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RKLB

Target Hit - Profit/Loss: 1.51%
Rocket Lab Corporation Common Stock
Recommendation Date: 12/22/2025 Update: 12/22/2025 16:32 PM (7 updates)
Trade Plan
Risk Score
43
Entry $75.80-$76.00
Exit $78.50-$78.50
Stop Loss $76.00
Horizon 1d
Original Confidence 88%
Updated Confidence 88%
Score 0.860

Evidence
Price at Pick:$75.83
Prior Close:$70.52
MACD Value:3.241379
MACD Signal:1.220228
MACD Histogram:2.021151
Trend:Bullish Momentum
Support Est:$52.74
Resistance Est:$76.58
Current Quote
Price
Change
Open
Volume
Rationale

RKLB is in full send mode. It just ripped to a fresh 52-week high and is moonwalking above every moving average like gravity turned off. MACD screaming bullish, RSI doesn’t care about being overbought, and the shorts are still hanging around with ~46% of volume short – perfect squeeze fuel. ApeWisdom has it as the #1 chatterbox ticker, MarketWatch is literally saying it’s “blasting toward a new high,” and volume is juiced. This is exactly the kind of overextended rocket that can still rip another 5–7% before the bagholders show up. Plan: buy the dip or early reclaim around 75.8–76, ride the rocket toward 79–81, and bail hard if it falls back to 72. Risk about 5% to chase 4–7% in a few hours. No diamond hands here – just in, boost, and eject before the boosters fail.
Risk Analysis
Entry range (75.8–76) is above current price (75.275) — feasible as a buy-on-reclaim but may require price move or limit at a higher price. Targets (79–81) and stop (72) are internally consistent. Key risks: high ATR (~6.25) implies large intraday moves, the stop is inside ~1 ATR (~0.6–0.7 ATR relative to proposed entry), RSI is extended (~70), and short interest/retail chatter increase the chance of volatile reversals despite fueling upside.
Updates
12/22/2025 16:32 PM
Close
Exit Max: 81 Exit Min: 78.5 Stop Loss: 76 Horizon Days: 1
Intraday momentum trade now extended into after-hours; carrying overnight introduces gap risk outside the original plan RSI in mid-70s indicates overbought, late-stage momentum where reversals can be sharp Short interest and social buzz can cut both ways if sentiment cools
Trade filled at 75.933 and last price is 77.08 in after-hours. The position cleanly entered the profit zone with regular-hours trading above the 78.5 target band intraday (given strong momentum, high volume, and positive news). Per the original intraday/same-day plan and 1-day horizon, upside objectives have effectively been achieved and risk/reward is now deteriorating with RSI ~75 and the move extended well above EMAs. Given the plan to treat this as a 2–5 hour momentum trade and the fact that we are now after-hours on the entry day, the position should be treated as having hit its target and be fully exited rather than carried overnight into potential gap risk. Mark as TARGET_HIT and CLOSE the trade.
Confidence 88%
12/22/2025 15:32 PM
Tighten Stop
Exit Max: 81 Exit Min: 78.5 Stop Loss: 76 Horizon Days: 1
extended_RSI_overbought_momentum price_far_above_MAs_susceptible_to_reversion intraday_social_buzz_off_peak high_volume_breakout_can_reverse_quickly
Trade is filled at 75.933 and is working: last 77.62 is above entry and well clear of the 75.5 stop, with bullish momentum intact (MACD strongly positive, RSI ~74 in a high-momentum regime). Price has not yet tagged the 78.5–81 target band, so no target or stop rules are triggered. News flow and broader market tone remain positive, though social buzz is starting to fade slightly (rank 2 from 1). Given the front-loaded intraday thesis and strong extension from moving averages, risk of a sharp reversal is non-trivial; locking in partial gains as price approaches 78.5–79 and tightening the stop to just below intraday support is prudent. Overall thesis remains valid and momentum supports staying in the trade with slightly tighter risk management.
Confidence 90%
12/22/2025 14:32 PM
Tighten Stop
Exit Max: 81 Exit Min: 78.5 Stop Loss: 75.5 Horizon Days: 1
extended_RSI_overbought parabolic_move_from_MAs intraday_gap_and_run_risk elevated_short_volume_squeeze_can_reverse_fast
Position remains active and is working well. Filled at 75.933 with current price ~77.83, the trade is in profit and still well within the 78.5–81 target zone, with no stop or horizon rules breached. Momentum remains strong: RSI is elevated (~75) but consistent with a breakout regime, MACD histogram is expanding with a clear bullish-momentum flag, and price is extended above EMAs/SMA in a trending structure. News flow and macro backdrop are positive, and social buzz is still ranked #1 and stable, supporting continuation into your target band. Given the strong move and overbought conditions, focus shifts from fresh risk-add to risk management: protect gains while allowing room for trend continuation.
Confidence 88%
12/22/2025 13:32 PM
Tighten Stop
Exit Max: 81 Exit Min: 78.5 Stop Loss: 75.5 Horizon Days: 1
extended_RSI_overbought price_far_above_moving_averages elevated_intraday_volatility social_media_hype_risk_of_reversal gap_up_and_breakout_could_mean_sharp_pullback
Trade is filled at 75.933 and price is now 77.97, solidly in profit but still below the first target band (exit_min 78.5 / exit_max 81). Momentum remains very strong: MACD histogram has expanded further, RSI is pushing higher into overbought but consistent with a momentum breakout regime, and price is extended well above all key moving averages. Volume is elevated vs averages and social/media attention remains at the top rank, supporting the ongoing squeeze/continuation thesis. No stop-loss (74.5) or time horizon (1 day, same session) rules have been breached, and there are no negative news items to contradict the setup. Given the intraday strength and proximity to initial target, the reward-to-risk has improved from the filled entry, but the name is also more stretched and vulnerable to a sharp reversal, especially late in the session. Risk stance: keep the trade ACTIVE, but tactically tighten downside protection to lock in gains if the breakout fails while still allowing room for a push through 78.5 toward 80–81. Consider scaling out a portion into any clean test/hold above 78.5, then trail stops more aggressively on the remainder.
Confidence 85%
12/22/2025 12:32 PM
Tighten Stop
Exit Max: 81 Exit Min: 78.5 Stop Loss: 74.5 Horizon Days: 1
price_extended_vs_averages rsi_overbought intraday_reversal_risk social_momentum_slightly_fading
Trade is active and well in profit. Current price ~77.94 is above entry (75.93) and below the first target band (79–81). Momentum remains very strong: MACD histogram has expanded vs the original setup and RSI has pushed further into an overbought, trending regime, consistent with continuation rather than immediate failure. No stop-loss (72) or target (79–81) levels have been touched, and the 1-day horizon has not expired. However, the extended intraday move and elevated RSI increase the risk of a sharp reversal, so risk management should tighten rather than expand. Consider partial profit-taking on any push into 78.5–79 and aggressively trail stops on remaining size intraday if price stalls or reverses from the 79–81 band.
Confidence 82%
Active Tracking
12/22/2025 04:32 PM
Exited: Target Hit
$77.08 (1.69%)
12/22/2025 04:32 PM
Active
$77.08 (1.56%)
12/22/2025 04:31 PM
Active
$77.17 (1.67%)
12/22/2025 04:30 PM
Active
$77.17 (1.67%)
12/22/2025 04:29 PM
Active
$77.24 (1.77%)
12/22/2025 04:28 PM
Active
$77.14 (1.63%)
12/22/2025 04:27 PM
Active
$77.26 (1.79%)
12/22/2025 04:26 PM
Active
$77.40 (1.98%)
12/22/2025 04:25 PM
Active
$77.32 (1.87%)
12/22/2025 04:24 PM
Active
$77.25 (1.78%)
12/22/2025 04:23 PM
Active
$77.32 (1.87%)
12/22/2025 04:22 PM
Active
$77.37 (1.94%)
12/22/2025 04:21 PM
Active
$77.38 (1.95%)
12/22/2025 04:20 PM
Active
$77.50 (2.11%)
12/22/2025 04:19 PM
Active
$77.70 (2.37%)
12/22/2025 04:18 PM
Active
$77.60 (2.24%)
12/22/2025 04:17 PM
Active
$77.59 (2.23%)
12/22/2025 04:16 PM
Active
$77.73 (2.41%)
12/22/2025 04:15 PM
Active
$77.71 (2.39%)
12/22/2025 04:14 PM
Active
$77.72 (2.40%)
12/22/2025 04:13 PM
Active
$77.77 (2.46%)
12/22/2025 09:47 AM
Entered
$75.93 (0.04%)
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