CALX (Calix, Inc. Recommendation

11/04/2025 13:39 PM

Hold

near_stop time_decay momentum_cooling

No rule-based exit triggered. Price (65.2) remains above the 64.2 stop and has not reached the 69.8–71.5 target band. Momentum remains constructive (MACD positive, RSI cooled to ~61) with price holding near the 9-EMA, but proximity to the stop and dwindling time to the 7-day horizon warrant patience without expanding risk. Maintain current stop and targets; look for a push back through 67–68 to reassert momentum. If 64.2 breaks on volume, exit per plan; if 69.8 is tagged ahead of horizon, take profits per target.

Confidence 52%

11/04/2025 12:40 PM

Hold

near_stop pullback_from_breakout horizon_approaching liquidity_sensitive dtc_elevated

ACTIVE: Price 64.88 remains above the explicit stop (64.20) and below targets (69.80–71.50); horizon not yet reached (expires 2025-11-07). Pullback from the post-earnings spike has cooled RSI to ~59 while MACD remains bullish and price holds near the 9EMA, so the momentum structure is intact but fragile given proximity to the stop. Maintain the plan: respect the 64.20 stop; keep targets unchanged. If intraday weakness pushes a decisive break of 64.20, exit per rules. If shares reclaim 66 with improving breadth/volume, conviction improves toward a push back into the 69–71 zone before horizon.

Confidence 48%

11/04/2025 11:41 AM

Hold

near_stop below_entry_band momentum_positive_but_cooling horizon_approaching

CALX is trading 64.59, above the defined stop (64.20) but below the entry band low (65.50). Momentum remains constructive (MACD positive, RSI ~59) and price sits near the 9-EMA, so the setup is intact but fragile. No target hit and the trade has not expired. Maintain the plan and monitor 64.20 closely; a clean reclaim of 66–67 would improve odds of revisiting the 69.8+ target zone. Using the structured stop at 64.20 per the plan.

Confidence 50%

11/04/2025 10:40 AM

Lower Target

Exit Max: 71.5 Exit Min: 69.8 Horizon Days: 7

approaching_expiry pullback_from_highs gap_down_open targets_ambitious_vs_time proximity_to_stop

Price has retraced toward the low end of the buy zone but remains above the 9-EMA and the defined stop (64.2). MACD momentum is still positive and RSI is healthy, suggesting the uptrend is intact despite a soft open. With the 5-day window nearly elapsed and mid-70s unlikely near-term, lower near-term targets and extend horizon to allow the post-earnings momentum to reassert. Keep risk defined at the original stop. If 64.2 breaks intraday on volume, that converts to STOP_HIT.

Confidence 54%

11/04/2025 09:44 AM

Hold

approaching_expiry elevated_rsi below_prior_close tight_stop_distance liquidity_sensitive

Still within the planned entry band and well above the defined stop. Target not reached and horizon not yet expired. Momentum remains constructive (bullish MACD, RSI elevated but sub-70) and price holds above the 9-EMA; the post-earnings momentum thesis remains intact, though time decay into the 5-day horizon and early-session softness temper conviction. Maintain the 64.2 stop (just below the 9-EMA) and watch the 69–70 prior high cluster for potential de-risking into strength ahead of expiration. If momentum fails to reclaim 67–68 by EOD, be prepared for tighter risk management into the final day.

Confidence 56%

11/04/2025 08:38 AM

Hold

premarket_weakness overbought_rsi_near_70 horizon_near_expiry gap_risk

Still within the entry band and well above the defined stop. Momentum indicators remain constructive (bullish MACD, RSI high but not extreme), and price sits above short-term EMAs. No target or stop triggers and horizon has not yet expired (1 trading day left). Given limited time to target, prioritize disciplined risk management into any strength; keep the current stop and targets unchanged.

Confidence 60%

11/04/2025 07:39 AM

Hold

overbought_RSI early_hours_liquidity approaching_horizon

No rule triggers. Price ~67.3 sits within the entry band, well above 9/21-EMA support (64.3/62.3). MACD momentum remains bullish; RSI elevated but easing. With horizon expiring tomorrow, keep targets unchanged and monitor 69–70 for a breakout; 65 remains a key support level. No new news to invalidate the thesis.

Confidence 62%

11/04/2025 06:39 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 64.2

RSI_elevated approaching_horizon early_hours_liquidity_risk breakout_retest_risk

Still in the entry zone with bullish momentum (MACD positive, RSI elevated but not extreme). No stop/target/horizon breach. With the window nearing expiration, protect capital: tighten the stop slightly while letting the trend attempt continuation. Plan to respect the original horizon if targets don’t hit.

Confidence 60%

11/03/2025 20:36 PM

Hold

elevated_RSI near_term_resistance_69_70 approaching_horizon post_earnings_volatility

No stop/target/horizon triggers. Price (67.30) remains within entry band and well above 9/21 EMA with bullish MACD; momentum intact though near-term follow-through stalled below 69–70 resistance. Keep the plan: stop at 64, targets 74.5–76.5. Two trading days remain before the 5-day horizon (expires Nov 5). A decisive push/close above 70 would improve odds; a drop toward 65 would caution for potential momentum fade.

Confidence 62%

11/03/2025 19:36 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 64

RSI_near_overbought after_hours_liquidity resistance_69_70 time_to_horizon_short

Still within the entry band and holding above fast EMAs with bullish MACD. Modest pullback vs prior close looks like a normal consolidation after the breakout; no new news to contradict the thesis. Tighten risk as the 5-day horizon approaches and RSI sits near 70. Watch the 69–70 resistance cluster; a decisive push through improves odds of reaching 74.5–76.5 before expiry.

Confidence 60%

11/03/2025 18:38 PM

Hold

rsi_elevated near_term_resistance_69_70 limited_time_to_target after_hours_illiquidity

CALX remains above the defined stop (66) and within the entry band, with momentum still constructive: MACD positive and RSI elevated but cooling (~70). Price stalled below the 69–70 resistance cluster and closed after-hours at ~67.3; no target or stop triggers, and horizon (5 days from 10/31) has not expired. Hold the position per plan; watch 66 as a hard fail level and look for a push/close back through 69–70 to re-energize the move toward mid-70s.

Confidence 58%

11/03/2025 17:37 PM

Hold

elevated_rsi tight_stop_distance after_hours_liquidity horizon_nearing_expiry

Price remains within the planned entry band and above the 66 stop. Momentum indicators stay constructive (bullish MACD, RSI high but not extreme). No target or stop triggers and horizon has not expired. With two trading days left in the 5-day window, maintain posture and let the setup resolve toward the 74.5–76.5 target. Be mindful of proximity to the stop and potential after-hours illiquidity swings.

Confidence 60%

11/03/2025 16:38 PM

Hold

RSI_elevated close_to_stop after_hours_liquidity_risk gap_risk post_earnings_momentum_cooldown

Price (67.30) remains within the entry band (65.5–68.5), above the explicit stop at 66, and well below targets (74.5–76.5). Momentum signals remain constructive (bullish MACD, RSI ~70), and no new news contradicts the thesis. With ~2 trading days left to the 5-day horizon (expires 2025-11-05), maintain the setup and respect the 66 stop. A push through 69–70 could re-ignite the post-earnings breakout; a break of 66 would invalidate the momentum leg for this window. Using the explicit stop (66) from the original plan over the narrative 61.8 level.

Confidence 61%

11/03/2025 15:38 PM

Hold

near_stop pullback_from_prior_close target_far_vs_horizon liquidity_sensitive plan_parameters_inconsistent

Still within the entry band and above the 66 stop. Momentum remains constructive (RSI ~66, MACD trending bullish) despite a pullback from prior close. No target or stop triggers and horizon not yet reached. Proximity to the 66 stop raises noise-stop risk; keeping levels unchanged per plan. Note: narrative mentioned a 61.8 stop, but structured plan uses 66—this decision respects the 66 stop. Targets (74.5–76.5) are ambitious versus remaining horizon; reassess after next session’s momentum read.

Confidence 60%

11/03/2025 14:39 PM

Hold

near_stop elevated_rsi post-earnings_consolidation time_decay_to_horizon

CALX remains within the entry zone and above the 66 stop; momentum signals (MACD > signal, RSI elevated but sub-70) are still constructive despite today’s pullback from prior close. No target hit and horizon not yet reached (day 3 of 5). Maintain the plan and respect 66 as the hard stop; a decisive break would trigger STOP_HIT per rules. With price close to the stop, risk of a stop-out is elevated; otherwise, momentum can reassert if shares reclaim upper 60s.

Confidence 64%

11/03/2025 13:37 PM

Hold

elevated_rsi overhead_resistance_69_70 near_stop dtc_elevated liquidity_sensitive

No target or stop triggered; last 67.11 remains within the entry band and above the 66 stop. Momentum signals are still supportive (bullish MACD, price > EMAs) though RSI is elevated and price is consolidating below 69–70 resistance. Maintain plan and wait for a clean push through 69–70 toward 74.5–76.5; respect the 66 stop with the short horizon still in effect.

Confidence 68%

11/03/2025 12:39 PM

Hold

elevated_rsi resistance_near_69_70 stop_within_3pct_of_price

Price (67.54) is inside the planned entry band (65.5–68.5) and above the 66 stop. No target (74.5–76.5) or stop has triggered, and the 5-day horizon from 2025-10-31 has not expired. Momentum remains constructive (bullish MACD), but RSI is elevated and price is consolidating below the 69–70 resistance area. Maintain the plan and HOLD; respect the 66 stop and keep targets unchanged.

Confidence 66%

11/03/2025 11:38 AM

Hold

elevated_rsi near_term_resistance_69_70 intraday_pullback_vs_prior_close momentum_could_fade_if_70_rejected liquidity_sensitivity

Position remains within plan: last 67.51 sits inside entry band, above the 9/21-EMA cluster, MACD momentum is still positive, and no new adverse news. Stop 66 and targets 74.5–76.5 untouched; horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) not yet reached. RSI is elevated (~71) and 69–70 remains near-term resistance, so expect consolidation; a decisive push through 70 would re-open momentum toward targets. Maintain discipline—exit on a break of 66 per plan.

Confidence 68%

11/03/2025 10:38 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought Post_earnings_fade_risk Liquidity_sensitive

Position remains constructive: price (67.44) is holding well above short-term EMAs with bullish MACD and only a modest pullback from prior close. No stop (66.00) or target (74.5–76.5) touched, and horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) not yet expired. RSI is elevated, so expect chop; momentum context still favors a push higher if 67–69 holds. Using 66.00 as the operative stop per the structured plan.

Confidence 70%

11/03/2025 09:37 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought near_resistance_70 momentum_cooldown_risk liquidity_sensitivity

No rule hit. Price is holding within the entry band and above the 66 stop; momentum remains bullish (strong MACD) though RSI is overbought and 69–70 remains near-term resistance. Maintain the current plan: look for a push through the 69–70 high cluster to set up the run toward 74.5–76.5; if momentum stalls and price fades, respect the 66 stop. No changes to levels for now given open and early-session volatility.

Confidence 72%

11/03/2025 08:39 AM

Hold

Entry Min: 66.2

RSI_overbought premarket_volatility near_term_resistance_69_70 entry_stop_alignment_adjusted

Still active: price (68.44 pre-market) sits within the original entry band and well above the stop; no target or horizon rules hit. Momentum remains constructive (MACD strong, price > EMAs), but RSI is stretched (~76) and near-term resistance around 69–70 could cause fades. Horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) implies expiry by 2025-11-05; not expired yet. To reconcile the structured stop (66) with the original text mention of 61.8 and to avoid illogical entries below the stop, we’re nudging the entry floor slightly higher so new entries aren’t below risk. Plan: hold; watch the 69–70 zone. If we get a firm daily close >70, consider trailing the stop up incrementally (e.g., toward 67.5) to protect gains; otherwise keep risk defined and avoid chasing if it spikes on the open.

Confidence 73%

11/03/2025 07:37 AM

Hold

overbought_RSI early_hours_liquidity near_52w_high_resistance

No rule triggers. Price (~68.44) remains within the planned entry band (65.5–68.5), above the 66 stop, and below targets (74.5–76.5). Momentum is intact (bullish MACD, price well above fast EMAs), but RSI >75 and nearby 69–70 resistance suggest potential chop/pullback, especially in early hours. Hold per plan; watch the 70 break for momentum confirmation. If 66 breaks with velocity during regular hours, honor the stop. No changes to levels or horizon at this time.

Confidence 72%

11/03/2025 06:37 AM

Trim

RSI_overbought near_term_exhaustion_risk tight_time_to_horizon gap_fade_risk headline/liquidity_sensitivity

No rule triggers. Price 68.44 is within the entry band and well above the 66 stop; targets (74.5–76.5) not reached; horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) not yet expired. Momentum remains firm (RSI ~76, bullish MACD), but overbought and time-to-horizon is tightening, reducing odds of hitting full target in time. Keep position active; de-risk by trimming into strength near 69.5–71 while maintaining the hard stop at 66. If a higher low forms above 67–68 on sustained strength through 70, consider incrementally tightening the stop intraday; otherwise leave levels as-is.

Confidence 70%

11/02/2025 20:37 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought gap_risk_after_weekend near_resistance_69_70 liquidity_sensitive

ACTIVE: Price 68.44 remains within the 65.5–68.5 entry band, momentum is still bullish (MACD positive) though RSI is overbought, and neither the 74.5–76.5 target nor the 66 stop have been triggered. Horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) implies expiry on 2025-11-05; not expired yet. Into Monday, watch 69–70 resistance and weekend gap risk; keep risk discipline as overbought conditions can produce sharp pullbacks.

Confidence 72%

11/02/2025 19:38 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought near_term_resistance_69_70 gap_risk_post_earnings dtc_elevated

Momentum remains constructive: price is within the entry band and above the 66 stop, MACD is strengthening and EMAs are rising. RSI is overbought and price is approaching the 69–70 resistance cluster, so expect choppiness on the next session. Keep the current stop at 66 and targets at 74.5–76.5. Horizon unchanged (expires Nov 5). If a clean breakout and hold above 70 occurs on volume, momentum follow-through toward targets is favored; if weakness accelerates, respect the stop.

Confidence 74%

11/02/2025 18:36 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought resistance_near_70 post_earnings_volatility gap_risk

CALX remains within the entry band and well above the defined 66 stop, with no target or horizon triggers. Momentum is still strong (bullish MACD), but RSI ~76 is overbought and price is approaching the 69–70 resistance cluster, so expect choppy pullbacks. Horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Hold the position; avoid adding above 68.5 and look for controlled pullbacks if adding is desired. If there is a quick gap into low-70s next session, consider scaling on strength as we approach the 74.5–76.5 target zone.

Confidence 73%

11/02/2025 17:36 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought near_resistance_69_70 gap_down_risk

Active and on-plan. Last price 68.44 is above the 66 stop and below the 74.5–76.5 target range; no stop/target/horizon trigger. Horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Technicals remain momentum-bullish (MACD strong, EMAs rising), but RSI ~76 is overbought and there is nearby resistance around the recent 69–70 highs, so pullback/chop risk is elevated. Maintain the current plan; if price breaks and holds above prior highs, consider tightening the stop intraday to protect gains, but no change premarket/over the weekend.

Confidence 72%

11/02/2025 16:36 PM

Hold

overbought_RSI near_resistance_69_70 gap_risk_next_open liquidity_sensitivity

Position remains active. Last price (68.44) is within the entry band (65.5–68.5), stop (66.00) not breached, and targets (74.5–76.5) not reached. Horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Momentum signals remain strong (bullish MACD, price above EMAs) though RSI is elevated, so a near-term consolidation or pullback is possible around 69–70 resistance. Hold and let momentum attempt a breakout toward targets; honor the defined stop if weakness emerges.

Confidence 74%

11/02/2025 15:36 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought approaching_resistance_69_70 post_earnings_volatility weekend_gap_risk

CALX remains above the 66 stop and below the 74.5–76.5 target band. Momentum signals are still bullish (MACD positive, price > EMAs), though RSI is elevated and price is stalling near the 69–70 resistance zone. With horizon still open (expires 2025-11-05) and no new adverse news, keep the position active and monitor for a breakout above 69–70 early next week. No changes to stop/targets for now given weekend gap risk and intact trend.

Confidence 73%

11/02/2025 09:44 AM

Hold

elevated_RSI_overbought near_term_resistance_69_70 post_earnings_volatility gap_risk_on_next_open

Market closed. Last 68.44 sits within the planned 65.5–68.5 entry band. No stop-loss breach (66) and no target hit (74.5–76.5). Horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) not yet expired. Momentum remains bullish (MACD positive, expanding histogram) but RSI is overbought, and price is near the 69–70 resistance cluster, so expect chop or shallow pullbacks before any push toward targets. Hold with discipline into early week and reassess if momentum stalls below 70 on rising supply.

Confidence 72%

11/02/2025 08:39 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought near_term_resistance_69_70 gap_weekend_risk short_horizon liquidity_sensitivity

Position remains active: last 68.44 sits within the entry band and well above the 66 stop; targets (74.5–76.5) not reached and horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) not expired. Momentum stays constructive (bullish MACD), but RSI is elevated and price is near the 69–70 resistance cluster, so expect volatility. Holding per plan of record that specifies a 66 stop and 5-day horizon.

Confidence 74%

11/02/2025 06:41 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought near_prior_high_resistance extension_above_EMAs weekend_gap_risk liquidity_sensitive_midcap

Price is holding near the top of the planned entry band (~68.44 vs 65.5–68.5). No stop breach (66) and no target touch (74.5–76.5). Horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) not yet expired. Momentum remains intact (bullish MACD, price well above EMAs), but RSI >75 and proximity to recent highs (69–70) raise pullback risk. Maintain position into next session; monitor for a gap or a fade toward 67–66 where stops could be tested. No changes to levels at this time.

Confidence 77%

11/01/2025 20:39 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought Post_earnings_volatility Resistance_69-70 Gap_risk_next_open

CALX remains within the entry band and well above the stop. No target or horizon triggers. Momentum is still strong (bullish MACD) but RSI is overbought, so a pause near 69–70 resistance is likely. Maintain the plan into next week; watch for any high-volume rejection near 69–70 or a break below 66 (stop).

Confidence 78%

11/01/2025 19:41 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought Resistance_69_70 Weekend_gap_risk Momentum_cooldown_risk

Price closed at 68.44, within the 65.5–68.5 entry band, and above the 66 stop. No target hit (74.5–76.5) and horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Momentum remains strong (MACD bullish, price well above EMAs), but RSI >75 and nearby resistance at 69–70 increase pullback risk. Hold the plan into next week; if strength clears 70 on volume, consider tightening stops intraday to protect gains, otherwise keep risk defined at 66 and targets unchanged.

Confidence 79%

11/01/2025 18:42 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought gap_weekend resistance_69_70 post_earnings_volatility liquidity_sensitivity

No stop/target/horizon triggers. Price closed ~68.44, above the 66 stop and below the 74.5–76.5 target band. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, expanding histogram), but RSI is overbought (~76), so digestion near 69–70 is likely. Maintain the plan into the 5-day horizon (through Nov 5). Do not chase if it gaps above 68.5 at the next open; favor pulls for adds. Respect the 66 stop and targets 74.5–76.5.

Confidence 81%

11/01/2025 17:41 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought gap_down_risk post_earnings_fade_risk liquidity_sensitivity

Position remains within plan. Last 68.44 sits inside the 65.5–68.5 entry window, stop 66 not breached, and target 74.5–76.5 not reached. Momentum signals remain strong (RSI ~76 overbought but MACD bullish), supporting the post-earnings continuation thesis into next week. Horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) not yet reached. Note: narrative mentioned a 61.8 stop, but structured plan specifies 66; defaulting to 66 per explicit fields. Maintain discipline into Monday open given weekend gap risk and overbought conditions.

Confidence 79%

11/01/2025 16:40 PM

Hold

overbought_RSI resistance_near_70 weekend_gap_risk momentum_fade_risk liquidity_sensitivity

Price is holding the post-earnings breakout and finished within the planned entry band (last 68.44 vs. 65.5–68.5). MACD remains strongly bullish and EMAs are well below price, but RSI is overbought (~76) and there is nearby resistance around 69–70. No stop or target has been triggered (stop 66; targets 74.5–76.5). With horizon still open through 2025-11-05, keep the position active and monitor for a clean push through 70 early next week; beware weekend gap risk and momentum fade if it rolls under 67 on volume. Keeping plan levels unchanged for now.

Confidence 78%

11/01/2025 15:40 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought gap_risk liquidity_sensitivity post_earnings_volatility

Price (68.44) remains within the planned entry band and above the stop; no target or horizon rule triggered. Momentum setup is still constructive (bullish MACD, trend above EMAs), but RSI is elevated (~76), so expect potential chop/pullbacks and Monday gap risk. Maintain plan and risk discipline. Note: There is a discrepancy between the narrative stop (61.8) and the structured stop (66). Using the structured 66 stop for rule checks and management.

Confidence 80%

11/01/2025 14:44 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 66

RSI_overbought post_earnings_volatility overextended_above_EMAs gap_down_risk

CALX is holding its post-earnings breakout with bullish momentum (MACD rising, RSI ~76). Price remains within the entry band and well above stop; no target or horizon triggers. Given overbought readings and proximity to prior high resistance (69–70), tighten risk into the weekend to guard against a Monday gap. Keep targets unchanged for a potential continuation into mid-70s next week.

Confidence 79%

11/01/2025 13:42 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought near_upper_entry_band weekend_gap_risk fresh_breakout_volatility days_to_cover_elevated

Position remains active. Last 68.44 sits within the 65.5–68.5 entry band (near the upper edge). No stop or target levels have been triggered. Momentum is intact (bullish MACD, price above EMAs), but RSI is elevated, so expect pullback risk. Maintain the structured plan levels (stop 65, targets 74.5–76.5); the narrative’s 61.8 stop is not used here. Into next week, a clean push/close above 69–70 could accelerate toward targets; otherwise, look for constructive dips toward 66–67 for better risk/reward within the plan. Horizon remains 5 days from 2025-10-31 (expires 2025-11-05 if no target).

Confidence 78%

11/01/2025 12:42 PM

Hold

overbought_RSI near_term_resistance gap_risk liquidity_sensitivity

No rules triggered: price (68.44) is above stop (65), below targets (74.5–76.5), and horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, price well above EMAs), but RSI is extended (~76) and nearby resistance at 69–70 could cause a pause/pullback. Maintain current plan: keep stop at 65 per the structured trade plan and aim for 74.5–76.5 within the horizon. If price cleanly breaks and holds >70 with volume, consider tightening the stop on strength during the session; otherwise avoid chasing and look to add only on orderly pullbacks within the entry band.

Confidence 76%

11/01/2025 11:40 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought gap_risk liquidity_sensitivity

No stop/target/horizon triggers. Price (68.44) is within the planned entry band and momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, price above EMAs). RSI is overbought, so expect possible early-week digestion; watch the 69–70 resistance cluster. Maintain current targets (74.5–76.5) and stop discipline. If a strong gap through 70 occurs, consider managing risk intraday but keep core plan intact.

Confidence 78%

11/01/2025 10:44 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought Potential_open_gap_risk Breakout_failure_below_65 Near_term_resistance_69_70 Liquidity_sensitivity

CALX remains within the entry band (last 68.44 vs 65.5–68.5). No stop/target/horizon rule triggered: stop 65 intact, first target 74.5 not reached, and horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Momentum is strong (bullish MACD, price well above EMAs), but RSI ~76 is overbought into the weekend, so a digestion/pullback near 69–70 resistance is possible. Using the structured stop at 65 as the rule-of-record despite the 61.8 figure in the narrative. Maintain the plan; monitor Monday’s gap/volume. A decisive break below 65 would undermine the breakout; consider trailing to breakeven only after a firm push >70 on volume.

Confidence 77%

11/01/2025 09:39 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought gap_risk_after_earnings near_term_resistance_69_70

Momentum remains intact post-earnings: price holds within/above entry band and MACD is strengthening, though RSI is overbought and 69–70 remains near-term resistance. No stop/target/horizon triggers yet; market is closed and horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Maintain plan and monitor for Monday gap risk.

Confidence 78%

11/01/2025 08:39 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought resistance_69_70 gap_weekend_risk liquidity_sensitivity post-earnings_volatility

Holding ACTIVE. Price (68.44) remains within the 65.5–68.5 entry band and well above the defined stop (65). No target hit (74.5–76.5) and horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, price above fast EMAs), but RSI is overbought and there is nearby resistance in the 69–70 zone, so expect volatility and potential dip attempts. No adverse news in the latest snapshot. Note: the written thesis mentioned a 61.8 stop and 7-day window, but the structured plan specifies 65 stop and 5-day horizon; using the structured levels for rule checks. Maintain discipline around 65; do not add above 69 unless a clean breakout and hold develops.

Confidence 80%

11/01/2025 07:38 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought_>70 gap_risk_next_session near_resistance_69_70 post_earnings_volatility

Price (68.44) is within the planned 65.5–68.5 entry zone; no stop (65.00) or target (74.5–76.5) has been hit and horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, RSI >70), but it’s near the 69–70 resistance band and overbought, so expect volatility on the next open. Continue to respect the 65 stop per structured plan (note: disregarding the 61.8 stop mentioned in narrative). If not filled yet, do not chase above 68.5 on the next session’s open; wait for dips back into the zone.

Confidence 78%

11/01/2025 06:36 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought gap_risk_weekend near_term_resistance_69_70 post_earnings_volatility liquidity_sensitive

No rules triggered. Last 68.44 sits within the 65.5–68.5 entry band; stop not breached; target (74.5–76.5) not hit; horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) not expired. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, price above EMAs) but RSI is stretched (>75) and 69–70 is nearby resistance. Maintain the plan into Monday; watch for an early-week pullback/failed breakout (loss of 67 with heavy volume) as a warning, otherwise look for continuation toward the mid-70s.

Confidence 77%

10/31/2025 20:36 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought weekend_gap_risk resistance_69_70 breakout_risk_below_65 post_earnings_volatility dtc_elevated

CALX closed within the planned entry band (~68.44 vs 65.5–68.5), momentum remains strong (MACD rising, price well above EMAs), and the stop (65) and targets (74.5–76.5) are intact. However, RSI is stretched (~76) and there’s a nearby resistance cluster around 69–70 into a weekend, so a brief consolidation/pullback is possible before any push toward the mid‑70s. Maintain the plan; watch 65 as the key breakout shelf—loss of that level would invalidate the momentum setup.

Confidence 79%

10/31/2025 19:34 PM

Hold

rsi_overbought gap_fill_risk after_hours_liquidity plan_stop_conflict

ACTIVE. Price is holding within the planned entry band (last ~68.44 vs 65.5–68.5), stop not hit (65), and targets (74.5–76.5) are untouched. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, rising histogram), but RSI is overbought (~76), so a digestion/pullback toward 66–67 is possible before any push toward mid-70s. Keeping the structured stop at 65 as the line-in-sand per the explicit plan; acknowledge the narrative mentioned 61.8, but we’re enforcing the 65 stop for risk control. Horizon remains 5 days from 2025-10-31.

Confidence 81%

10/31/2025 18:35 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought near_term_resistance_69_70 post_earnings_volatility after_hours_liquidity_spread

Day 1 post-earnings breakout remains intact. Last price 68.44 sits within the 65.5–68.5 entry band; no evidence of a stop (65.00) or target (≥74.5) trigger, and horizon (5 days) just started. Momentum strong (bullish MACD, price above EMA9/21), but RSI ~76 is overbought and 69–70 remains near-term resistance that could cause backing-and-filling. No contradicting news in the provided feed. Note: the narrative mentioned a 61.8 stop, but the structured plan lists 65.00; honoring 65.00 unless directed otherwise. Hold with discipline into next week; reassess on a clean break/hold above 70 or a failed retest of 65.

Confidence 80%

10/31/2025 17:34 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought near_term_resistance_69_70 after_hours_liquidity gap_risk_on_open post_earnings_volatility

Price (68.44) is inside the planned entry band (65.5–68.5) and well above the stop (65). No target hit (74.5–76.5) and horizon (5 days) just began today, so trade remains active. Momentum remains strong (MACD rising, bullish histogram), but RSI is elevated and price is near the 69–70 resistance cluster, so expect pullback risk and volatility around the open. Maintain current stop and targets; if price pushes and holds above 70 on strong breadth, consider trailing to the prior day low on a subsequent review. Note: using structured plan parameters (stop 65, horizon 5) despite the text mention of 61.8/7 days.

Confidence 82%

10/31/2025 16:34 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought near_term_resistance_69_70 gap_risk_next_session liquidity_sensitive

Position remains active: last 68.44 is within the 65.5–68.5 entry, stop 65 not breached, and no target hit (74.5–76.5). Horizon (5 days from 2025-10-31) not expired. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, price well above EMAs), but RSI ~76 is stretched and price is near recent resistance (69–70), so pullback risk is elevated. Hold with discipline into next week; avoid chasing strength and respect the stop.

Confidence 81%

10/31/2025 15:35 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 65 Horizon Days: 5

RSI_overbought chase_risk_above_entry breakout_failure_risk_below_65 liquidity_sensitive market_beta_risk

Breakout remains intact: price holding above fast EMAs with strong bullish MACD. However, RSI ~77 signals overbought/near-term pullback risk, so avoid chasing strength above 69; prefer entries on dips into the original 65.5–68.5 zone. Tightening stop to 65.0 to respect the breakout shelf; a decisive break below 65 would suggest failed breakout risk. Keep targets 74.5–76.5 within a shortened 5-day window; take profits on first target touch. If momentum accelerates through 70 on volume, manage intraday risk tightly rather than widening targets.

Confidence 82%

10/31/2025 14:34 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought Overextension_from_EMAs Post_earnings_volatility Chasing_risk_above_entry Liquidity_sensitivity

Price action is confirming the post-earnings momentum: last 69.5 vs prior close 68.04, MACD strong and bullish. However, RSI is stretched (77), so chasing above the planned 65.5–68.5 entry could carry drawdown risk if there’s a shakeout around the 69–70 resistance cluster. No stop or target levels have been triggered, and the 7-day horizon is intact. Maintain discipline: wait for planned dips to add/enter; if already filled, hold toward 74.5–76.5 while respecting the 64.8 stop. Targets remain realistic given momentum, but expect higher intraday volatility.

Confidence 80%

10/31/2025 13:35 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought approaching_resistance_70 gap_exhaustion_risk liquidity_sensitivity

No stop/target/horizon rules triggered. Post-earnings momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, price holding above breakout), but RSI is overbought and price is pressing the 69–70 resistance cluster, so intraday pullback risk is elevated. Keep trade ACTIVE with the current stop anchored just below the 65 breakout shelf (64.8). If not yet filled, avoid chasing above 69; better risk/reward on a pullback into the prior 67–68.5 entry zone. Reassess for a stop tighten on a sustained break/hold above 70 on volume.

Confidence 82%

10/31/2025 12:35 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 64.8

RSI_overbought above_entry_range_no_chase gap_fade_risk broader_market_volatility

Price (69.31) is above the planned buy zone (65.5–68.5); no stop/target/horizon triggers. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, RSI ~76) but overbought conditions suggest avoiding chase entries. Keep the dip-buy plan intact. If already filled, tighten risk to just below the 65 shelf to protect against a reversal while allowing some pullback. Targets (74.5–76.5) remain appropriate for a 7-day window given the post-earnings momentum.

Confidence 80%

10/31/2025 11:34 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought post_earnings_volatility extended_above_EMA liquidity_sensitivity

Position remains within plan. Last ~$68.57 is just above the entry band, stop 61.8 not breached, and targets (74.5–76.5) not reached. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, price well above EMAs), but RSI is overbought, so expect potential intraday pullbacks/coil before any push toward mid-70s. No new adverse news; thesis intact. If not filled, avoid chasing above plan—prefer fills on dips back into 66.5–68.5. Consider tightening stop only after a firm close above 70 or a higher low forms.

Confidence 78%

10/31/2025 10:34 AM

Hold

Exit Max: 76.5 Exit Min: 74.5 Entry Max: 69.2 Entry Min: 65.5 Stop Loss: 61.8 Horizon Days: 7

overbought_rsi extended_from_ema gap_fill_risk breakout_failure_risk liquidity_sensitivity

No stop/target/horizon rule triggered. Price ~69.76, above the planned entry band after the earnings breakout. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD/hist), but RSI is extremely overbought, so chasing strength carries elevated reversal risk. Keep the idea active; prefer pullback fills versus chasing. Slightly widen the top of the entry zone to allow a breakout retest fill; do not chase above the revised cap. Targets remain appropriate for a 7-day window. If price closes strong >70 and holds tomorrow, consider tightening the stop on subsequent sessions; for now keep the original stop to avoid getting shaken out by volatility.

Confidence 76%

10/31/2025 09:35 AM

Hold

RSI_overbought chasing_risk_above_entry gap_fill_risk early_session_volatility liquidity_sensitivity

Price is 70.38, above the 65.5–68.5 entry band and below the 74.5–76.5 target. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, price well above EMAs), but RSI is overbought (~75), increasing near-term pullback risk. No stop, target, or horizon triggers. If already filled within the entry band, hold per plan; if not filled, avoid chasing strength here and wait for a pullback/consolidation toward the entry range or near the 69–70 breakout area before considering adds. Keep stop and targets unchanged for now.

Confidence 78%