NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation Recommendation

11/04/2025 13:39 PM

Hold

Proximity to stop (~1%–2% below spot) Overhead resistance near 212 before target zone Intraday volatility in AI/semis Gap risk around headlines during open sessions

Position remains within the original plan: price is in the 198–205 entry zone, stop 197 not breached, and targets 222–228 are intact with 8 days left in the 12‑day horizon. Technicals remain constructive (RSI ~61, bullish MACD) despite a pullback from the prior close. Maintain risk discipline around 197; do not widen the stop. Watch 198/EMA9 as near-term support; a clean hold improves odds of a push toward 212 resistance and into the 222–228 target band. No change to targets or horizon at this time.

Confidence 76%

11/04/2025 12:41 PM

Hold

below_breakout_212 tight_stop_distance ai_sector_crowding_volatility

Position remains active: price (200.62) is within the 198–205 entry zone, above EMA9/21 and with bullish MACD and RSI ~61. Neither stop (197) nor target (≥222) has been triggered, and the 12-day horizon is intact. Pullback from prior close reduces momentum short-term, but AI-sector news flow remains supportive and the technical trend is still constructive. Maintain plan; watch 198 as near-term support and 212 as the breakout trigger toward 222–228.

Confidence 79%

11/04/2025 11:42 AM

Hold

price_below_prior_close social_mentions_slipping key_resistance_near_212 intraday_volatility_risk

Active. Last 202.02 remains within the 198–205 entry band, above 9/21 EMA with bullish MACD and RSI in the low 60s. Catalyst/news backdrop remains supportive and no invalidating headlines. Neither stop (197) nor target (≥222) has triggered, and horizon (through 2025-11-12) is intact. Maintain plan, monitor 212 resistance; sustained breakout keeps 222–228 viable.

Confidence 82%

11/04/2025 10:41 AM

Hold

below_breakout_level_212 negative_gap_vs_prior_close intraday_volatility AI_theme_crowding social_buzz_cooling

Active and within plan. Price (~202.15) sits inside the 198–205 entry zone, still above the 9/21 EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI ~63. No stop/target/horizon triggers: stop 197 not breached; target 222–228 not hit; horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) not expired. News flow around AI remains supportive; no thesis negation. Holding as-is; watching 212 breakout for momentum confirmation. Using the recorded stop at 197 per the plan fields despite earlier narrative mention of 191.5.

Confidence 84%

11/04/2025 09:45 AM

Hold

RSI_near_70_overbought_zone gap_down_from_prior_close open_volatility below_target_zone social_buzz_cooling_slightly

Price (202.49) remains within the entry zone and well above the 9/21-EMA cluster, with bullish MACD and RSI ~69 supporting the uptrend. No stop (197) or target (>=222) triggers and horizon is still open. Pullback vs prior close looks like normal open volatility; AI-related news tone is supportive. Maintain plan; consider tightening the stop only after a strong breakout/close higher.

Confidence 86%

11/04/2025 08:39 AM

Hold

RSI_near_70 below_breakout_resistance_212 early_hours_liquidity AI_trade_crowding_risk social_mentions_softening

Position remains within plan. Last ~207.02 is above the 197 stop and below the 222–228 target; horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) is still open. Momentum is intact (RSI ~69.5, bullish MACD) with supportive AI news flow. Key resistance remains ~212; a clean breakout/hold above that level would increase odds of reaching targets. Early-hours liquidity can be whippy; maintain current levels and monitor 200–202 for support on dips.

Confidence 89%

11/04/2025 07:40 AM

Hold

near_overbought_rsi major_resistance_around_212 early_hours_liquidity_gap_risk AI_news_momentum_sensitive social_attention_softening

Position remains valid: price 207.02 is above the 9/21 EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI ~69.5. No stop or target rule triggered (stop 197 intact; target 222-228 not reached). Key near-term level is a clean break and hold above ~212; if achieved on strength, momentum extension toward 222-228 remains plausible within the horizon. Early-hours gap dynamics could produce a fade toward 202-204; avoid over-tightening into opening volatility. Consider trailing stops higher only after a decisive push/close above 210-212 to protect gains.

Confidence 90%

11/04/2025 06:40 AM

Hold

RSI_near_overbought resistance_at_212 gap_and_fade_risk_pre-market chasing_above_entry_window

Position remains active. Entry was available within 198–205 and last price is 207.02 with bullish MACD and RSI ~69.5. No stop (197) or target (>=222) has triggered, and horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) has not expired. Momentum remains constructive but RSI is near overbought and 212 remains key resistance; expect potential back-tests of 205. Hold core, avoid adding above the entry band, and look for a clean breakout through 212 to accelerate toward targets.

Confidence 89%

11/03/2025 20:37 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 197

RSI near 70 increases pullback risk Overhead resistance around 212 could reject on first test Slight cooling in social mention trend Headline rotation within AI mega-cap complex could shift flows Overnight gap risk while extended above short-term averages

Position remains within the 12-day horizon and no stop/target has triggered. Price advanced above the entry zone (last 207.02 vs. 198–205) with bullish momentum intact (RSI ~69.5, positive MACD) and generally supportive AI news flow. Key near-term pivot remains the 212 resistance; a clean breakout would likely accelerate toward targets. Given the extension above the 9-EMA and elevated RSI, tighten risk to protect gains while keeping targets unchanged. Do not add chase entries here; prefer pullbacks toward 202–205 or confirmed breakout strength over 212.

Confidence 88%

11/03/2025 19:37 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 196

rsi_near_overbought overhead_resistance_212 afterhours_liquidity gap_risk crowded_ai_trade_volatility

Trade remains on track. Price (207.02) is above the 198–205 entry zone and well above short-term MAs, MACD momentum is strong, and AI news tone is supportive. RSI is nearing overbought and 212 remains key resistance; manage risk into that level. Keep targets 222–228. Tighten the stop to protect gains while allowing room for trend continuation.

Confidence 90%

11/03/2025 18:39 PM

Hold

near_resistance_212 overbought_risk_RSI_high after_hours_liquidity ai_crowding_volatility news_mixed_sentiment

NVDA remains in a strong momentum uptrend (price 207 > 9/21 EMA, MACD bullish, RSI ~69). No stop or target has triggered and the 12-day horizon is intact. The key nearby level is the prior high zone near 212; a clean breakout should accelerate toward the 222–228 target band. If 212 rejects on rising volume, expect a dip toward 204–205 and potentially a stop check. Keeping levels unchanged; monitor for a decisive move through 212 to confirm continuation.

Confidence 88%

11/03/2025 17:39 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 201.5

rsi_near_overbought overhead_resistance_~212 after_hours_liquidity_risk social_buzz_cooling

Position remains active. Entry zone (198–205) was accessible and price is now 207.02, well above short-term EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI ~69.5. No stop breach and target (222–228) not hit; horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Momentum is constructive but we sit below key resistance ~212; social buzz has cooled slightly. Tighten risk to protect against a pullback toward 202–205. If 212 breaks on volume, consider trailing stops intraday under the breakout day’s low to protect gains.

Confidence 88%

11/03/2025 16:39 PM

Hold

RSI_near_overbought overhead_resistance_near_212 after_hours_liquidity_risk social_buzz_cooling

Position remains active. Price (207.02, AH) is well above the 198–205 entry zone and the 199.5 stop, with bullish momentum intact (MACD positive, RSI ~69.5) and price trending above fast EMAs. Near-term key is a clean break and hold over ~212; that unlocks the 222–228 target range. Until then, expect potential churn below resistance given RSI near 70 and after-hours illiquidity; news flow and sector tone remain supportive. Keep risk tight against 199.5 and allow for a normal pullback while watching 212 reaction.

Confidence 87%

11/03/2025 15:39 PM

Hold

rsi_near_overbought key_resistance_212_overhead social_buzz_cooling intraday_volatility

Position remains active. Price 206.62 is above the 198–205 entry window, stop 199.5 not breached, and target 222–228 not yet reached. Momentum remains constructive (bullish MACD, RSI ~70, price above fast EMAs), but we’re still below key resistance near 212 and RSI is nearing overbought, so a brief fade is possible before any breakout. No change to levels: keep stop at 199.5 (just below the 200 round level) to avoid noise, and keep targets 222–228 within the 12-day horizon (expires ~Nov 12). Watch 212; a decisive breakout could justify raising the stop toward 202–203 on a successful retest.

Confidence 86%

11/03/2025 14:40 PM

Hold

RSI_overbought_zone major_resistance_~212_ahead momentum_reversal_risk_if_202_breaks sector_rotation_risk_AI_leaders volatility_spike_risk_into_breakout

ACTIVE. Price (≈207.53) remains well above stop and below target band (222–228). Momentum is intact: MACD bullish with a rising histogram and RSI ~70 (strong but nearing overbought). Tape is consolidating under the 212 resistance/52-week high; a clean breakout and hold above 212 would likely accelerate toward the 222–228 target within the remaining horizon. No evidence of stop or horizon breach, and news flow around AI remains supportive. Risk: near-term overbought conditions and a potential stall/rejection near 212. If momentum fades and the stock loses the 205–202 zone on volume, risk of a deeper pullback increases. Tactically, hold for the 212 break; if the breakout fails, be prepared to respect the stop promptly to protect gains.

Confidence 87%

11/03/2025 13:38 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 199.5

RSI_overbought near_term_resistance_~212 headline_volatility market_beta_exposure plan_stop_discrepancy_text_vs_structured

Price 210.53 is above the 198–205 entry zone and all key EMAs, with bullish MACD and RSI ~72 indicating strong but slightly overbought momentum. Resistance near 212 is close; 222–228 targets not hit, stop not breached, and the 12-day horizon (from 2025-10-31) remains intact. Maintain ACTIVE, but manage risk into the 212 area where rejection risk is elevated. Tighten the stop to protect gains while allowing room for continuation. If a clean breakout/close above ~212 occurs on strength, momentum extension to the 222–228 target range remains probable. Note: structured stop in the record is 198 while the thesis text mentions 191.5; treating 198 as the operative stop from the structured fields.

Confidence 86%

11/03/2025 12:41 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 198

RSI_overbought_70plus approaching_key_resistance_212 intraday_volatility_high social_attention_cooling

Position remains active: price (~210.02) is above entry (198–205), below target (>=222), and well above stop (197.5); horizon (12 days) not yet reached. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, RSI ~71) and broader AI/market tone is positive, but price is approaching the 212 resistance/52-week high where rejection is possible. Tightening risk makes sense while awaiting a confirmed breakout. If 212 breaks on strong volume, we can revisit targets and trail higher; if momentum stalls, protect gains via the tighter stop.

Confidence 87%

11/03/2025 11:39 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 197.5

RSI_overbought Approaching_major_resistance_212 Potential_gap_fill_to_202_205 Broad_market_risk Mixed_news_sentiment

Trade remains on track: price 208.34 is above the 198–205 entry zone, stop (197) not breached, and targets (222–228) not reached. Momentum is strong (bullish MACD) with RSI ~70, but shares are approaching the key 212 resistance. Manage risk into that level: keep targets unchanged and tighten the stop modestly to protect gains if the breakout attempt fails. Consider trimming a portion into 211–212 and adding back only on a confirmed breakout above 212; avoid chasing new adds above 205—prefer pullbacks toward 200–202 if offered within plan. Horizon unchanged (expires 2025-11-12).

Confidence 85%

11/03/2025 10:39 AM

Hold

rsi_near_overbought overhead_resistance_~212 news_mixed_sentiment social_interest_cooling

No rule triggers: price is above the 197 stop, below the 222–228 target, and within the 12-day window. Momentum remains constructive (bullish MACD, price above EMAs), but RSI ~70 and nearby 212 resistance argue for patience and avoiding premature tightening before a breakout. Maintain current stop (197) and targets (222–228); monitor 212 breakout for potential trail-up after confirmation.

Confidence 84%

11/03/2025 09:38 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 197

approaching_212_resistance social_attention_downtrend valuation_headwinds_article gap_fill_risk_after_open market_wide_tech_de_risking

Price is advancing (208.15) with bullish MACD and RSI ~66, stop intact and target not reached. The thesis remains supported by momentum and broadly positive AI/market tone. Key near-term risk is rejection at ~212 resistance. Maintain the plan; tighten risk given the favorable move from the entry zone.

Confidence 81%

11/03/2025 08:39 AM

Hold

overhead_resistance_212 valuation_headline_negative social_mentions_downtrend early_hours_liquidity_risk

Price (202.41) remains within the 198–205 entry zone, well above the 195 stop and below the 222–228 target band. Momentum signals are still constructive (RSI ~66, bullish MACD) and price holds above fast EMAs, while news flow is broadly supportive with one valuation‑caution headline. No rule-based exit triggered; horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Note: the narrative mentioned a 191.5 stop, but the structured plan specifies 195; managing to 195 unless instructed otherwise. Key watch: 212 resistance breakout/failed rejections. Keeping levels unchanged for now.

Confidence 78%

11/03/2025 07:38 AM

Hold

resistance_overhead_near_212 early_hours_volatility social_buzz_cooling valuation_pushback_in_news crowded_ai_trade

Position remains valid: price (≈202.41) is within the original entry zone (198–205), trend and momentum stay constructive (RSI ~66, bullish MACD), and price holds above fast EMAs. No target or stop has triggered, and horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) is intact. News skew is generally positive for AI leaders, with one valuation-caution piece; social buzz has cooled somewhat. Key near-term level remains the 212 breakout; above that, 222–228 targets are reasonable. Maintain current stop at 195 per the structured plan; avoid tightening to prevent whipsaws near the 9d EMA. Consider adds only on sustained break/hold above 212 with volume.

Confidence 80%

11/03/2025 06:38 AM

Hold

near_resistance rsi_elevated premarket_liquidity_risk social_interest_cooling valuation_headline_risk

ACTIVE. Price (≈202.41) remains within the 198–205 entry zone, above key EMAs, and momentum is intact (bullish MACD, RSI ~66). No stop-loss (195) breach and no target hit (≥222). Horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) not expired. News flow is mixed-to-positive with one valuation caution; social interest has cooled modestly but remains elevated. Primary risk is repeated rejection below ~212 resistance and early-hours volatility. Keep the plan: hold against 195 stop, targets 222–228. If intraday momentum weakens under 200 on rising volume, reduce add-ons; if strength builds through 206–208 with volume, continuation toward the breakout remains likely.

Confidence 81%

11/02/2025 20:38 PM

Hold

resistance_near_212 rsi_near_70 gap_open_risk competition_headlines

Price is holding within the 198–205 entry zone (last ~202.41) with bullish momentum intact (RSI ~66, positive MACD histogram). No stop (195) or target (222–228) triggers, and the 12-day horizon is early. Key inflection remains a breakout through ~212; follow-through there would likely accelerate toward the lower target band. Maintain current stop and targets for now. If a confirmed breakout above ~212 occurs on volume, consider trailing risk up toward ~198 after a successful retest; otherwise keep the hard stop at 195.

Confidence 83%

11/02/2025 19:39 PM

Hold

major_resistance_near_212 overnight_gap_risk sector_rotation_risk_ai_semis competitor_headline_risk elevated_rsi

Setup intact. Price (202.41) remains within the 198–205 entry zone, well above the 195 stop and below 222–228 targets. Momentum indicators remain supportive (bullish MACD, RSI ~66) and price holds above fast EMAs. No invalidating news in the latest feed. Key near-term level is a clean break/hold over ~212; that should accelerate toward the 222–228 target band. Maintain current plan into next session; if a strong breakout occurs, consider scaling at the lower target. No changes to stops/targets today given healthy trend and typical volatility risk.

Confidence 83%

11/02/2025 18:37 PM

Hold

below_key_resistance_212 momentum_uptrend_intact rsi_elevated_not_overbought ai_headline_sensitivity social_buzz_softening gap_risk_next_open

Status check: Price 202.41 remains within the planned 198–205 entry zone, well above the 195 stop, and below the 222–228 target; horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) not yet reached. Technicals still supportive (RSI ~66, MACD positive with rising histogram; price above 9/21-day EMAs), while resistance near ~212 remains the key breakout gate. No adverse NVDA-specific news; AI complex broadly constructive, though social buzz cooled slightly. Maintain plan: wait for a decisive break/hold over ~212 to accelerate toward 222–228. Keep risk defined at 195 to allow normal noise; consider tightening stop only after a confirmed breakout and higher-low retest.

Confidence 83%

11/02/2025 17:37 PM

Hold

resistance_near_212_overhead social_interest_declining market_closed_gap_risk

Price (202.41) is within the 198–205 entry zone. No stop (195) or target (222–228) has been hit, and the 12-day horizon from 2025-10-31 has not expired (≈10 days remain). Momentum remains supportive: RSI ~66.4, MACD positive with a rising histogram; price is above 9/21 EMAs. News flow around AI/datacenters is neutral-to-positive with no NVDA-specific negatives in the feed. Social buzz has cooled modestly, and resistance near ~212 from the thesis remains overhead, so patience is warranted for a breakout. Maintain the plan: hold against 195 stop and target 222–228; consider partial at 222 on first touch if momentum stalls.

Confidence 84%

11/02/2025 16:37 PM

Hold

approaching_key_resistance_212 elevated_intraday_volatility_potential crowded_AI_trade_headline_risk gap_risk_around_newsflow

Price (202.41) remains within the planned entry zone (198–205), above 9/21 EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI ~66. No stop-loss (195) or target (≥222) triggers, and the 12-day horizon from 2025-10-31 leaves ample time. Key overhead level is ~212; a clean breakout would likely accelerate toward the 222–228 target. For now, hold per plan; reassess stops/targets on a confirmed breakout or if momentum fades.

Confidence 84%

11/02/2025 15:37 PM

Hold

overhead_resistance_around_212 weekend_gap_risk ai_crowding_volatility

No rule triggers. Last ~202.41 is within the 198–205 entry zone, above 9/21 EMAs, with bullish MACD and RSI ~66 supporting momentum. Target (222–228) not reached, stop (195) not breached, and horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Maintain plan; watch the 212 breakout level for confirmation and potential post-breakout stop tighten. Note: structured stop is 195; thesis text mentioned 191.5—continuing with 195 per the recorded plan.

Confidence 85%

11/02/2025 09:44 AM

Hold

resistance_near_212 elevated_RSI_not_overbought headline_volatility event_risk_11_04_semis gap_risk_on_open crowded_AI_trade

Position remains within the planned entry zone (198–205) with last at ~202.41. No stop or target triggers. Momentum indicators remain supportive (bullish MACD, RSI ~66) and social/news tone is positive. Primary technical overhang is resistance near ~212; a decisive breakout keeps the path open toward 222–228 within the remaining horizon. We will retain existing targets and stop for now; note discrepancy between narrative stop (191.5) and structured stop (195) — adhering to the structured 195 for risk control. Monitor Monday (Nov 4) semiconductor headlines for volatility spillover.

Confidence 86%

11/02/2025 08:40 AM

Hold

overhead_resistance_near_212 gap_headline_risk_while_market_closed elevated_volatility overbought_rsi_risk market_wide_tech_de_risking

Price (202.41) remains within the planned 198–205 entry zone; stop 195 not breached; targets 222–228 not reached; horizon intact (10 days left). Momentum indicators remain constructive (bullish MACD, RSI ~66) and social buzz is improving; no new adverse news in the feed. Maintain the plan and monitor the 212 resistance area for breakout follow-through early next week.

Confidence 85%

11/02/2025 06:41 AM

Hold

overhead_resistance_near_212 momentum_could_fade_if_breakout_fails headline_gap_risk_while_market_closed marketwide_tech_de_risking_could_weigh_on_AI_leaders

No stop or target event. Last 202.41 sits within the 198–205 entry zone, above EMA9 and EMA21 with bullish MACD and RSI ~66, and news/sentiment skewed positive. Key near-term trigger remains a clean breakout over ~212; until then expect chop below resistance. We continue to honor the explicit trade-plan stop at 195 (despite the 191.5 mention in thesis text). Maintain plan into next week; reassess on a breakout/failed retest or if market-wide tech risk-off emerges.

Confidence 86%

11/01/2025 20:40 PM

Hold

near_key_resistance_212 elevated_rsi gap_risk_next_session headline_volatility

Price (202.41) sits inside the 198–205 entry zone, above 9/21/50-day EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI ~66. No stop-loss (195) breach, no target (222–228) hit, and horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. News and sentiment skew positive, and social mentions are rising. Key near-term level is the prior high area (~212); a clean break would likely accelerate toward targets. Maintain plan and risk controls; watch for gap risk on next open.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 19:42 PM

Hold

overhead_resistance_near_212 gap_risk_on_next_open intraday_volatility market_wide_tech_derisking

No rule triggers. Last 202.41 sits inside the 198–205 entry zone with bullish momentum (RSI ~66, MACD > signal) and rising EMAs. Price has not touched the 195 stop and is below the 222–228 target; horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Key watch is a clean push/hold above ~212 resistance; while above 195 and with momentum intact, keep the plan active.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 18:43 PM

Hold

weekend_gap_risk overhead_resistance_near_212 momentum_cooldown_risk_RSI~66 macro_tech_derisking_risk crowded_AI_theme_volatility

No rule triggers. Price (~202.41) remains within the 198–205 entry zone, above the 9/21 EMA stack, RSI ~66 and MACD bullish—momentum intact. Positive AI/news sentiment and rising social mentions support the thesis. Stop (195) not breached; first target (222) not hit; horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) still open. Maintain plan; focus on a clean breakout over ~212 for momentum extension toward 222–228. Be mindful of weekend gap risk—if a gap down through 195 occurs at the open, stop rules apply.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 17:42 PM

Hold

weekend_gap_risk overhead_resistance_at_212 ai_crowding_volatility macro_rate_headline_risk

No rule triggers. Price (~202.41) remains within the 198–205 entry zone; stop (195) not breached, and target (>=222) not reached. Momentum signals remain supportive (bullish MACD, RSI ~66, price above 9/21 EMA). News/social flow skew positive into the weekend. Keep the plan intact and monitor the 212 resistance; a decisive close above could accelerate toward the 222–228 target band. Be mindful of Monday gap risk.

Confidence 89%

11/01/2025 16:41 PM

Hold

weekend_gap_risk overhead_resistance_around_212 crowded_ai_trade_volatility macro_rates_headline_risk

Status unchanged. Last ~202.41 sits inside the 198–205 entry zone; stop (recorded at 195) not breached; no target (222–228) hit; 12‑day horizon from 2025-10-31 remains intact. Technicals supportive: RSI ~66, bullish MACD histogram, price above 9/21-EMAs. News/social flow skews positive around AI leadership, consistent with the original partnership-driven thesis. Key watch: overhead resistance near ~212; repeated rejection or momentum rollover would warrant tightening risk. Using the structured stop at 195 as the controlling level (not the lower narrative 191.5).

Confidence 89%

11/01/2025 15:40 PM

Hold

overhead_resistance_212 rsi_elevated headline_gap_risk ai_crowding_volatility

Price (202.41) is within the planned 198–205 buy zone. No stop-loss breach (195) and no target hit (222–228). Technicals remain supportive (bullish MACD, RSI ~66) and social/news tone is positive. Key risk is overhead resistance near 212; a breakout remains the trigger for momentum follow-through within the 12-day horizon (expires 2025-11-12). Keeping stop and targets unchanged for now.

Confidence 89%

11/01/2025 14:45 PM

Hold

weekend_gap_risk resistance_near_212 RSI_elevated

Position remains within the planned entry zone (198–205) with last at 202.41. Stop (195) not breached; target (222–228) not reached; horizon intact through 2025-11-12. Momentum setup remains constructive (RSI ~66, bullish MACD; price above 9/21 EMAs). News and social mentions are skewed positive. Primary near-term risk is a rejection at ~212 resistance and weekend gap risk. Maintain plan and watch for a clean breakout attempt early next week.

Confidence 89%

11/01/2025 13:43 PM

Hold

near_term_resistance_around_212 weekend_gap_risk ai_crowding_volatility market_beta_exposure

Price (202.41) remains within the planned entry zone (198–205) and well above the stop (195). No stop/target/horizon triggers. Momentum signals stay supportive (bullish MACD, RSI ~66), and sentiment/news flow is positive with rising social mentions. Primary near-term risk is rejection near ~212 resistance on a breakout attempt and general weekend gap risk. Maintain the plan; monitor a decisive close above 212 to manage for follow-through toward 222–228. If momentum stalls with repeated 212 rejections on heavier volume, be ready to trim risk on strength early next week.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 12:43 PM

Hold

near_52w_high_resistance weekend_gap_risk headline_volatility crowded_trade_risk macro_rate_sensitivity

Setup intact. Last price (202.41) sits inside the 198–205 buy zone, trend and momentum remain constructive (RSI ~66, bullish MACD), and news/social flow is supportive. No stop/target/horizon triggers: price is above the 195 stop and below the 222–228 target range; horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) not yet reached. Keep plan unchanged into next session and monitor a clean push through ~212 resistance. If a market gap takes price below 195 on the next open, respect the stop. No changes to targets or horizon at this time.

Confidence 87%

11/01/2025 11:41 AM

Hold

Overhead resistance near 212 could reject Weekend headline/gap risk into next session AI-leaders volatility elevated RSI in mid-60s (near overbought threshold)

Setup intact. Price (202.41) remains in the 198–205 entry zone, above key EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI ~66. No stop or target hit; horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Largest near-term risk is rejection at ~212 resistance; news/sentiment remain supportive. Keep plan levels; watch for a clean push toward/through 212 to confirm momentum toward 222–228. Using 195 as the operative stop per trade sheet.

Confidence 86%

11/01/2025 10:45 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 195

overhead_resistance_near_212 gap_risk_after_weekend ai_crowding_volatility macro_rate_sensitivity

Position remains active: price sits within the 198–205 entry zone, no stop breach (193.5) and no target hit (>=222), and the 12-day horizon from 2025-10-31 is intact. Momentum signals (RSI ~66, bullish MACD) and supportive news flow/social trend keep the setup constructive. Given weekend gap risk and nearby resistance around 212, tighten the stop modestly to reduce downside while preserving room for volatility; keep targets unchanged and watch for a clean breakout above 212 next week.

Confidence 87%

11/01/2025 09:40 AM

Hold

overhead_resistance_212 weekend_gap_risk crowded_AI_trade macro_rate_uncertainty headline_volatility

No rule-based triggers hit. Last price (~202.41) remains within the 198–205 entry zone; neither stop (193.5) nor target (222–228) was touched, and the 12-day horizon (thru ~Nov 12) is intact. Momentum remains constructive (RSI ~66, bullish MACD) with price above key EMAs and supportive AI/newsflow and rising social mentions. Nearest risk is overhead supply near 212; a clean break would improve odds toward the 222–228 target. Maintain plan: hold with stop at 193.5 and targets unchanged; monitor for any market-wide tech de-risking on the next open.

Confidence 87%

11/01/2025 08:39 AM

Hold

Overhead resistance near 212 Weekend/macro gap risk while market closed Elevated RSI risk of short-term overbought Catalyst fade/headline risk Market-wide tech de-risking could stall breakout

Price (202.41) sits inside the planned buy zone (198–205). No stop (193.5) or target (222–228) triggers, and horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) remains open. Technicals still supportive (bullish MACD, RSI ~66, price above 9/21 EMA). News/social flow remains broadly positive for AI and NVDA. Maintain the plan and monitor 212 resistance; a clean break improves odds of reaching 222–228. Keep stop at 193.5 per structured plan and reassess for a trailing stop only after a decisive push above 212.

Confidence 88%

11/01/2025 07:39 AM

Hold

near_major_resistance_~212 momentum_overbought_risk_RSI_mid_60s gap_risk_next_open headline_catalyst_volatility

Price (202.41) sits within the 198–205 entry zone, above fast EMAs with bullish MACD and RSI ~66. No stop (193.5) or target (>=222) triggers and horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) not reached. Momentum and news flow remain supportive; key resistance remains ~212. Maintain plan; watch for a breakout through 212 toward the 222–228 target. If momentum extends after a breakout, consider tightening the stop on strength; no changes now given limited new price information while the market is closed.

Confidence 90%

11/01/2025 06:36 AM

Hold

overhead_resistance_212 gap_risk_on_open headline_catalyst_risk sector_rotation_risk high_beta_volatility

Position remains within entry zone (last ~202.4 vs 198–205). No stop/target/horizon breaches. Momentum and trend intact (RSI ~66, bullish MACD, price above 9/21 EMA). Maintain original stop at 193.5 and targets 222–228. Key level is the 212 resistance; a clean breakout can accelerate toward targets. If repeated rejection at 212 coincides with a loss of the 9EMA, be ready to tighten the stop on the next review.

Confidence 89%

10/31/2025 20:36 PM

Hold

overhead_resistance_near_212 rsi_elevated_but_not_extreme headline_fade_gap_risk broader_market_liquidity_divergence

Entry filled within the planned 198–205 zone; last close ~202.41. Momentum remains constructive (price above 9/21 EMAs, bullish MACD, RSI ~66). Newsflow reinforces the partnership/capex thesis (Korea AI chip supply headlines) and broader AI risk-on tone. No stop or target triggers; horizons intact. Nearest risk is resistance/breakout test near ~212; expect volatility around that level. Plan: hold the position against the 193.5 stop and target 222–228. If a decisive breakout/hold above ~212 occurs on strong volume, consider tightening the stop on a future update; otherwise keep risk parameters unchanged for now.

Confidence 90%

10/31/2025 19:34 PM

Hold

near_term_resistance_around_212 after_hours_liquidity_thin headline_volatility_risk gap_risk_next_session

No stop/target/horizon triggers. Price (202.41) remains inside the 198–205 entry zone and well above the 193.5 stop. Momentum signals remain supportive (bullish MACD, RSI ~66), and news flow around South Korea AI partnerships aligns with the thesis. Key near-term level is the ~212 resistance; a decisive break would likely accelerate toward the 222–228 target band. Maintain plan; reassess stops on a confirmed breakout or if momentum fades.

Confidence 90%

10/31/2025 18:35 PM

Hold

afterhours_liquidity resistance_near_212 gap_risk headline_volatility macro_tech_beta

Price (202.41) remains within the 198–205 entry zone; stop (193.5) intact; no target (222–228) or horizon breach. Momentum setup remains constructive: RSI ~66.5, MACD bullish with positive histogram, and price above rising 9/21 EMAs. News flow is supportive (Korea AI chip supply/partnership headlines) and broader mega-cap tech tone is positive. Key near-term risk is rejection at ~212 resistance; until a breakout, expect chop. Maintain plan; consider trailing stops higher only after a confirmed close above ~212 on strong volume.

Confidence 90%

10/31/2025 17:36 PM

Hold

approaching_major_resistance_~212 after_hours_liquidity_thin macro_rate_sensitivity_headline_risk gap_risk_next_open momentum_reversal_if_212_rejects

Price (~202.41) is within the 198–205 entry zone, momentum remains constructive (RSI ~66, bullish MACD), and today’s partnership/news flow is supportive. No stop-loss breach (193.5) and no target hit (>=222). Horizon (12 days from 2025-10-31) just began. Key near-term level is the 212 resistance; a clean breakout would likely accelerate toward the 222–228 target range. Maintain plan; be mindful of after-hours liquidity and potential macro headline volatility (rate-cut expectations).

Confidence 92%

10/31/2025 16:35 PM

Hold

AfterHoursLiquidity WeekendHeadlineRisk Near52WeekHighResistance_~212 GapRisk CrowdedAITheme

Price (202.41) is inside the planned entry zone (198–205). Stop (193.5 per ticket) remains intact and targets 222–228 are untouched. Momentum signals remain supportive (RSI ~66, bullish MACD) and headline flow is positive around Korea partnerships/AI demand. Primary focus is on a clean breakout through ~212; until then, maintain discipline around the defined stop. Note: narrative mentioned a 191.5 stop, but the structured plan lists 193.5; enforcing 193.5 as authoritative. If 212 breaks on strong volume, consider tightening to protect gains; otherwise keep current levels.

Confidence 92%

10/31/2025 15:36 PM

Hold

resistance_near_212 ai_crowding_volatility market_gap_risk social_buzz_cooling headline_sensitivity

Setup remains intact. Price (204.54) is within the planned 198–205 entry zone, well above EMAs with bullish MACD and elevated but not extreme RSI. Fresh, supportive news flow around large South Korea AI chip supply aligns with the thesis. No stop/target/horizon triggers. Primary near-term level to watch is the 212 breakout; a clean move/hold above that could accelerate toward the 222–228 target range. Maintain current plan; if a breakout confirms, consider trailing tighter against the breakout area, but no changes now. Note: structured stop_loss is 193.5 (used here) despite a 191.5 mention in the narrative.

Confidence 92%

10/31/2025 14:35 PM

Hold

near_key_resistance_212 intraday_volatility market_wide_tech_risk social_mentions_trending_down news_fade_risk

Trade remains intact. Price (~204.29) is inside the 198–205 entry zone with stop 193.5 intact and well above rising EMAs. Momentum remains constructive (RSI ~67.6; MACD histogram positive) and news flow is supportive (South Korea partnerships/large chip supply headlines, broader AI-positive tone). No stop/target/horizon triggers. Expect a test of the 212 resistance; a clean breakout and hold above that level opens the 222–228 target range. If 212 rejects on rising volume, expect chop; keep risk defined. Consider tightening stops only after strength confirms (e.g., post-breakout retest).

Confidence 92%

10/31/2025 13:35 PM

Hold

Below 212 breakout resistance AI headline/crowding volatility Social mentions trending down intraday Broader market liquidity risk

Price (202.93) sits inside the planned entry zone (198–205). Stop (193.5) not tested; no target touch (222–228) and horizon just started (12 days). Momentum remains constructive (bullish MACD, RSI ~67) and today’s news flow reinforces the South Korea partnership thesis. Watch the 212 breakout pivot; strength through there should accelerate toward the 222–228 target band. Maintain current levels for now; consider tightening stops only after a confirmed breakout or if momentum fades on a failed test of 212.

Confidence 92%

10/31/2025 12:36 PM

Hold

overhead_resistance_near_212 ai_crowding_volatility stop_discrepancy_text_191_5_vs_struct_193_5 social_buzz_trend_down

Price ~204.05 sits inside the 198–205 entry zone with RSI ~67 and a bullish MACD histogram, supported by multiple positive AI-partnership headlines. No stop/target/horizon rules hit. Key near-term inflection is a clean break/hold above ~212; below, 198 is first support. Maintain stop at 193.5 and targets at 222–228 for now. If 212 breaks and holds on strong volume, consider trailing the stop up toward 197–199 on confirmation; if 198 fails on rising volume, be ready to reduce risk intraday.

Confidence 93%

10/31/2025 11:35 AM

Hold

RSI_approaching_overbought near_key_resistance_212 headline_gap_risk elevated_intraday_volatility social_mentions_trend_down

Momentum and news backdrop remain strong. Last ~205.4 is just above the 198–205 entry zone, RSI ~69 with bullish MACD confirms trend. No stop/target/horizon rule triggered. Maintain plan: don’t chase above entry; prefer adds on dips back into 198–205. Keep stop at 193.5 and targets 222–228. Key near-term level is 212 (breakout pivot); if cleared and holds on a retest, we can revisit a tighter trailing stop near the breakout level. Horizon unchanged within 12 days.

Confidence 94%

10/31/2025 10:34 AM

Hold

near_major_resistance_212 rsi_elevated gap_up_open entry_at_top_of_zone stop_level_discrepancy_in_thesis_vs_plan social_buzz_cooling

No rule triggers. Price (205.89) is above EMAs with bullish MACD and supportive news flow; still below the 212 breakout level and under the 222–228 target band. Hold within plan. If not filled, avoid chasing above the entry cap; look for pullbacks into the 198–205 zone to complete entries. Expect volatility near 212 (prior high). Maintain stop at 193.5 per structured plan; note discrepancy vs narrative (191.5) and use 193.5 as the governing stop. Consider trimming into 222–228 if reached; after a decisive breakout/close >212, consider tightening the stop to just below the next higher-low swing rather than pre-emptively today.

Confidence 93%

10/31/2025 09:35 AM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 193.5

approaching_resistance_212 rsi_elevated market_liquidity_concern social_buzz_fading

Thesis intact and reinforced by multiple partnership headlines; momentum remains strong (RSI ~67, bullish MACD). Price is above entry zone and below key resistance near 212. No stop/target/horizon triggers. Maintain targets; tighten risk given quick move from entry. Prefer not to add here; wait for either a pullback toward 203–205 or a clean breakout/retest above 212 on volume.

Confidence 92%