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MU

Target Hit - Profit/Loss: 2.26%
Micron Technology, Inc.
Recommendation Date: 01/27/2026 Update: 01/27/2026 13:32 PM (4 updates)
Trade Plan
Entry $404.32-$410.00
Exit $432.00-$432.00
Stop Loss $392.00
Horizon 7d
Original Confidence 82%
Updated Confidence 82%
Score 0.960

Evidence
Price at Pick:$404.32
Prior Close:$389.09
MACD Value:33.665562
MACD Signal:29.965353
MACD Histogram:3.700209
Trend:Bullish Momentum
Support Est:$371.55
Resistance Est:$412.43
Current Quote
Price
Change
Open
Volume
Rationale

AI memory giga-chad MU just told the market it’s going to yeet $24B into a Singapore fab because demand is THAT insane, and bears are still trying to short this rocket. You’re sitting at 404.315 while the 10, 20, and 50-day SMAs are chilling way down at 371.551, 345.8225, and 283.91 – that’s what a freight train of trend looks like. MACD is juiced (33.6656 vs 29.9654 signal, positive 3.7002 histogram) and RSI at 75.68 says we’re in beast-mode momentum, not sleepy value-stock land. Shorts thought they were clever, ramping interest by ~19% with a 40% short_volume_ratio right as AI capex goes vertical and Micron becomes a core play on HBM and datacenter memory. News literally talks about how hot 2026 already is and how high this can go this year – you don’t fight that in the near term, you ride it. The plan: buy slightly above last trade, target a breakout toward 430–440, bail if it loses the mid-380s so you don’t get turned into liquidity for institutions. Respect the stop, but this is the kind of setup degenerates dream about.
Updates
01/27/2026 13:32 PM
Tighten Stop
Exit Max: 440 Exit Min: 432 Stop Loss: 392 Horizon Days: 7
elevated_RSI_overbought rapid_post-news_extension gap_and_run_risk_of_intraday_reversal short_interest_rising_potential_volatility
Trade is in profit and has reached the lower target zone. Filled at 405.10 with price now ~414.24, and the thesis remains intact: strong AI-memory catalyst, bullish MACD, high but still trending RSI, and supportive news. However, the plan defined exit_min at 432, so strictly speaking the primary target is not yet hit. Given very strong intraday extension off prior close and elevated RSI, risk of a sharp mean-reversion spike increases from here. If you are trading strictly by the original rules, the position should remain ACTIVE until at least 432. If you are managing intraday risk more tightly, partial profit-taking into strength is reasonable while keeping the core swing. Overall, keep the trade active with slightly tighter risk rather than closing outright, as no stop, target, or horizon rules are violated yet.
Confidence 82%
01/27/2026 12:32 PM
Hold
elevated_rsi_overbought_zone momentum_chase_risk short_interest_rising_potential_squeeze_and_volatility gap_and_trend_extension_from_key_moving_averages
Trade is filled at 405.10 and currently in profit with price ~408.51, tracking the original bullish AI-memory and momentum thesis. Technicals (RSI ~76, bullish MACD, price well above all MAs) remain strongly supportive, and news flow is still positive with no signs of reversal or exhaustion beyond elevated but acceptable RSI. No stop, target, or horizon rules have been hit: price is below the 432–440 target band and well above the 386 stop, and we are still on day 1 of a 7-day horizon. Maintain the position as ACTIVE, with a slight confidence uptick given confirmation of strength post-fill and continued positive catalyst/news alignment. No adjustments yet; allow room for normal intraday volatility around this breakout.
Confidence 88%
01/27/2026 11:32 AM
Hold
Exit Max: 440 Exit Min: 432 Stop Loss: 386 Horizon Days: 7
elevated_RSI_may_cause_sharp_pullbacks strong_momentum_can_reverse_quickly_intraday short_interest_rising_can_cut_both_ways_if_sentiment_shifts
Trade is working as intended. Filled at 405.10 and price is now ~407.69, holding above all short- and medium-term MAs with bullish MACD and elevated RSI consistent with a strong momentum/catalyst move. No breach of the 386 stop and no touch of the 432–440 target band yet, and horizon (7 days) has just started. News and short-interest data remain supportive of the upside thesis rather than contradicting it. Risk is that RSI is stretched and intraday pullbacks can be sharp; however, nothing in the current tape invalidates the plan. Maintain position, monitor for any failed breakout or negative news shift.
Confidence 86%
01/27/2026 10:32 AM
Hold
Exit Max: 440 Exit Min: 432 Entry Max: 410 Entry Min: 404.32 Stop Loss: 386 Horizon Days: 7
RSI elevated (>70) indicates strong momentum but raises risk of sharp mean-reversion; respect the 386 stop strictly. Large open gap vs key moving averages means a bad headline or market-wide risk-off could accelerate downside quickly. Rising short interest and short-volume ratio can fuel a squeeze but also reflect sophisticated bearish views; avoid adding size on strength without a pullback.
Trade is filled at 405.10 and price is currently 407.57, comfortably within the planned entry band and well above the 386 stop. No stop, target, or horizon rules have been triggered: last < exit_min 432, and current date is day 1 of a 7-day horizon. Technicals have actually strengthened vs the original thesis (RSI slightly higher, MACD histogram expanding, price cleanly above short- and medium-term EMAs/SMAs), with news and sentiment still clearly supportive of the AI memory upcycle narrative. Short data remains constructive for a potential squeeze as shorts reassess. Given it’s early in the holding period and risk/reward is intact, keep the position on. Do not chase higher intraday; let the trade work with the predefined stop and targets. Slightly higher confidence reflects confirmation by early price action without any signs of blow-off or capitulation yet.
Confidence 84%
Active Tracking
01/27/2026 01:32 PM
Active
$414.24 (1.74%)
01/27/2026 01:31 PM
Active
$413.75 (1.62%)
01/27/2026 01:30 PM
Active
$414.10 (1.70%)
01/27/2026 01:29 PM
Active
$413.94 (1.67%)
01/27/2026 01:28 PM
Active
$413.86 (1.65%)
01/27/2026 01:27 PM
Active
$413.74 (1.62%)
01/27/2026 01:26 PM
Active
$414.06 (1.70%)
01/27/2026 01:25 PM
Active
$414.90 (1.90%)
01/27/2026 01:24 PM
Active
$414.75 (1.86%)
01/27/2026 01:23 PM
Active
$414.29 (1.75%)
01/27/2026 01:22 PM
Active
$414.74 (1.86%)
01/27/2026 01:21 PM
Active
$414.74 (1.86%)
01/27/2026 01:20 PM
Active
$414.10 (1.70%)
01/27/2026 01:19 PM
Active
$414.30 (1.75%)
01/27/2026 01:18 PM
Active
$413.54 (1.57%)
01/27/2026 01:17 PM
Active
$412.75 (1.37%)
01/27/2026 01:16 PM
Active
$412.49 (1.31%)
01/27/2026 01:15 PM
Active
$412.33 (1.27%)
01/27/2026 01:14 PM
Active
$412.65 (1.35%)
01/27/2026 01:13 PM
Active
$412.58 (1.33%)
01/27/2026 09:46 AM
Entered
$405.10 (-0.51%)
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