PLTR (Palantir Technologies Inc. Recommendation

PLTR

Active - 7 Days Remaining

Palantir Technologies Inc.

Recommendation Date: 11/04/2025 Update: 11/04/2025 13:33 PM (3 updates)

Trade Plan

$188.00-$196.00

$216.00-$216.00

$185.50

66%

0.880

Evidence

Price at Pick:$195.04

Prior Close:$207.18

MACD Value:5.868023

MACD Signal:4.526844

MACD Histogram:1.341179

Trend:Bullish Momentum

Support Est:$185.70

Resistance Est:$207.52

Current Quote

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Rationale

PLTR dropped a spicy earnings beat, raised guidance, and said the US commercial rocket is still firing — and the market’s first move was ‘lol sell tech’ because bubbles or whatever. Perfect. I’m grabbing shares around 188–196 where the 21‑day EMA is lurking as a trampoline. MACD is thicc green, RSI isn’t even tired, and those moving averages are lined up like a staircase to Valhalla. Targets? 216–227. That’s 10%+ upside easy if we clear the 207 area and let the algos go full ‘new highs’ mode. Yeah, bears will point at scary headlines about puts and frothy AI, but the numbers in the report slapped — revenue $1.18B, guidance up, momentum strong. Traders panicking is a gift; we buy the dip and let the revisions and upgrades drip over the next week. Stop is 181 because if it breaks that, I’m not going to become a bagholder; I’ll just reload lower. Eight trading days for the tendies. If you’re allergic to volatility, go buy a bond. I’m here for that post‑earnings squeeze and the chance to watch line go up while the doomers write essays about multiples.

Thesis and catalyst: Palantir’s Q3 print came in strong, with Benzinga highlighting a beat on revenue (to $1.18B), better EPS, and raised full‑year guidance, driven by robust U.S. commercial growth. That combination typically fuels multi‑session follow‑through as models move higher and momentum accounts re‑enter after any knee‑jerk selloffs. While broader tech sold off on valuation fears, the fundamental update remains unambiguously positive and focused on operating momentum rather than one‑off factors. In other words, the business is accelerating where it matters — high‑growth commercial — and management guided above prior expectations. Technicals and timing: Price at ~195 is resting above key moving averages: EMA(9) ~193.4, EMA(21) ~187.45, EMA(50) ~178.48. MACD is bullish (line 5.87 vs signal 4.53, positive histogram), and RSI at ~54 sits comfortably mid‑zone, leaving room for upside expansion without overbought pressure. The 10‑ and 20‑day SMAs are rising, underlining trend support. Today’s headlines include profit‑taking and AI-bubble chatter, but the stock’s posture remains technically constructive — a positive divergence versus the tone of the session. Our entry band at 188–196 respects intraday volatility and overlays the 21‑day EMA as dynamic support. The stop at 181 risks a reversion toward the mid‑180s if sellers gain control. Targets and horizon: We set a 6–10 day window (here, 8 days) consistent with an earnings beat and raised guidance — catalysts that often carry through a week or two as upgrades/estimate revisions hit. Our 216–227 target range represents roughly 10–16% above the top of our entry zone, with 207.5 (recent high) as the first checkpoint and 216+ as the post‑beat extension goal. The combination of positive operating momentum and intact technical trend makes a retest and breakout above recent highs achievable. Risks: Broader AI valuation pressure (as flagged in news flow) could cause volatility, while negative headlines around prominent investors’ puts can sap sentiment. However, those are trader‑driven dynamics rather than changes to the company’s Q3 trajectory. The stop is designed to contain downside if the market de‑risks AI across the board. Bottom line: A clear earnings beat, raised guidance, and accelerating U.S. commercial growth set up a tradable push to new highs once the initial profit‑taking phase runs its course. We position for a 10%+ move over the next 8 sessions with discipline around the 181 stop.

Updates

11/04/2025 13:33 PM

Hold

gap_down_post_earnings volatility_elevated below_ema9 support_ema21_nearby

No rule breach. Price ~189.9 is within the planned 188–196 entry zone, above the 21-EMA (~187.5) and well above the 185.5 stop; target 216–227 not reached; horizon just started (day 0/8). Despite a sharp gap-down from prior close, momentum signals remain constructive (MACD positive, RSI ~55) and social attention is rising. Maintain plan but monitor the 187–188 area (21-EMA) closely; a decisive break there likely pressures the stop quickly. Keep position sizing disciplined given post-earnings volatility.

Confidence 66%

11/04/2025 12:33 PM

Tighten Stop

Stop Loss: 185.5

gap_down_vs_prior_close post_earnings_volatility below_ema9 broad_market_weakness

Price 193.02 is within the 188–196 entry band, above the 21-EMA (~187.6) with RSI ~55 and bullish MACD; the gap-down from 207 looks more like broad tech de-risking than a thesis break. No stop/target/horizon triggers. Keep targets and horizon unchanged; tighten the stop to ~185.5 (just below 21-EMA) to reduce downside if the selloff persists. A quick reclaim of the 9-EMA (~193.6–195) would improve momentum; failure there suggests patience on adds.

Confidence 70%

11/04/2025 11:33 AM

Hold

post_earnings_volatility gap_down_from_prior_close below_ema9_resistance support_near_ema21 macro_tech_weakness

Trade remains active: no target (>=216) or stop (181) hit, and horizon just started (day 0 of 8). Despite the sharp gap down from the prior close, price holds above the 21‑EMA (~187.6) and the broader uptrend (rising 10/20/50‑day averages) remains intact. MACD stays positive and RSI ~56 is mid‑zone, suggesting room to recover if the post‑earnings volatility settles. Near term, the 9‑EMA (~193.8) is overhead resistance; a sustained break below 187–188 would raise the odds of a test of the 181 stop. Maintain discipline with the existing stop and targets; look for stabilization/reclaim of the 9‑EMA to improve momentum quality.

Confidence 74%