NVDA

Lost - 7 Days Remaining
NVIDIA Corporation
Recommendation Date: 10/31/2025 Update: 11/04/2025 14:42 PM (49 updates)
Trade Plan
Entry $198.00-$202.00
Exit $223.00-$223.00
Stop Loss $199.00
Horizon 12d
Original Confidence 61%
Updated Confidence 61%
Score 0.960

Evidence
Price at Pick:$202.41
Prior Close:$202.89
MACD Value:5.284417
MACD Signal:3.179353
MACD Histogram:2.105064
Trend:Bullish Momentum
Support Est:$200.00
Resistance Est:$212.00
Current Quote
Price
Change
Open
Volume
Rationale

JENSEN JUST FLIPPED THE AI NITRO SWITCH, BOIS. Goldman blesses NVDA with a shiny $240 PT, Korea’s rolling out the red carpet to build AI factories with Team Green, and Papa Huang’s hinting Blackwell chips might be back in the China cart soon. Translation: demand go brrr. We’re parking the tendies wagon around 198–202, letting the suits sell us their weak hands, and then riding this GPU freight train through the 212 speed trap straight to the 223–229 victory lap. MACD is thicc and green, RSI’s spicy but not cooked, and every hyperscaler is hoarding silicon like it’s Black Friday at Micro Center. Risk? Sure, if regulators slam the door on China again or the macro gods decide to rug-pull growth stocks. That’s why we hard-stop at 190—no bagholding allowed. But with sectors humming and AI headlines feeding the dopamine loop, this has “higher high” written all over it. We’re not chasing; we’re sniping the pullback and then moonwalking through resistance. 10%+ in under two weeks? That’s not hopium—that’s Jensenium. Load the cart, kiss your keyboard, and let the tensor cores print.
Updates
11/04/2025 14:42 PM
Hold
near_stop intraday_weakness_vs_prior_close social_buzz_softening
Price is within the 198-202 entry band and holding just above the 199 stop and EMA9 (~198.4). Momentum remains constructive (bullish MACD, RSI ~61), and sector news flow is supportive, but the tape is soft vs prior close and social momentum has cooled. Maintain plan discipline: keep stop at 199; if breached, mark STOP_HIT. No adds here; let price prove strength back above 202 before considering increases.
Confidence 61%
11/04/2025 13:38 PM
Hold
proximity_to_stop testing_200_support stop_inconsistency_199_vs_190
NVDA pulled back to the 200 area (last ~199.8) but remains above the EMA9/21 and with bullish MACD and RSI ~61. Sector/news tone stays supportive. Targets are not reached and horizon is intact. Stop is very close; note the inconsistency between the header stop (199) and the narrative stop (190). For rule-based management here, we adhere to the 199 stop: if breached, close per plan. Otherwise, hold for a potential bounce off 200 support toward the 206–212 zone and on to 223–229.
Confidence 66%
11/04/2025 12:39 PM
Hold
Thin_cushion_to_stop Stop_within_entry_range Intraday_weakness_vs_prior_close Potential_whipsaw_near_EMA9
No rule-based trigger. Last 201.11 is above the 199 stop and below the 223 first target; horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Trend still constructive: price > EMA9 (≈198.5) and EMA21 (≈192.2), MACD positive with bullish momentum, RSI ~61. Pullback from prior close (206.88) leaves price inside the 198–202 entry band, but the 199 stop sits tight and could be whipsawed around the 200 level. Keeping plan intact; monitor 200/EMA9 area—if momentum deteriorates (close < EMA9 with weakening MACD), reassess. Note: using the explicit stop_loss=199 from the trade record (narrative mentioned 190, but plan fields govern).
Confidence 73%
11/04/2025 11:40 AM
Hold
price_below_prior_close near_stop_distance_lt_1.5% needs_breakout_above_212 intraday_volatility_elevated social_buzz_softening
No stop/target/horizon triggers. Last ~202.08 is above EMA9 and well above EMA21 with bullish MACD and RSI ~62. Pullback versus prior close but sector/news tone remains supportive. Maintain the structured stop at 199 (noting narrative mentioned 190) to avoid premature exit while the momentum structure remains intact. Watching 210–212 resistance; a clean push/hold above increases probability of reaching 223–229. If 199/EMA9 breaks with momentum, risk control takes priority.
Confidence 80%
11/04/2025 10:39 AM
Hold
tight_stop_proximity round_number_support_200 pullback_vs_prior_close social_mentions_down_but_high_rank momentum_positive_but_cooling
Price 201.73 sits inside the 198–202 entry window and above the explicit stop at 199. Momentum remains constructive (MACD > signal, RSI ~63.5) and AI/semis newsflow skews positive. No target (223–229) or horizon rule triggered. Risk: proximity to round-number 200 could produce whipsaws; a decisive break of 199 would STOP_HIT per plan. Maintain discipline at 199 and monitor tape around the EMA9 (~198.9).
Confidence 82%
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