Boeing is the strongest long-side intraday candidate given a clear positive earnings catalyst and active social attention. 1) Catalyst and news - Q4 results: revenue $23.95B vs $23.14B estimate (beat), with sales up ~57% YoY and commercial aircraft deliveries at the highest level since 2018, per "Boeing’s Stepped-Up Plane Deliveries Lift Sales" and "Boeing's sales jump nearly 60% in 4Q, bolstered by strong rise in airplane deliveries". - Analyst support: Susquehanna recently raised its price target from $255 to $280 and kept a Positive rating, per "Susquehanna Raises Boeing (BA) PT Citing Bullish Commercial Aerospace and Defense Outlook". - Strong positive fundamental narrative (recovery, delivery ramp, bullish sector view) is a classic setup for an earnings-day continuation or reversal higher. 2) Price/technicals context - Last trade: $244.645, just below the 10‑day SMA (247.72) and close to the 9‑day EMA (245.94). The 20‑ and 50‑day SMAs (237.28 and 214.33) show a clear medium-term uptrend. - RSI ~64: elevated but not overbought; suggests strong trend but still room for an upside extension on a high‑energy earnings day. - MACD histogram is slightly negative with a “bearish_momentum” tag, showing mild short-term cooling into earnings. On strong news, that can set up a bullish intraday inflection as shorts cover and new longs step in. - ATR(14) ≈ 5.75 implies a typical daily range of about 2.3% of price; on earnings days BA often expands beyond 1×ATR, so a 4–6% intraday swing is reasonable. 3) Social/flow backdrop - ApeWisdom rank: 45, sharply improved from 211, indicating a recent spike in retail attention. Combined with a high‑beta industrial, this often amplifies opening volatility and follow‑through. - Short interest days‑to‑cover ~2.6 and short‑volume ratio ~38% are moderate; not a squeeze setup but enough short positioning for a post‑earnings grind higher as the positive narrative takes hold. 4) Trade structure and math - Entry range: 244.7–246.0. This brackets the current price (244.645) and stays near the 9‑day EMA (245.94). Waiting for price to hold above roughly 244.7 after the open avoids chasing a weak gap. - Exit (target) range: 255–259. • Upside from entry_min (244.7) to exit_min (255) = (255 / 244.7 – 1) ≈ 4.2%. • From entry_min to exit_max (259) ≈ (259 / 244.7 – 1) ≈ 5.8%. This satisfies the ≥4–5% profit window while staying within a plausible 1–1.5× ATR move on an earnings day. - Stop-loss: 239.5, just below the prior session intraday low of 239.52 and a little under 1×ATR below the entry floor. • Downside from entry_min: (244.7 – 239.5) / 244.7 ≈ 2.1%. • This yields a reward:risk ratio of roughly 2:1 at the 255 target and ~2.8:1 at 259. 5) Intraday plan and time horizon - Time horizon: 3–6 hours after the opening bell. The focus is on capturing the main post‑earnings move, typically forming between the first 30–90 minutes and midday. - Preferred pattern: Either (a) a controlled dip on the open that holds above ~240 and then reclaims the EMA area (~246) with volume, or (b) a direct grind higher with higher lows above ~244.7. Avoid chasing if price gaps straight through 255+ without a consolidation retest. 6) Why BA over UPS or UNH - UPS: Positive earnings catalyst, but current price (108.58) is already near its intraday high (108.78). MACD is also in bearish momentum and ATR is only ~2.15, making a clean, additional 4–5% upside intraday less reliable from here. - UNH: Huge negative catalyst (Medicare Advantage rate shock) and ~19% 1‑day drop. While oversold (RSI ~28.6) could produce a bounce, the headline risk and sector overhang make a high‑conviction long (>75% confidence) inappropriate. Given a strong positive earnings surprise, clear analyst support, an established uptrend, and rising social attention, BA offers a realistic 4–6% upside intraday window with defined risk and an acceptable probability of follow‑through. Working source links (from provided news data): - https://finnhub.io/api/news?id=6ad8fe39237dd02384c59488f36bb7d4ff6879ce98810db04a88dd3777cf5903 - https://finnhub.io/api/news?id=5bd9a8cc18bc5970f3860a1d135e3594e0c4649f96dc0e61a426a082a594c8e7 - https://finnhub.io/api/news?id=33a761829047e802720feaae906cb89a7c6b2d4f67a1650dca3f0796db214664