended_above_ema9_ema21 approaching_prior_high_resistance_~935 gap_follow_through_risk_if_momentum_fades

Price 877.34 is well above the 848–865 entry band and far from the 845 stop. Momentum remains constructive (RSI ~66.7, MACD > signal, positive histogram) with price riding above short-term EMAs. No stop/target/horizon triggers. Given the extension versus EMAs, tighten risk: raise the stop to 850 (just above the lower prior entry region) to reduce drawdown while allowing normal volatility. Keep the 952–970 target band and the 9-day horizon intact. If strength continues into the 930s near the prior high (~935), consider discretionary partial trims to de-risk on the way to targets; avoid adding above 875–880 and look for controlled dips if adding is necessary.

Confidence 89%

11/03/2025 08:35 AM

Hold

pre-breakout-resistance-near-prior-highs sector-rotation/macro-risk competitor-headline-risk (GLP-1 space) early-hours gap/volatility risk

Setup remains on-track. Price holds well within the 848–865 buy zone and above rising EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI ~67, and news flow is supportive. No stop/target/horizon rules triggered. Maintain the operative stop at 845 per the structured plan (ignore the 820 mention in narrative as a mismatch). Prefer buying controlled dips in-range; consider trimming a slice near ~940 on approach to prior highs to manage headline/macro risk while targeting 952–970 within the 9-day window.

Confidence 88%

11/03/2025 07:34 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 845

pre_market_liquidity_thin approaching_prior_highs_resistance elevated_rsi gap_risk_open sector_rotation_risk

Position remains valid: price (862.6) sits within the defined entry band (848–865), well above EMA9/21 with bullish MACD and RSI ~67 indicating strong but not extreme momentum. No stop/target/horizon triggers: stop 840 not breached, targets 952–970 not reached, horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) still open. News flow remains supportive of the growth thesis in GLP-1s. Given sustained strength and to manage gap/volatility risk into the open, tighten the stop modestly below recent support. Maintain target band; consider planned partials on strength per original plan.

Confidence 87%

11/03/2025 06:34 AM

Hold

early_hours_liquidity overhead_resistance_around_870 target_requires_new_highs post_earnings_volatility

Thesis remains intact. Price (862.6) is within the planned entry band and well above key EMAs (9/21), with bullish MACD and RSI ~67. No stop (840) breach, no target (952–970) hit, and horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) not reached. Overhead resistance near ~870 remains the first test; a sustained break improves odds of a retest of prior highs (~935) en route to targets. Maintain the current plan and monitor 848–850 as initial support; 840 is the hard stop per the explicit plan.

Confidence 86%

11/02/2025 20:34 PM

Hold

overhead_resistance_near_870 gap_risk_on_reopen post_earnings_volatility

LLY remains on plan. Price (862.6) sits within the 848–865 entry band, above EMA9/21 with bullish MACD and RSI ~67—momentum constructive into the new week. No stop/target/horizon rules triggered. Overhead supply near ~870 remains the first test; a clean break/hold above would improve odds toward the 952–970 target band within the 9-day window (expires 2025-11-09). Hard stop honored at 840 per plan fields (ignore earlier narrative reference to 820). Consider opportunistic partials near ~940 on the way to targets to de-risk, but core targets unchanged.

Confidence 86%

11/02/2025 19:34 PM

Hold

gap_risk sector_rotation_risk competitive_headlines_risk supply_constraint_risk momentum_breakdown_risk

Price (862.6) sits within the 848–865 entry band and well above the 9/21 EMAs; momentum remains constructive (RSI ~67, bullish MACD). No stop/target/horizon triggers. Maintain the current plan: hard stop 840, target band 952–970 within the 9-day window ending Nov 9. Near-term level to watch is a clean break/hold above ~870; if strength persists and a higher low forms, consider trailing the stop up on that next pullback. If momentum fades and we get a decisive close back below ~848 with MACD deterioration, reduce risk. Optional risk management: take partials into ~940 on strength ahead of the target band.

Confidence 86%

11/02/2025 18:34 PM

Hold

weekend_gap_risk prior_high_resistance macro_rotation_risk competitive_headlines_GLp1 supply_constraint_headlines

LLY remains within the planned entry band with momentum intact. No stop or target triggers and horizon remains open. Technicals are supportive (price above EMA9/21, bullish MACD, RSI ~67). Maintain the explicit stop at 840 per plan fields (ignore the narrative’s 820 mention). Expect resistance near prior highs (~935–940) on the way to the 952–970 target band; consider trimming into strength there to manage risk. Watch for weekend gap risk and any GLP-1 competitive or supply headlines that could introduce volatility.

Confidence 85%

11/02/2025 17:33 PM

Hold

overhead_resistance_~870 weekend_gap_risk gap_through_stop_risk sector_headline_risk_GLp1/competitors elevated_RSI_near_70

LLY remains within the defined buy zone (last 862.6 vs. 848–865). No stop or target triggers and the 9-day horizon is intact. Momentum still constructive (RSI ~67, MACD positive) with price holding above EMA9/21. Overhead resistance near 870 is the next hurdle; a clean break and hold would strengthen the path toward 900/935 on the way to the 952–970 target band. Keep the hard stop at 840 for now; consider trailing tighter only after a confirmed breakout over 870 with follow-through. Be mindful of Monday gap risk and headline sensitivity in the GLP‑1 space.

Confidence 86%

11/02/2025 16:33 PM

Hold

gap_risk_after_weekend near_term_resistance_around_870 post_earnings_volatility

No rules triggered. Last 862.6 is above the 840 stop and below the 952–970 target band; horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Momentum remains constructive (RSI ~66.7, MACD positive) with price above EMA9/21 and near planned entry range. Respect 840 as the operative stop (explicit plan parameter). Expect resistance near 870; a clean push/hold above that can open a run toward prior highs. Prefer adding on dips within the 848–865 band rather than chasing a gap. Monitor for any momentum rollover or decisive break of 840.

Confidence 87%

11/02/2025 15:34 PM

Hold

nearby_resistance_~870 gap_risk_next_open macro_rotation_risk competitive_headlines_in_obesity_space supply_constraint_headline_risk

Price (862.6) remains in the planned entry band (848–865) with bullish momentum (RSI ~67, MACD positive) and no negative news flow. No stop, target, or horizon rules have been triggered. Maintain the plan: look for a push/close above ~870 to confirm continuation toward the 935–940 supply zone en route to the 952–970 target band. Be mindful of gap risk into the next session; if momentum stalls under 870 for multiple sessions, reassess. Partial profit consideration near ~940 remains prudent.

Confidence 88%

11/02/2025 09:41 AM

Hold

near_term_resistance_~870 rsi_>65_short_term_overbought_risk monday_open_gap_risk stop_is_tight_vs_intraday_swings

LLY remains within the planned entry zone and well above the stop. No target or stop levels have been triggered, and the 9-day horizon is intact. Momentum signals (RSI mid-60s, bullish MACD) and supportive post-earnings tone keep the long thesis intact. Near-term resistance sits around 870; watch for Monday gap risk. Maintain current plan and risk controls.

Confidence 89%

11/02/2025 08:37 AM

Hold

post-earnings volatility gap risk (next session) sector rotation risk GLP-1 supply/competition headline risk

ACTIVE. Price (862.6) sits within the 848–865 entry band and above the 840 stop; no stop/target/horizon trigger. Horizon remains open through 2025-11-09. Momentum stays constructive (RSI ~66.7, bullish MACD) with price above EMA9/21. Keep plan intact: stop 840; target band 952–970. Tactically: watch 870 resistance—if a clean breakout/close above 870, consider tightening stop into 845–850 on follow-through next session; if early fade below ~850 on rising volume, avoid adds but hold unless 840 breaks. Can trim a starter around ~940 on strength per original plan. Key risks: weekend/next-session gap risk, GLP-1 supply/competition headlines, sector rotation.

Confidence 89%

11/02/2025 06:37 AM

Hold

gap risk on next open RSI elevated (>65) overhead supply near prior high macro/sector rotation risk headline risk around GLP-1/obesity theme

Last price 862.6 sits within the planned 848–865 entry band, so the position is considered initiated. No evidence of a stop-loss breach (explicit stop 840), no target touch (952–970), and horizon (9 days) has not expired (valid through 2025-11-09). Momentum remains constructive (RSI ~66.7, MACD positive). Near-term resistance around 870; a clean break should improve momentum toward the prior high zone before the target band. Maintain defined risk at 840 and follow the original 9-day plan; no changes to levels at this time.

Confidence 89%

11/01/2025 20:36 PM

Hold

approaching_prior_high_resistance macro_rotation_risk competitive_headlines_risk weekend_headline_gap_risk

LLY remains above the defined stop (840) and well below targets (952–970). Momentum signals are intact (bullish MACD, RSI ~67) and news flow stays supportive. Price closed inside the planned entry zone (848–865), keeping the setup valid. No stop/target/horizon triggers and no thesis-breaking developments. Maintain the plan; consider opportunistic trims into the 940s en route to targets if strength accelerates. Monitoring next: hold >850 on dips, a clean push through ~870, and subsequent retest of prior highs near the mid-930s. Using 840 as the operative stop per the explicit plan.

Confidence 89%

11/01/2025 19:37 PM

Hold

gap_risk overhead_resistance_870 macro_rotation_risk competitor_headline_risk supply_constraint_headline_risk

LLY remains within the planned entry zone and above short-term EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI not overbought. No stop/target/horizon rules triggered; position stays active. Respecting the explicit stop at 840 per plan. Key near-term level is 870 resistance—sustained break and hold would set up a run toward prior highs (~935) and the 952–970 target band. Be mindful of weekend gap and macro rotation risk; avoid adding until strength >870 confirms. Consider opportunistic trims into ~940 on strength while still targeting 952–970.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 18:38 PM

Hold

weekend_gap_risk overbought_risk resistance_near_870 overhead_supply_near_prior_high_935 macro_rotation_risk competition_novo_risk supply_constraints_risk

ACTIVE. Price 862.6 sits within the 848–865 entry zone, above EMA9/21 with bullish MACD and RSI ~67. No stop/target/horizon triggers (stop 840 intact; targets 952–970 not reached; horizon through 2025-11-09). Near-term resistance around 870 and the prior high zone into ~935 could cause hesitation; watch for a higher low on any pullback toward 850–855. We’ll adhere to the structured stop at 840 (ignore the narrative 820). Consider opportunistic trims near ~940 ahead of former highs and re-add on constructive retests; otherwise hold for the 952–970 band.

Confidence 89%

11/01/2025 17:37 PM

Hold

weekend_gap_risk overhead_resistance_around_870_and_prior_high_near_935 macro_rotation_risk competitive_headline_risk_(Novo) supply_constraint_headline_risk post_earnings_drift_or_gap_fill_risk

LLY remains within plan. Last price 862.6 sits inside the 848–865 entry zone; no stop-loss breach (840) and no target tag (952–970). Horizon remains open through 2025-11-09. Technicals stay constructive (RSI ~67, MACD > signal) and news tone is positive post-earnings. Maintain current levels and monitor 870 and the prior high area near 935 as resistance; a clean breakout with volume would justify tightening stops on strength next week. For now, keep the existing stop/targets unchanged to avoid whipsaw near support.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 16:36 PM

Hold

post_earnings_volatility near_term_resistance_~870 RSI_elevated_but_not_overbought macro_rotation_risk

No stop/target/horizon triggers. Last 862.6 remains within the planned 848–865 entry zone and well above the 840 stop. Momentum stays constructive (RSI ~67, bullish MACD) with no adverse news flow; earnings beat narrative intact. Operative stop is 840 per plan header (ignore the 820 mention in the long-form text). Maintain posture; look for a clean push through ~870 to confirm follow-through toward 952–970 over the 9-day window.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 15:37 PM

Hold

gap_down_risk overhead_supply_near_prior_highs_935-940 sector_rotation_risk headline_risk_competitor_actions supply_constraint_headline_risk weekend_event_risk

No stop/target/horizon triggers. Price (862.6) closed within the 848–865 entry band and above short-term MAs; MACD remains positive and RSI ~67 suggests strong but not overextended momentum. News flow stays supportive post-earnings. Maintain the plan toward 952–970 over the 9-day window; consider tactical trims near ~940 en route to targets. Use 840 as the operative hard stop per the plan; be mindful this is relatively tight versus EMA9 and could whipsaw on a gap—reassess intraday if market tone weakens.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 14:40 PM

Hold

weekend_gap_risk overhead_resistance_870 overhead_supply_near_prior_highs plan_inconsistency_stop_levels macro_rotation_risk

Price closed 862.6, inside the 848–865 entry band, with bullish momentum (RSI ~67, MACD positive). No stop (840) or target (952–970) triggers and horizon (9 days from 2025-10-31; expires 2025-11-09) remains open. Maintain position; respect 870 as near-term resistance and prior-high supply into ~935–940 before target zone. Note: plan text referenced a 820 stop, but structured stop is 840—using 840 as binding risk level. If price convincingly breaks and holds above 870 next week, consider trailing risk tighter on follow-through; otherwise keep current levels.

Confidence 87%

11/01/2025 13:38 PM

Hold

gap_risk overhead_resistance_~870 macro_rotation_risk competition_headline_risk supply_constraint_risk

LLY remains on-plan: price (862.6) sits within the 848–865 entry zone, momentum is constructive (RSI ~67, MACD positive), and no stop/target/horizon rule has triggered. Overhead resistance near ~870 remains the next test; above that, room opens toward prior highs and the 952–970 target band. We continue to respect the explicit stop at 840 per the trade parameters (noting the narrative reference to 820 was inconsistent). Weekend gap risk applies with the market closed; no new negatives in the provided news flow. Consider trimming near ~940 on strength en route to targets to manage event risk.

Confidence 86%

11/01/2025 12:39 PM

Hold

weekend_gap_risk overhead_supply_near_prior_highs peer_headline_risk supply_constraint_risk macro_rotation_risk

No stop/target/horizon rule triggered. Last 862.6 sits within planned entry band (848–865), well above the explicit stop 840 and below the 952–970 target zone. Momentum remains constructive (RSI ~67, MACD positive), and news tone is supportive. Maintain the plan: defend 840 as the fail-safe (note: using the explicit 840 stop from the plan parameters), watch 870 resistance; a strong break/close above could accelerate toward prior highs en route to the target band. Be mindful of weekend gap risk; if a gap-down tests 848–852, look for stabilization before adding. Consider opportunistic partials into ~940 on strength per plan context, but primary targets remain unchanged.

Confidence 87%

11/01/2025 11:37 AM

Hold

gap_risk near_term_resistance_870 elevated_rsi sector_rotation_risk competition_headline_risk

LLY closed at 862.60, sitting within the 848–865 entry band. Momentum remains constructive (MACD above signal, RSI ~67) and price is above short-term EMAs. No stop (840) or target (952–970) triggers and the 9-day horizon is intact. Maintain the position into next week. Watch 870 resistance on the next session; a strong break-and-hold could justify tightening the stop toward the 845–848 zone, but for now keep the explicit 840 hard stop to avoid premature shakeouts. Consider taking partials near ~940 on the way to targets to manage gap/event risk.

Confidence 87%

11/01/2025 10:39 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 840

Overhead resistance near 870 may reject on next open Weekend gap/news risk Macro/sector rotation out of pharma Competitive headlines (Novo) or supply constraints Momentum fade risk if MACD rolls over or RSI cools

No stop/target/horizon triggers. Price remains within the entry band and momentum is constructive (RSI strong, MACD positive) with support above short-term EMAs. Expect some chop near ~870 resistance; maintain the plan but tighten risk below the 840 pivot to protect against weekend gap risk. Keep 952–970 targets and the 9-day horizon intact. Consider scaling small profits into ~940 if reached en route to targets.

Confidence 87%

11/01/2025 09:36 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 830

weekend_gap_risk near_term_resistance_~870 momentum_overbought_risk_rsi_>65 macro_rotation_risk competition_risk_in_obesity_segment supply_constraint_headline_risk

Setup remains intact. Last price 862.6 sits inside the 848–865 buy zone, momentum is constructive (RSI ~67, MACD positive), and no stop/target/horizon rules have triggered. Immediate resistance near 870 may cap the next attempt; weekend gap risk is present. Keep targets as-is and manage risk tighter given the strong post-earnings move. Consider trimming a starter around ~940 on strength en route to the 952–970 band.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 08:34 AM

Hold

weekend_headline_risk macro_rotation_risk competitive_risk_novo_nordisk supply_constraint_risk gap_risk_on_open resistance_near_870

No rule triggers. Price (862.6) remains within the planned entry band (848–865) and well above the stop (820). Momentum/technicals remain constructive (RSI mid-60s, bullish MACD) and news flow is supportive. Maintain the original plan: respect 820 stop, target 952–970 over the 9-day window (expires 2025-11-09). Near-term resistance around ~870 and the prior high zone into the mid-930s could cause chop; per plan, consider partials near ~940 on strength, but no parameter changes now.

Confidence 90%

11/01/2025 07:34 AM

Hold

gap_risk_after_earnings resistance_near_870 RSI_elevated macro_rotation_risk competition_headline_risk supply_constraint_headline_risk

No rule trigger. Price 862.6 sits inside the 848–865 entry band, well above the 820 stop and below the 952–970 target zone. Momentum remains constructive (bullish MACD, RSI ~67) and the post-earnings news tone is positive. Immediate resistance remains ~870 (Friday high). Plan: maintain the current stop at 820 into next session; monitor 840/831 (support near EMA9) for health. A decisive breakout/close above ~870 would support tightening stops toward mid-840s on next review and managing a partial trim near ~940 en route to the 952–970 target band. Be mindful of weekend headline/gap risk into Monday.

Confidence 89%

11/01/2025 06:33 AM

Hold

near_term_resistance_870 rsi_elevated_65_plus weekend_gap_risk social_interest_cooling macro_rotation_risk competitor_actions_novo supply_constraint_headline_risk

No rule triggered. Price 862.6 sits within the planned 848–865 entry zone; stop (820) and targets (952–970) untouched. Momentum remains constructive (RSI ~67, MACD > signal) with price above EMA9/21. Near-term resistance around 870; watch for early-week gap risk. Maintain the plan and monitor for follow-through toward prior highs; no change to targets or stop today.

Confidence 88%

10/31/2025 20:33 PM

Hold

post-earnings-volatility weekend-gap-risk resistance-near-870 macro-rotation-risk competition-headline-risk supply-constraint-risk

Price closed at 862.6, inside the planned 848–865 entry band, with bullish momentum (RSI ~66.7, positive MACD). No stop or target triggers and horizon is intact (day 0/9). Thesis remains supported by positive earnings/news flow. Expect near-term chop around 870 resistance; watch for Monday gap risk. Keep stop at 820 for now; consider taking partials near ~940 on the way to the 952–970 target if momentum stalls.

Confidence 88%