Plan is a long intraday trade in DJT based on a fresh, high-impact M&A catalyst plus strong technical and social momentum. 1) Upside math (meets ≥4–5% requirement) - Entry range: 15.00–15.30 (using 15.00 as the conservative base). - Exit range: 15.70–16.30. - Minimum upside: 15.70 / 15.00 − 1 ≈ 4.7%. - Mid-range upside: 16.00 / 15.00 − 1 ≈ 6.7%. This supports a realistic 4–7% intraday profit window if momentum continues. 2) Catalyst and news - DJT just announced a surprise all‑stock merger with fusion power firm TAE Technologies, valued around $6B, pivoting the company narrative from pure social media into nuclear/fusion and AI power demand exposure. This is explicitly described as the driver of a 30–37% surge: - “Trump Media Goes Nuclear: Surges 37% on Bold $6 Billion Fusion Merger” (Yahoo). - “DJT Stock Rises More Than 30%, on Pace for Biggest Gain This Year” (Yahoo). - Another piece highlights renewed meme/SPAC interest: “Trump Media & Technology Group Brings The Trade Back Around” (Seeking Alpha), reinforcing that traders are re-engaging with DJT as a momentum vehicle. - There is also coverage raising potential regulatory hurdles for the merger, but that primarily affects medium‑term close risk; in the pre‑market day-trade window, the key is that the stock is back in the spotlight with a new speculative story. 3) Technical and positioning context - Price: last trade 15.17, up ~41.93% day-over-day, confirming a major expansion move. - Short-term trend: price is well above 9/21/50‑day EMAs (11.64, 11.63, 12.92), indicating a strong upside break from the prior consolidation base around low‑teens. - MACD state: bullish momentum, with a positive histogram, suggests upside momentum is still building rather than fully exhausted. - RSI ~69.7 is near overbought, so chasing too high carries risk of a sharp pullback, which is why the entry is anchored close to the current 15–15.3 zone and not above 16. - ATR(14) ≈ 0.83 on a 15-dollar stock implies a typical intraday swing of ~5.5% (0.83/15), so a 4–7% target band is consistent with the stock’s recent volatility profile. 4) Social and short interest setup - Social signals: DJT’s social media mention rank exploded from 101 to 4, with an “up” trend, confirming fresh meme interest. - Short volume: latest short volume ratio is ~59.2% vs 39.2% 5‑day average, with the ratio flagged as elevated and accelerating. While total short interest days-to-cover is only ~2.0 and overall short interest is falling, the intraday short flow suggests fuel for continued squeezes / fast pops if buyers keep pressing. - This combination often supports another push higher early in the following session, especially when the narrative is new and media coverage is dense. 5) Risk management and levels - Entry: 15.00–15.30, aiming to enter near or slightly below current pre‑market area; avoid chasing if it gaps sharply above 16 pre‑open. - Stop loss: 14.40, about 4% below the low end of the entry band (14.40 / 15.00 − 1 ≈ −4.0%), below Thursday’s intraday low of 14.88 to allow for normal volatility but protect against a full unwind. - Risk/reward: from 15.00 entry, risk ≈ 0.60 (−4%) vs min target +0.70 (+4.7%); more likely take-profit near 16.0 gives ≈ +6.7%, a >1.5:1 reward:risk. 6) Intraday time horizon - Expected holding period: 2–5 hours after the open. - Look for an early liquidity spike in the first 30–90 minutes; if price rejects 16+ quickly with heavy sell volume, consider taking partial profits near the lower end of the exit range (15.7–15.9). - If momentum stalls and price consolidates under 15.20 with fading volume, abort early rather than wait for the hard stop. Given the very recent, high‑magnitude M&A catalyst, strong meme and short‑term momentum, and volatility profile that readily supports a 4–7% intraday move, DJT is suitable for a tightly risk-managed long day trade pre‑market today. Options are not recommended here due to high implied volatility and the need for precise intraday timing; common shares offer cleaner risk control.