META (Meta Platforms, Inc. Recommendation

META

Active - 6 Days Remaining

Meta Platforms, Inc.

Recommendation Date: 11/04/2025 Update: 11/04/2025 13:32 PM (3 updates)

Trade Plan

$625.00-$640.00

$704.00-$704.00

$608.00

58%

0.860

Evidence

Price at Pick:$636.14

Prior Close:$637.71

MACD Value:-19.224287

MACD Signal:-9.236430

MACD Histogram:-9.987857

Trend:Bearish Momentum

Support Est:$626.33

Resistance Est:$707.18

Current Quote

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Open

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Rationale

META put up 26% revenue growth and 20% EPS growth, then face-planted because Zuck said ‘AI capex go brrr.’ Cool story, bears. Fundamentals didn’t crack; the market just freaked out at the price tag. RSI is in the basement, MACD is crying, and price is way below the short EMAs — perfect conditions for a face-ripping bounce. I’m scooping 625–640, aiming for the 21‑day EMA area around 700 and then some. Minimum objective is 704, stretch to 725 if the ad machine keeps printing and capex hysteria cools. If it slips to ~608, I’m out — not here to marry a chart. The play is a fast swing: strong quarter, misunderstood spend, oversold setup. Big boys maintain constructive ratings, and once the tape stops hyperventilating, this snaps back. It’s a ‘buy the fear, sell the relief’ special. I want my 10%+ in a week while the capex police argue on TV. Zuck’s building the future, I’m building tendies.

Thesis and catalyst: Despite a pullback tied to higher AI capex concerns, Meta’s latest quarter was fundamentally sound, with The Motley Fool citing 26% revenue growth and 20% EPS growth. The stock’s dip appears more about spending optics than demand softness; the FoA ad engine remains strong, and the company continues to lean into AI‑driven product and monetization improvements. Recent coverage also notes ongoing constructive views from the sell side (e.g., Evercore ISI maintaining Outperform despite a reduced PT), suggesting the narrative is not broken — it’s a near‑term spend debate on top of robust core results. Technicals and timing: Technically, the setup is a classic oversold rebound candidate. RSI is deeply washed out (~26), MACD is negative with a widening histogram, and price sits well below the 9/21/50‑day EMAs. That configuration often precedes a reflexive bounce when fundamentals are not deteriorating. Our entry band at 625–640 references today’s range and gives room for a shakeout before a relief rally. We anchor near-term support to today’s low (~626.33) and use the 21‑day EMA (~707.18) as a realistic first resistance zone — conveniently around our minimum exit target. A stop at 608 reduces risk if weakness accelerates. Targets and horizon: We target 704–725 over 7 days, mapping to a 10%+ bounce from the entry band’s top if the post‑earnings digestion abates and buyers step back in. This is aligned with short-lived but forceful rebounds that oversold mega-caps can post after strong quarters when spending headlines settle. The 21‑day EMA cluster is our initial magnet; extension toward 725 is feasible if ad demand headlines stay supportive. Risks: Continued multiple compression on AI capex fears could delay the bounce. However, the quality of the reported growth and the durability of the core ad platforms provide a fundamental cushion for a mean-reversion move. The stop enforces discipline if the market extends the de-risking. Bottom line: Strong results, a pressured tape, and washed‑out technicals form a tactical long for a 10%+ reflex rally toward the 700s within a week.

Updates

11/04/2025 13:32 PM

Hold

bearish_momentum oversold_rsi below_9ema below_21ema resistance_near_700 social_mentions_trend_down

No stop/target/horizon triggers. Price (~630) sits inside the 625–640 entry band; stop at 608 intact; targets 704–725 not reached. Setup remains an oversold rebound attempt (RSI ~24), but momentum is still sharply bearish (negative MACD histogram) and price is well below 9/21 EMAs (~682/~706). Thesis intact for a reflex bounce, but expect resistance into 680s–700s; avoid adding on weakness. Monitor 625 intraday as near-term support; if that breaks with momentum, risk of a flush toward the stop rises.

Confidence 58%

11/04/2025 12:32 PM

Hold

bearish_macd_momentum extreme_oversold_rsi price_below_short_and_medium_EMAs social_mentions_trend_down broader_market_headwinds

Price (~631.48) is within the 625–640 entry band; position considered initiated. Setup remains oversold (RSI ~24.7) but downside momentum is still bearish (MACD histogram widening), so expect chop and potential undercut risk before any reflex bounce. No thesis-breaking news today; stop 608 and targets 704–725 remain appropriate. Maintain discipline: respect 608 if weakness accelerates and look to scale out into the low-700s on a fast pop.

Confidence 62%

11/04/2025 11:32 AM

Hold

bearish_momentum oversold_RSI below_key_EMAs market_headwinds social_buzz_fading si_rising

Price is within the planned entry band (625–640). Neither target (>=704) nor stop (608) has been triggered, and the 7‑day horizon just started. Setup remains an oversold bounce attempt (RSI ~25) but momentum is still bearish (MACD negative) and price is well below the EMA cluster, so expect volatility. Maintain the plan and monitor for a decisive reclaim toward the 9/21‑EMA area; a loss of 625 on expanding volume would increase risk of a stop run.

Confidence 70%