XPO (XPO Logistics, Inc. Recommendation

11/03/2025 09:37 AM

Hold

tight_stop_proximity post_earnings_volatility target_pending within_horizon momentum_positive

Status check: trade remains active. Last ~142.59 is above the defined stop (141) and below the first target (148); 7‑day horizon from 2025-10-31 leaves time remaining (expires 2025-11-07). Momentum has improved since entry: RSI ~65.5 and MACD flipped positive with a strong histogram, consistent with post-earnings follow‑through. Positive weekend article tone also supports the beat narrative. Risk: the current stop is tight (~1% below last) and could whipsaw in early session volatility. Plan unchanged to respect the original numeric levels (stop 141, targets 148–152). Note: thesis text referenced a 124 stop, but the trade parameters provided specify 141; this decision follows the provided parameters.

Confidence 86%

11/03/2025 08:37 AM

Hold

early_hours_volatility extended_above_ema9 near_term_resistance_145_148 stop_close_to_price

Strong post-earnings follow-through with bullish momentum (RSI ~65, MACD > signal) and price holding well above short-term MAs. Last at 143.65 is closing in on the 148–152 target band. Keep position ACTIVE and avoid adding above the original entry range; maintain discipline around the existing 141 stop (just below the 141 pivot) to protect gains. Early-hours volatility could retest that area; if breached, honor the stop. If strength persists into regular hours, expect a push toward 146–148 as the next decision zone within the current 7-day window.

Confidence 88%

11/03/2025 07:36 AM

Hold

extended_from_short_term_EMAs early_hours_liquidity_gap_risk approaching_first_target

Momentum follow-through remains strong post-earnings: price is 143.65 in early hours, RSI ~65 and MACD bullish. No target hit (needs >=148) and stop not breached. Keep the trade active into the 148–152 band. Using the structured plan’s stop at 141 as a trailing risk line to protect gains; avoid premarket stop adjustments to reduce whipsaw. If regular-hours strength fades and 141 fails on volume, exit per plan. If push toward 148–152 occurs, be ready to take profits per targets.

Confidence 87%

11/03/2025 06:36 AM

Hold

tight_stop_near_price gap_continuation_volatility early_hours_liquidity approaching_overbought_RSI headline_chase_risk

Thesis intact with bullish momentum (RSI ~65, MACD positive) and supportive post-earnings sentiment. Price (143.65) is above the operative stop (141) and below the first target (148); within the 7-day window from 2025-10-31. Holding for 148–152. Note: structured stop_loss is 141 (used here) despite 124 mentioned in prose; keeping current levels to avoid whipsaw into the open.

Confidence 90%

11/02/2025 20:36 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 141

proximity_to_target_rejection_risk overnight_gap_volatility potential_gap_fill_pressure stop_value_inconsistency_in_original_inputs

Price 143.65 remains below the 148–152 target band and above any reasonable stop; horizon (7 days from 2025-10-31) not yet reached. Momentum is constructive (RSI ~65.5, bullish MACD histogram) and news tone remains positive, supporting follow-through. Given proximity to target and to protect gains, tighten the stop to 141.00 (just below the 10/31 breakout/pivot ~141.21) to allow a retest without giving back the move. Note: the narrative plan specified a 124 stop while the structured field showed 142; treating 142 as a data inconsistency and standardizing to a realistic trailing stop. Plan: hold for 148–152 within the horizon; if price gaps to ≥148 next session, mark TARGET_HIT per rules.

Confidence 88%

11/02/2025 19:37 PM

Hold

near_target momentum_extension gap_fill_risk expiration_approaching plan_stop_discrepancy

On track post-earnings: price 143.65 is above all short-term MAs with RSI ~65.5 and MACD bullish, plus supportive positive press. No target (>=148) or stop trigger hit; horizon not expired (about 5 trading days remain). Momentum supports continuation toward 148–152. Note: there is a discrepancy between the thesis stop (124) and the structured stop (142). Given the uncertainty, levels are left unchanged here; if you are using the thesis stop as baseline, consider tightening toward the top of the entry band on further strength to lock gains. Manage risk into 148 with potential partials if momentum stalls.

Confidence 90%

11/02/2025 18:35 PM

Hold

approaching_near_term_resistance_148_152 momentum_could_cool tight_trailing_stop plan_text_stop_discrepancy

Price is progressing toward the 148–152 target (last 143.65) with bullish momentum (RSI ~65.5, MACD bullish) and supportive post-earnings sentiment. No stop/target/horizon rules triggered. Maintain the plan: ride toward 148–152 while protecting gains with the existing 142 stop; watch the 141–142 shelf for momentum confirmation—loss of that area would risk a breakdown. Note: structured plan reflects a 142 stop; ignoring the 124 level mentioned in thesis text due to inconsistency.

Confidence 92%

11/02/2025 17:35 PM

Hold

tight_stop_within_1_5pct_of_price rsi_mid_60s_could_cool horizon_5_days_remaining plan_text_vs_metadata_stop_inconsistency

Active. Price 143.65 remains below the first target (148) and above the documented stop (142). Horizon (7 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Momentum is constructive: RSI ~65.5 and MACD bullish; price is well above short-term MAs, consistent with earnings-beat follow-through. Risk: the current stop is tight (~1.1% below last), which raises whipsaw risk on normal volatility; however, no rules have been triggered. Note: the narrative mentions a 124 stop, but the plan metadata specifies 142—this decision uses 142. Hold and reassess on approach to 148 or if momentum fades materially.

Confidence 91%

11/02/2025 16:35 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 142

gap_follow_through approaching_target_band rsi_elevated_but_not_extreme post-earnings_momentum stop_trailing_to_lock_gains

Follow-through is strong after the beat: last 143.65 with RSI ~65.5 and MACD firmly bullish. Positive post-earnings coverage supports the thesis. No target/stop/horizon breaches: price remains below the 148–152 target band and above stop. With 5 trading days left in the 7‑day window, we keep the trade ACTIVE and tighten risk to protect gains while allowing room to push into the target zone.

Confidence 93%

11/02/2025 15:35 PM

Hold

earnings_gap_follow_through approaching_target_zone_148_152 breakout_retest_risk_around_141 week_ahead_expiry stale_short_interest_data_dates

ACTIVE. No stop/target/horizon rules triggered. Last 143.65 is below the 148–152 target zone and above the protective stop area. Momentum and breadth are supportive (RSI ~65.5, MACD bullish, price well above short MAs). Positive post-earnings follow-through and supportive news flow keep the setup intact. Maintain the protective stop near the 141 breakout/pivot to guard against a failed retest. Horizon remains through 2025-11-07; watch for quick pushes into 147–149 where supply may show ahead of the 148 target. If momentum stalls or 141 breaks on volume, exit per plan.

Confidence 92%

11/02/2025 09:43 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 141

extension_above_short_EMAs approaching_target_band_148_152 weekend_gap_risk momentum_cooldown_possible

Position remains active: no target or stop hit and horizon not expired. Price (143.65) shows constructive follow-through post-earnings; RSI ~65.5 and MACD momentum are bullish. News flow remains supportive. However, price is getting stretched above short EMAs and is approaching the lower end of the target zone (148–152), so protecting gains is prudent. Using the structured stop (140.5) as the working level; tightening slightly to sit just below the 141 breakout area to reduce gap-risk into the week. Targets and horizon unchanged.

Confidence 90%

11/02/2025 08:39 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 140.5

extension_above_short_EMAs gap_risk_next_open approaching_target_band

No stop/target/horizon rules triggered. Last 143.65 is below the 148–152 target band and above the 139.5 stop. Momentum has strengthened (RSI ~65.5, MACD bullish) and news flow remains supportive, but price is extended well above short MAs, so a pullback is possible. Maintain the 148–152 targets within the 7-day window and tighten the stop to protect gains, placing it just below the 141 breakout area.

Confidence 91%

11/02/2025 06:40 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 139.5

stop_level_inconsistency_between_fields post-earnings-momentum possible-gap-fill-or-retest-near-140 rsi_elevated_but_not_extreme

Position remains active. Entry likely filled within 130.5–136.5 on 10/31. Price is 143.65 with RSI ~65.5 and MACD firmly bullish; positive post-earnings coverage reinforces the beat narrative. Targets (148–152) not yet reached and 7-day horizon not expired. Note: there is a discrepancy between the structured stop (140.9) and the narrative plan stop (124). For consistency with the original thesis and to avoid declaring a false stop-out given the contradiction, we are aligning to the narrative stop and tightening risk proactively to protect gains as momentum extends.

Confidence 89%

11/01/2025 20:38 PM

Hold

gap_fill_risk weekend_gap_risk momentum_cooloff_risk resistance_near_target

Thesis intact and momentum confirmed: price at 143.65 sits well above short MAs with RSI ~66 and a bullish MACD turn. No adverse news. Maintain the raised protective stop at 140.9 (near the 141 breakout pivot) to lock in gains; the initial 124 stop is superseded by current risk management. Targets 148–152 remain appropriate within the 7‑day window; expect volatility and possible retests toward 141. Consider scaling into strength near 148 if tagged quickly.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 19:40 PM

Hold

gap-risk after strong run RSI approaching overbought zone weekend/overnight headline risk whipsaw risk with relatively tight trailing stop around 141

Price is progressing toward the 148–152 target with bullish momentum confirmed: RSI ~65 (not extreme) and MACD/histogram positive. Last print 143.65 is well above clustered MAs (EMA9/21/50), and the trailing stop at 140.90 sits just below the post-gap pivot, providing reasonable protection while allowing room for continuation. No stop/target/horizon rules triggered; 7-day window remains open. Maintain plan and let momentum work toward the 148+ objective. Watch the 141 area on any pullback; a decisive break back below would warn of momentum cooling.

Confidence 90%

11/01/2025 18:41 PM

Hold

weekend_gap_risk breakout_pullback_risk tight_stop_proximity

Active: last 143.65 is above the 140.9 stop and below the 148–152 targets; still within the 7‑day window. Momentum improved (RSI ~65.5, MACD bullish) and price is holding above short MAs with a breakout over ~141. Using the structured stop at 140.9 (acknowledges discrepancy with the 124 figure in text); watch a 141 retest—loss of that level likely triggers the stop.

Confidence 93%

11/01/2025 17:40 PM

Hold

gap_fill_risk post_earnings_volatility approaching_resistance_148_152 rsi_elevated_mid60s

Still tracking to plan. Last 143.65 is above the 130.5–136.5 entry range, target 148–152 not hit, and the operative stop (structured) at 140.9 was not breached. Momentum confirmation: RSI ~65.5 and MACD bullish. Maintain the swing into the 148–152 band within the 7‑day window. Note: original thesis text mentioned a 124 stop, but the structured stop is 140.9; using 140.9 as the active level. A decisive break below ~140.9 would exit; otherwise ride momentum toward the target.

Confidence 91%

11/01/2025 16:39 PM

Hold

breakout_retest_risk_141 gap_extension post-earnings_volatility weekend_headline_gap_risk

Price 143.65 is above entry zone and below the 148–152 target; stop 140.9 not breached; horizon (7 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Momentum is supportive (RSI ~65.5, bullish MACD; price well above 9/21 EMA). Hold for the planned target; expect possible retest of ~141 (breakout area). Using stop at 140.9 per structured plan despite earlier narrative mention of 124. No changes to targets or horizon while momentum stays intact.

Confidence 92%

11/01/2025 15:39 PM

Hold

WEEKEND_GAP_RISK POST_EARNINGS_VOLATILITY APPROACHING_OVERBOUGHT_RSI RESISTANCE_HIGH_140S

Price (143.65) is above entry and all short MAs with RSI ~65.5 and MACD flipping bullish, confirming post-earnings momentum. Neither target (148–152) nor stop (140.9) was touched, and the 7‑day window is intact. Maintain position; watch 141 as a key support/pivot—loss of 140.9 would exit; follow-through toward 148 early next week remains plausible.

Confidence 90%

11/01/2025 14:43 PM

Hold

extended_above_short_term_EMAs post-earnings_gap_volatility tight_time_horizon stop_close_to_price

Price at 143.65 keeps the trade well above the recorded stop (140.90) and below the first target (148), so rules keep this ACTIVE. Momentum is constructive (RSI ~65.5, bullish MACD), but price is extended well above short-term EMAs, so expect digestion/pullback risk. Do not chase adds here; let it consolidate. Maintain current stop for now and look to trail higher only on further strength and a higher low forming. Targets unchanged at 148–152 within the 7-day horizon.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 13:41 PM

Hold

extended_above_ema9 elevated_rsi breakout_above_prior_high post_earnings_momentum weekend_gap_risk

Active and progressing. Last 143.65 is well above the risk line and below the 148–152 target zone. No stop/target/horizon breaches. Momentum is supportive (RSI ~65.5, MACD turned bullish) and price is above 9/21 EMA, consistent with post-earnings follow-through. Near-term risk is mean reversion after a strong move and being stretched ~9% above the 9-EMA; 141 (prior breakout area) is near-term support. Keeping the protective stop at 140.9 just below that pivot to protect gains while allowing normal digestion. Maintain 148–152 target and the original 7-day horizon.

Confidence 87%

11/01/2025 12:41 PM

Hold

weekend_gap_risk resistance_near_target_148 tight_stop_whipsaw_risk momentum_cooloff_risk

Active and working. Last 143.65 is above entry zone (130.5–136.5), stop (140.9) not breached, and target (148–152) not yet reached. Momentum confirms: RSI ~65.5 and MACD bullish with price well above 9/21 EMAs, supporting follow-through into the 148 area within the 7-day window (through 2025-11-07). No new news to contradict the beat-driven thesis. Maintain posture; consider harvesting into 148–152 if tagged next week. Be mindful of weekend gap risk and potential churn just below 148.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 11:39 AM

Hold

stretched_above_ema9 retest_risk_near_141_pivot post_earnings_gap_fill_risk

Price at 143.65 is above the stated stop (140.9) and below the first target (148). Momentum is constructive (RSI ~66, bullish MACD) with price above key MAs, but the name is stretched ~9% over the 9-EMA and could retest the 141 breakout area early next week. Keep the position active into the 7-day window; maintain targets 148–152 and the protective stop just below 141 to guard against a backfill. Look for follow-through toward 148; a decisive rejection at 147–148 would warrant swift execution on targets.

Confidence 86%

11/01/2025 10:42 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 140.9

gap_extension_risk weekend_headline_risk overhead_supply_148_152 post_earnings_volatility transport_cyclical_beta

Earnings-follow-through remains strong: price holding well above EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI ~66, and still below first target 148. Horizon not expired and no target/stop triggers. Keep the swing active but protect gains into next session by tightening the stop just below the 141 breakout zone. Maintain 148–152 target band within the 7-day window.

Confidence 90%

11/01/2025 09:38 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 139.5

above_entry_range_no_adds rsi_elevated extended_above_short_term_ema gap_continuation_volatility plan_stop_inconsistency

Active. Price 143.65 is below the 148–152 target band and above stop; horizon (7 days from 2025-10-31) not expired. Momentum is constructive (RSI ~65.5, MACD bullish) following the earnings beat, supporting continuation. Do not chase adds above the 130.5–136.5 entry window. Maintain target band; protect gains with a tighter stop near 139.5. Note: original narrative mentioned a 124 stop, while the structured plan lists 139.5—using 139.5 as the operative risk guard unless instructed otherwise.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 08:38 AM

Hold

gap_fill_risk extension_from_short_term_MAs resistance_148_152 post_earnings_volatility weekend_gap_risk

Post-earnings follow-through looks constructive: price 143.65 vs prior close 135.97, RSI ~65.5 and MACD turned bullish with positive histogram. Targets 148–152 not yet reached and 7-day horizon still intact. No breach of the 139.5 stop; maintaining the plan with focus on holding the 141 breakout zone. Keep risk tight into early-week trading; a decisive break below 139.5 would invalidate near-term momentum; otherwise continue to aim for the 148–152 band.

Confidence 90%

11/01/2025 07:37 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 139.5

post_earnings_gap rsi_elevated gap_fill_risk_to_140_area overhead_resistance_148_152

Target not hit and horizon intact. Post-earnings follow-through is strong: last 143.65 with RSI ~65.5 and bullish MACD histogram. Momentum remains favorable, but after a sizable extension above EMAs, reduce giveback risk by tightening the stop under the 140 area (below the prior 141.2 breakout zone). Keep 148–152 target band.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 06:35 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 138.5

post_earnings_volatility overhead_resistance_148_152 dtc_elevated sv_ratio_elevated

Follow-through after the earnings beat: price pushed above the prior post-gap high (~141.2) and closed at 143.65 with bullish MACD and RSI ~66, while all near-term MAs/EMAs sit below price. Targets (148–152) not yet reached and horizon (7 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Maintain the position; momentum supports continuation, but tighten risk to protect gains in case of a retest of the breakout zone.

Confidence 90%

10/31/2025 20:35 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 136

post_earnings_volatility gap_and_go_extension RSI_65 possible_gap_fill plan_stop_inconsistency

Day 1 post-earnings follow-through remains strong: last 143.65, bullish MACD, RSI ~65 (not extreme). Target 148–152 not yet reached and 7‑day horizon intact. Keep the position active but protect gains after the gap-and-go. Tightening the stop below the prior entry band top helps avoid a round-trip if momentum cools. Note: the narrative plan cited a 124 stop while the structured field shows 140; using the narrative baseline, we tighten materially. No new news to invalidate the thesis.

Confidence 88%

10/31/2025 19:33 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 140

after-hours-extension gap-fill/mean-reversion risk toward 141–139 momentum pullback risk with RSI rising liquidity/volatility risk around earnings move potential squeeze-unwind intraday volatility

Momentum follow-through remains strong post-earnings: price is well above the 9/21 EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI mid-60s, and no target hit yet (148–152). No stop breach and horizon (7 days) still open. Risk now shifts to post-gap digestion/mean reversion after a big move into after-hours. To protect gains, tighten the stop under the breakout zone; aim to let it work toward 148–152. If liquidity is thin after-hours, wait for regular session to adjust. If price spikes into 145–147 quickly, consider a discretionary trim to reduce gap-risk while keeping core for target.

Confidence 90%

10/31/2025 18:34 PM

Hold

post_earnings_gap extended_above_ema9 after_hours_liquidity_risk weekend_gap_risk

ACTIVE. Price 143.65 (AH) remains above the stop and below first target (148). Momentum confirms the thesis (RSI ~65.6, MACD bullish, price firmly above 9/21 EMA). No rule-based triggers: stop not breached and target not hit; horizon (7 days) still open. Note: There’s a discrepancy between the narrative stop (124) and the structured stop (139.5). Managing to the explicit stop_loss field at 139.5 for risk control. Stock is extended versus short-term MAs after an earnings gap, so expect digestion; avoid chasing adds and let the setup work toward 148–152. Weekend/AH gap risk elevated; monitor for follow-through next session.

Confidence 92%

10/31/2025 17:34 PM

Hold

post_earnings_volatility gap_fill_risk extended_above_ema9 after_hours_liquidity overhead_resistance_148_152

Earnings-beat continuation is intact. Price at 143.65 sits well above short-term MAs with RSI ~66 and a bullish MACD histogram, indicating follow-through momentum toward the 148–152 target zone. No target hit and no evidence of a stop breach. Using the structured stop (139.5) to protect gains; a break back below there would signal momentum failure. Avoid adding above the plan’s entry; allow normal consolidation and look to scale near 148 if reached.

Confidence 93%

10/31/2025 16:33 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 139.5

after_hours_illiquidity post_earnings_volatility gap_fill_risk_near_139 approaching_target_resistance_band

Price has held and extended post-earnings, now ~143.65 after-hours with bullish momentum (RSI ~66, MACD positive). Targets 148–152 remain achievable within the 7-day window. To protect gains and guard against a failed breakout retest, tighten the stop to just below the 139–141 breakout zone. Keep targets unchanged for now.

Confidence 92%

10/31/2025 15:34 PM

Hold

extended_above_short_EMAs gap_fill_risk post_earnings_volatility intraday_reversal_risk

Momentum is confirming the earnings-beat thesis. Price (143.87) is well above the 130.5–136.5 entry zone and below the first target (148), with RSI ~66 and a bullish MACD histogram indicating follow-through. No stop/target/horizon rule has triggered. Risk: the move is extended versus short EMAs, so a pullback toward high-130s/low-140s is possible; avoid chasing adds. Maintain targets 148–152 and respect the current stop at 139; if momentum stalls under 146–148, expect volatility. Watching for a clean push into 148+ to exit per plan.

Confidence 91%

10/31/2025 14:33 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 139

plan_data_inconsistency gap_fade_risk post_earnings_volatility extended_above_MAs

Follow-through after the earnings beat is strong: price ~143.28 sits well above the 9/21/50 EMAs, RSI ~64 is constructive (not overbought), and MACD has flipped bullish. No target hit yet (148–152) and horizon remains valid. Keep the trade on, avoid chasing adds here, and protect against a gap-fade by tightening the stop. Targets unchanged.

Confidence 90%

10/31/2025 13:33 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 136

gap_extension potential_gap_fill entry_chase_risk intraday_reversal_risk

Price action confirms the thesis: last 142.11 with RSI ~63.8 and bullish MACD. No stop breach and target (148–152) not yet hit; horizon intact (7 days from 2025-10-31). Maintain the swing; do not chase fresh entries at highs—prefer pullbacks. Tightening the stop to protect gains given the strong extension. Keeping targets unchanged. Note: structured stop was 133 (text mentioned 124); using the structured level as baseline and trailing to 136.

Confidence 88%

10/31/2025 12:34 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 133

GapUp/ChasingRisk AboveEntryRange MomentumPullbackRisk EarningsVolatility

Setup is working. Price (141.57) is above the 9/21/50 EMAs and prior entry band, RSI ~62 with MACD momentum turning bullish. No stop or target triggers; horizon intact. Maintain the swing targeting 148–152. If already filled within 130.5–136.5, hold. If not filled, avoid chasing; look for a pullback/consolidation toward mid-136s before adding. Tightening the stop to reduce downside if momentum fades.

Confidence 85%

10/31/2025 11:33 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 130

gap_fill_risk above_entry_range earnings_pop_volatility momentum_breakdown_if_130_lost

Setup is tracking well. Price is above the 130.5–136.5 entry zone and showing bullish momentum (RSI ~61, MACD positive) with price well above short-term EMAs. No stop or target breaches; 7‑day window just started. Keeping 148–152 target band intact. To protect gains and reflect the 129–131 pivot and rising 9‑EMA, tighten the stop to 130. A sustained break below 130 would signal momentum failure and higher gap-fill risk.

Confidence 80%

10/31/2025 10:33 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 128.9

gap_fill_risk post_earnings_volatility near_pivot_breakdown_129_131 transport_cyclicality

Price is holding within the 130.5–136.5 entry band (~136.1) with RSI ~58 and a positive MACD histogram. EMAs are stacked with 9- and 21-day below price, supporting the setup. No stop/target/horizon triggers. Given the key 129–131 pivot cited in the plan and EMAs clustered just above 129, tighten the stop to 128.9 to cut downside if momentum fades. Targets (148–152) and 7-day horizon remain appropriate.

Confidence 76%

10/31/2025 09:34 AM

Hold

post_earnings_volatility MACD_bearish_histogram gap_fill_risk_129_131

Price 134.02 sits within the planned 130.5–136.5 entry zone and well above 9EMA (~128.9). RSI ~58 is constructive while MACD remains slightly negative, consistent with post-gap digestion. No stop/target/horizon rules triggered. Maintain plan: watch 129–131 as the pivot; sustained loss of that area would signal momentum fade, but as long as price holds above it, the long thesis from the earnings beat remains intact. No level changes for now while early session volatility settles.

Confidence 74%