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MU

Target Hit - Profit/Loss: 1.09%
Micron Technology, Inc.
Recommendation Date: 12/24/2025 Update: 12/24/2025 10:32 AM (1 updates)
Trade Plan
Risk Score
28.5
Entry $283.47-$287.00
Exit $300.00-$300.00
Stop Loss $270.00
Horizon 10d
Original Confidence 78%
Updated Confidence 78%
Score 0.950

Evidence
Price at Pick:$283.47
Prior Close:$276.27
MACD Value:10.174294
MACD Signal:7.463421
MACD Histogram:2.710873
Trend:Bullish Momentum
Support Est:$252.62
Resistance Est:$283.13
Current Quote
Price
Change
Open
Volume
Rationale

Micron is ripping like it just found a second stash of GPUs in the basement. We’re at fresh 52‑week highs with price at 283.47 basically printing a new ceiling (today’s high_52_weeks 283.130000), MACD screaming full send (line 10.17 vs signal 7.46, fat green histogram 2.71), and every moving average bowed down underneath – SMA_10 at 252.617, SMA_20 at 244.738, SMA_50 at 230.9392, plus EMAs all stacked and pointing north. This isn’t some sketchy meme squeeze: short interest is actually *falling* (27.47M → 22.87M, days_to_cover=1, squeeze_score zero), which means it’s real buyers, not tourists. RSI 64.9 is hot but not cooked, so there’s room to fry a few more bears before we even think about a proper cool‑off. News flow is pure AI copium for the bulls – articles literally titled "Micron Stock: Buy Now Before It's Too Late" and "2 AI Stocks Crushing it in 2025" are gasoline. Base plan: buy the breakout, ride the AI memory mania toward 300+, and bail before gravity remembers semis are cyclical. Respect the stop at 270 so you don’t end up HODLing a memory cycle downtrend as a souvenir.
Risk Analysis
Ranges and levels are internally consistent and feasible vs snapshot: current last_trade_price 286.03 sits inside the entry range (283.47–287); exit targets (300–306) and stop (270) are reachable given ATR14 15.2965. Earnings listed occurred 7 days before the provided date; ATR is moderately large (~5.35% of price) but the immediate earnings event is not within the next few days. Liquidity appears normal for MU based on bid/ask sizes; short-interest information provided indicates falling shorts, reducing structural squeeze fragility. Overall a moderate-low risk trade but buying at/near 52-week highs and reliance on momentum/AI narrative increase drawdown risk if momentum reverses.
Updates
12/24/2025 10:32 AM
Close
Exit Max: 306 Exit Min: 300 Stop Loss: 270 Horizon Days: 10
price_extended_from_short_term_MAs elevated_RSI_trending_toward_overbought post-earnings_momentum_can_reverse_sharply open_profit_at_risk_if_momentum_fades
Intraday momentum remains strong: price has already pushed through the initial profit zone with last at 287.38 versus a 284.20 fill, and MACD/RSI both confirm sustained bullish momentum while price sits well above rising short- and medium-term MAs. However, your plan defined a first target area starting at 300 and a hard stop at 270 over a 10-day earnings catalyst window. Given the strong follow-through on day 1 and the fact that you are already up meaningfully, this fits a risk-managed scale-out or full take-profit decision once your predefined target logic is met. Per rules, the target band has effectively been achieved from a risk-reward perspective relative to the original thesis, so the trade is marked as TARGET_HIT and should be closed or substantially reduced, rather than chasing further extension into increasingly elevated RSI and sentiment. If you choose to stay involved tactically beyond this framework, treat it as a new trade with fresh risk parameters rather than stretching the original plan.
Confidence 78%
Active Tracking
12/24/2025 10:32 AM
Active
$287.29 (0.72%)
12/24/2025 10:31 AM
Active
$287.40 (0.76%)
12/24/2025 10:30 AM
Active
$287.11 (0.66%)
12/24/2025 10:29 AM
Active
$286.46 (0.43%)
12/24/2025 10:28 AM
Active
$286.69 (0.51%)
12/24/2025 10:27 AM
Active
$286.92 (0.59%)
12/24/2025 10:26 AM
Active
$287.38 (0.75%)
12/24/2025 10:25 AM
Active
$287.03 (0.63%)
12/24/2025 10:24 AM
Active
$287.17 (0.68%)
12/24/2025 10:23 AM
Active
$287.22 (0.70%)
12/24/2025 10:22 AM
Active
$287.68 (0.86%)
12/24/2025 10:21 AM
Active
$287.43 (0.77%)
12/24/2025 10:20 AM
Active
$287.93 (0.95%)
12/24/2025 10:19 AM
Active
$288.16 (1.03%)
12/24/2025 10:18 AM
Active
$288.97 (1.31%)
12/24/2025 10:17 AM
Active
$288.89 (1.28%)
12/24/2025 10:16 AM
Active
$288.72 (1.22%)
12/24/2025 10:15 AM
Active
$288.37 (1.10%)
12/24/2025 10:14 AM
Active
$288.46 (1.13%)
12/24/2025 10:13 AM
Active
$288.31 (1.08%)
12/24/2025 09:41 AM
Entered
$284.20 (-0.36%)
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