AMZN (Amazon.com, Inc. Recommendation

AMZN

Active - 8 Days Remaining

Amazon.com, Inc.

Recommendation Date: 11/04/2025 Update: 11/04/2025 13:34 PM (5 updates)

Trade Plan

$249.50-$256.00

$279.00-$279.00

$244.00

82%

0.920

Evidence

Price at Pick:$254.07

Prior Close:$244.22

MACD Value:4.221720

MACD Signal:0.745818

MACD Histogram:3.475901

Trend:Bullish Momentum

Support Est:$233.27

Resistance Est:$258.60

Current Quote

Price

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Change

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Open

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Rationale

AMZN just strapped a jetpack to AWS with a $38B OpenAI cloud deal. This isn’t a rumor mill flex—it’s a multi-year cash cannon pointed straight into Amazon’s fattest profit engine. The chart? Breaking to new highs, EMAs stacked like pancakes, MACD screaming, RSI sweaty but not blown out. We’re entering 249.5–256 and aiming for 279–286 because when the biggest AI customer inks the biggest cloud players, number go up. The herd will chase this—analysts tweaking models, funds piling into the winner’s circle, and every AI hot take cooking on the timeline. If the momentum stalls, we bail at 244 and live to FOMO another day. But with a catalyst this loud and a trend this clean, odds are we’re punching through resistance while the crowd discovers ‘AI infrastructure’ is just Wall Street for ‘bezos bucks.’ Sit tight, trust the breakout, and let the hyperscale hype farm do its thing.

Amazon just layered a high-visibility, multi-year AI infrastructure catalyst on top of already-strong Q3 momentum. Benzinga reports a massive, multi-year $38B partnership with OpenAI for cloud infrastructure, alongside a Wedbush price target hike. This is a textbook, tradable catalyst: it’s concrete (multi-year spend), directly aligned with Amazon’s AWS growth engine, and widely disseminated across mainstream financial media and investor communities. Additional bullish coverage from The Motley Fool and broader market commentary note how the AI demand path seems to be compounding across hyperscalers. Technically, AMZN is in a confirmed uptrend and pushing 52-week highs. The last trade was 254.07 versus the prior close at 244.22. EMAs are stacked positively (9/21/50-day at 233.27/227.33/225.06), with price well above them, indicating strong trend health. MACD is firmly bullish: the line at 4.22 sits well above the 0.75 signal with a wide positive histogram (+3.48). RSI at ~72 reflects momentum strength typical for sustained breakouts, especially when paired with a fundamental catalyst of this magnitude. Social mentions have risen sharply, a helpful tailwind for near-term continuation as AI-related headlines remain dominant. On the news tape, multiple sources reiterate the AI-driven AWS expansion narrative and note broader equity support when Amazon leads. Our trade plan anticipates a continuation move as investors recalibrate AI-capex winners. Enter 249.5–256.0 to capture liquidity near current levels, targeting 279–286 within nine trading days (a roughly 10–12% advance). This objective aligns with measured extensions after fresh highs and accounts for follow-through from institutional buying and momentum participation. The stop sits at 244, below our entry zone and near the prior close, providing a disciplined invalidation if the breakout fails to hold recent gains. Risks include headline reversals around the exact scope/timing of the OpenAI deployment or broader market risk-off that compresses multiple expansion. But the weight of evidence favors follow-through: the partnership is specific and large; AWS is already showing renewed growth; and the technical posture of AMZN supports a continuation breakout. The confluence of a fundamental step-up in AI infrastructure demand and technical strength increases the probability of a 10% gain within our horizon. In short, we have a liquid mega-cap with a fresh AI catalyst tied to its highest-margin segment, confirmed by multiple sources, showing clean bullish technicals into new highs. That’s precisely the kind of setup that tends to resolve in a swift 10% drift higher as buyers crowd into a leadership name.

Updates

11/04/2025 13:34 PM

Hold

gap_down_vs_prior_close social_buzz_cooling breakout_pullback_risk catalyst_headline_followthrough_uncertain

Price is trading inside the planned entry zone (~249.57 vs 249.5–256). Trend and momentum remain constructive (RSI ~67, strong positive MACD, price well above EMAs). No stop/target/horizon triggers; maintain plan with discipline around the 244 stop while monitoring early-session softness vs prior close.

Confidence 82%

11/04/2025 12:34 PM

Hold

RSI_near_overbought opening_fade_vs_prior_close catalyst_headline_follow-through_risk volatility_near_recent_highs

Price (≈251.07) is inside the planned entry zone (249.5–256). Stop 244 remains intact; no target levels touched. Momentum setup is still constructive (bullish MACD, RSI ~68, EMAs stacked), though there’s a mild intraday fade versus prior close (254) that warrants patience. News flow provided is neutral-to-positive with rising social mentions; no adverse headlines contradicting the thesis. Maintain the plan: allow normal volatility, keep stop at 244 and targets 279–286 within the 9-day horizon.

Confidence 84%

11/04/2025 11:34 AM

Hold

overbought_rsi intraday_volatility headline_reversal_risk gap_fill_risk

AMZN is trading inside the planned entry zone (last 251.95 vs 249.5–256). Stop 244 is intact and well below price; no target reached (279–286) and horizon (9 days from 2025-11-04) just started. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD with wide positive histogram, EMAs stacked), while RSI ~70 is elevated but typical for breakouts. News flow/social mentions are supportive with no clear contradiction to the thesis. Maintain plan and monitor for intraday volatility; no changes today.

Confidence 86%

11/04/2025 10:32 AM

Hold

overbought_RSI extended_above_EMAs news_headline_dependency broad_market_risk_off

Price is trading 252.94, inside the 249.5–256 entry zone. No stop or target breaches and horizon just started. Momentum remains strong (bullish MACD, RSI ~72) and EMAs supportive; news flow is neutral-to-positive with social interest rising. Given the overbought/extended posture, keep the current stop at 244 to allow normal volatility. If price powers through 258–260 on strong breadth/volume, consider tightening the stop toward 246–247 later, but no changes now.

Confidence 88%

11/04/2025 09:35 AM

Hold

overbought_rsi market_open_volatility gap_fill_risk headline_reversal_risk

AMZN remains in the entry band (last ~249.9 vs 249.5–256). No stop/target/horizon triggers. Technicals are still bullish (MACD positive, RSI elevated) and newsflow/social buzz support the thesis. Early pullback vs prior close is normal open volatility; keep the original stop at 244 and targets 279–286 unchanged for now.

Confidence 90%