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MU

Target Hit - Profit/Loss: 1.75%
Micron Technology, Inc.
Recommendation Date: 12/22/2025 Update: 12/22/2025 14:32 PM (5 updates)
Trade Plan
Risk Score
44
Entry $271.22-$275.00
Exit $292.00-$292.00
Stop Loss $264.00
Horizon 7d
Original Confidence 88%
Updated Confidence 88%
Score 0.940
Evidence
Price at Pick:$271.22
Prior Close:$265.92
MACD Value:6.533916
MACD Signal:6.321118
MACD Histogram:0.212798
Trend:Bullish Momentum
Support Est:$245.00
Resistance Est:$277.29
Current Quote
Price
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Change
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Open
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Volume
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Rationale
MU is the AI memory vending machine and it’s basically hanging a "SOLD OUT" sign on the door while boomers are still arguing about whether this cycle is real. Revenue up 56%+, earnings up 167%, analysts literally calling it a top large-cap pick with nearly 100% upside, and you’re thinking of sitting in cash? The chart is screaming continuation: price at 271.22 is miles above the 10-day SMA 247.265 and 20-day SMA 238.66, with EMAs stacked bullish (ema_9 245.56, ema_21 239.9995, ema_50 223.17). RSI 61.99 says "strong trend, not cooked yet," and MACD’s a full send with macd_line 6.53 > signal 6.32 and a positive histogram. Short interest is backing off (SI down ~16.7%, days-to-cover 1), so bears already puked and left the chat. Social buzz is heating up (rank 6 from 21), news is all AI euphoria and Cramer screaming about gating factors. This is the part of the movie where you buy the dip-that’s-not-a-dip and ride the AI memory freight train before the next leg toward 300+.
Risk Analysis
Entry range (271.22–275) brackets the market price (274.105) — feasible. Targets (290–298) and stop (259) are logically oriented. Key risks: stop is inside ~1 ATR (tight vs recent post-earnings volatility), NBBO sizes in snapshot are small (possible slippage), and earnings were reported 5 days ago (elevated post-earnings movement still likely). Short interest falling reduces squeeze risk.
Updates
12/22/2025 14:32 PM
Hold
Exit Max: 298 Exit Min: 292 Stop Loss: 264 Horizon Days: 7
strong_momentum_gap_follow_through elevated_rsi_but_not_extreme early-profit-no-change-to-targets short_interest_falling-reduced-squeeze-risk
Position was filled at 271.70 and the stock is now trading at 276.48, above the planned first target (exit_min 292 not yet reached, but intraday follow-through and strengthening momentum support the original upside thesis). No stop or thesis violation. With RSI ~65 and MACD momentum expanding bullishly, the trade remains constructive within the 7‑day horizon. However, because the price is moving favorably early in the trade, risk discipline argues for keeping the original target and stop rather than chasing higher or widening risk. Mark the trade as TARGET_HIT only when 292+ is printed; as of this snapshot, stay long and manage risk per the initial plan.
Confidence 88%
12/22/2025 13:32 PM
Tighten Stop
Exit Max: 298 Exit Min: 292 Stop Loss: 264 Horizon Days: 7
intraday_momentum_extended elevated_gap_risk_after_run short_term_RSI_nearing_overbought
Trade is working as planned. Price ($273.12) is above entry ($271.70) and comfortably above all key moving averages, with RSI rising but not yet overbought and MACD momentum accelerating (bullish histogram expansion). No stop, target, or horizon rules have been triggered and broader market tone plus social interest are supportive. Risk/reward from here remains favorable for the original 1-week post-earnings continuation thesis, but the strong intraday move suggests tightening risk rather than widening it.
Confidence 90%
12/22/2025 12:32 PM
Hold
RSI approaching overbought zone for a short swing; monitor for exhaustion or reversal candles near 290+ Post‑earnings momentum can reverse sharply if sentiment cools; respect the 259 stop strictly Rising social buzz increases volatility risk; intraday swings may be wider than usual
Trade remains well within plan and is working: filled at 271.70 with price now ~273.15, above all short- and mid-term moving averages, and MACD momentum has strengthened (larger positive histogram). RSI in the mid‑60s shows strong but not yet overbought conditions for a short swing, and social interest is accelerating while short interest trend remains benign. No stop, target, or horizon rules have triggered. Given strong post‑earnings trend and intraday follow‑through, I keep the long fully ACTIVE but acknowledge that the move is getting hotter, so be ready to respect the pre‑defined stop and targets without chasing. No adjustments to levels yet; let the original 1‑week swing play out unless there is a momentum breakdown or reversal signal in coming sessions.
Confidence 88%
12/22/2025 11:32 AM
Hold
RSI approaching moderately overbought zone; monitor for blow-off move or reversal near 290+ Post-earnings momentum can be volatile intraday; consider intraday risk limits even with wider swing stop at 259
Trade is filled at 271.70 and price is currently 270.93, holding well within the intended entry band and far above the 259 stop. The post-earnings momentum and trend signals remain strong: price stays cleanly above all key SMAs/EMAs, RSI has pushed up to ~64 but is not yet at a stretched extreme, and MACD has actually strengthened with a larger positive histogram, confirming ongoing bullish momentum. Social buzz continues to accelerate without any negative news in the feed, and short interest remains in a benign, falling trend. There is no technical or thesis-based reason to exit early; the setup is behaving as planned for a 1-week post-earnings continuation. Maintain the existing targets (290–298) and stop at 259 for now. If price moves swiftly into the 285–290 zone in the next session or two, consider trimming into strength and then raising the stop to lock in gains, but no pre-emptive changes are warranted yet.
Confidence 86%
12/22/2025 10:32 AM
Hold
Price still near post-earnings high zone; be alert for reversal candles or failed breakout patterns intraday. If price closes below 260–262 area with weakening RSI/MACD, consider tightening stop or exiting early despite broader thesis remaining intact.
Trade remains well within plan and is behaving constructively. Price (~270.13) is slightly below fill (271.70) but firmly above all short- and medium-term SMAs/EMAs, with RSI rising to ~63.6 and MACD momentum strengthening (wider positive histogram). No negative news or technical breakdown, social interest remains elevated and trending up, and short-interest data still shows a falling trend, which supports the post-earnings continuation thesis. With 7-day horizon just starting and price neither near stop (259) nor targets (290–298), there is no rule-based trigger to close or adjust yet. Maintain the position and re-evaluate if it accelerates toward 290+ in the next sessions (for a partial de-risk), or if it loses key short-term averages with momentum rolling over.
Confidence 84%
Active Tracking
12/22/2025 02:32 PM
Exited: Target Hit
$276.48 (1.94%)
12/22/2025 02:32 PM
Active
$276.45 (1.22%)
12/22/2025 02:31 PM
Active
$276.28 (1.16%)
12/22/2025 02:30 PM
Active
$276.25 (1.15%)
12/22/2025 02:29 PM
Active
$276.31 (1.17%)
12/22/2025 02:28 PM
Active
$276.18 (1.12%)
12/22/2025 02:27 PM
Active
$276.07 (1.08%)
12/22/2025 02:26 PM
Active
$275.57 (0.90%)
12/22/2025 02:25 PM
Active
$275.36 (0.82%)
12/22/2025 02:24 PM
Active
$275.56 (0.90%)
12/22/2025 02:23 PM
Active
$275.74 (0.96%)
12/22/2025 02:22 PM
Active
$275.95 (1.04%)
12/22/2025 02:21 PM
Active
$275.70 (0.95%)
12/22/2025 02:20 PM
Active
$275.87 (1.01%)
12/22/2025 02:19 PM
Active
$275.64 (0.93%)
12/22/2025 02:18 PM
Active
$275.80 (0.99%)
12/22/2025 02:17 PM
Active
$275.59 (0.91%)
12/22/2025 02:16 PM
Active
$275.63 (0.92%)
12/22/2025 02:15 PM
Active
$275.50 (0.88%)
12/22/2025 02:14 PM
Active
$275.09 (0.73%)
12/22/2025 02:13 PM
Active
$274.56 (0.53%)
12/22/2025 09:41 AM
Entered
$271.70 (-0.52%)
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